Climate Change Influences on the Global Potential Distribution of the Mosquito Culex quinquefasciatus, Vector of West Nile Virus and Lymphatic Filariasis
Rapid emergence of most vector-borne diseases (VBDs) may be associated with range expansion of vector populations. Culex quinquefasciatus Say 1823 is a potential vector of West Nile virus, Saint Louis encephalitis virus, and lymphatic filariasis. We estimated the potential distribution of Cx. quinqu...
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| creator | Samy, Abdallah M Elaagip, Arwa H Kenawy, Mohamed A Ayres, Constância F J Peterson, A Townsend Soliman, Doaa E |
| description | Rapid emergence of most vector-borne diseases (VBDs) may be associated with range expansion of vector populations. Culex quinquefasciatus Say 1823 is a potential vector of West Nile virus, Saint Louis encephalitis virus, and lymphatic filariasis. We estimated the potential distribution of Cx. quinquefasciatus under both current and future climate conditions. The present potential distribution of Cx. quinquefasciatus showed high suitability across low-latitude parts of the world, reflecting the current distribution of the species. Suitable conditions were identified also in narrow zones of North Africa and Western Europe. Model transfers to future conditions showed a potential distribution similar to that under present-day conditions, although with higher suitability in southern Australia. Highest stability with changing climate was between 30°S and 30°N. The areas present high agreement among diverse climate models as regards distributional potential in the future, but differed in anticipating potential for distribution in North and Central Africa, southern Asia, central USA, and southeastern Europe. Highest disparity in model predictions across representative concentration pathways (RCPs) was in Saudi Arabia and Europe. The model predictions allow anticipation of changing distributional potential of the species in coming decades. |
| doi_str_mv | 10.1371/journal.pone.0163863 |
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Culex quinquefasciatus Say 1823 is a potential vector of West Nile virus, Saint Louis encephalitis virus, and lymphatic filariasis. We estimated the potential distribution of Cx. quinquefasciatus under both current and future climate conditions. The present potential distribution of Cx. quinquefasciatus showed high suitability across low-latitude parts of the world, reflecting the current distribution of the species. Suitable conditions were identified also in narrow zones of North Africa and Western Europe. Model transfers to future conditions showed a potential distribution similar to that under present-day conditions, although with higher suitability in southern Australia. Highest stability with changing climate was between 30°S and 30°N. The areas present high agreement among diverse climate models as regards distributional potential in the future, but differed in anticipating potential for distribution in North and Central Africa, southern Asia, central USA, and southeastern Europe. Highest disparity in model predictions across representative concentration pathways (RCPs) was in Saudi Arabia and Europe. The model predictions allow anticipation of changing distributional potential of the species in coming decades.</description><identifier>ISSN: 1932-6203</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1932-6203</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0163863</identifier><identifier>PMID: 27695107</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>United States: Public Library of Science</publisher><subject>Africa, Northern ; Analysis ; Animals ; Aquatic insects ; Biodiversity ; Biology and Life Sciences ; Climate Change ; Climate change influences ; Climate models ; Climatic change influences ; Climatic conditions ; Culex ; Culex - pathogenicity ; Culex - virology ; Culex pipiens ; Culex quinquefasciatus ; Culicidae ; Current distribution ; Diptera ; Earth Sciences ; Encephalitis ; Epidemics ; Europe ; Filariasis ; Future climates ; General circulation models ; Genetic vectors ; Global temperature changes ; Guillain-Barre syndrome ; Humans ; Insect Vectors - pathogenicity ; Insect Vectors - virology ; Medicine and Health Sciences ; Mosquitoes ; People and Places ; Range extension ; Ribosomal DNA ; Saudi Arabia ; Tropical diseases ; United States ; Vector-borne diseases ; Vectors (Biology) ; Viruses ; West Nile fever ; West Nile Fever - epidemiology ; West Nile Fever - transmission ; West Nile Fever - virology ; West Nile virus ; West Nile virus - pathogenicity ; Zika Virus - pathogenicity ; Zika Virus Infection - epidemiology ; Zika Virus Infection - transmission ; Zika Virus Infection - virology</subject><ispartof>PloS one, 2016-10, Vol.11 (10), p.e0163863-e0163863</ispartof><rights>COPYRIGHT 2016 Public Library of Science</rights><rights>2016 Samy et al. 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Culex quinquefasciatus Say 1823 is a potential vector of West Nile virus, Saint Louis encephalitis virus, and lymphatic filariasis. We estimated the potential distribution of Cx. quinquefasciatus under both current and future climate conditions. The present potential distribution of Cx. quinquefasciatus showed high suitability across low-latitude parts of the world, reflecting the current distribution of the species. Suitable conditions were identified also in narrow zones of North Africa and Western Europe. Model transfers to future conditions showed a potential distribution similar to that under present-day conditions, although with higher suitability in southern Australia. Highest stability with changing climate was between 30°S and 30°N. 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Change Influences on the Global Potential Distribution of the Mosquito Culex quinquefasciatus, Vector of West Nile Virus and Lymphatic Filariasis</title><author>Samy, Abdallah M ; Elaagip, Arwa H ; Kenawy, Mohamed A ; Ayres, Constância F J ; Peterson, A Townsend ; Soliman, Doaa E</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c842t-df60d0f79cd477761524849f3dc247cd73446b58e33d7891bfb11cb5b386cf0f3</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2016</creationdate><topic>Africa, Northern</topic><topic>Analysis</topic><topic>Animals</topic><topic>Aquatic insects</topic><topic>Biodiversity</topic><topic>Biology and Life Sciences</topic><topic>Climate Change</topic><topic>Climate change influences</topic><topic>Climate models</topic><topic>Climatic change influences</topic><topic>Climatic conditions</topic><topic>Culex</topic><topic>Culex - pathogenicity</topic><topic>Culex - 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Townsend</au><au>Soliman, Doaa E</au><au>LaDeau, Shannon L.</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>Climate Change Influences on the Global Potential Distribution of the Mosquito Culex quinquefasciatus, Vector of West Nile Virus and Lymphatic Filariasis</atitle><jtitle>PloS one</jtitle><addtitle>PLoS One</addtitle><date>2016-10-03</date><risdate>2016</risdate><volume>11</volume><issue>10</issue><spage>e0163863</spage><epage>e0163863</epage><pages>e0163863-e0163863</pages><issn>1932-6203</issn><eissn>1932-6203</eissn><abstract>Rapid emergence of most vector-borne diseases (VBDs) may be associated with range expansion of vector populations. Culex quinquefasciatus Say 1823 is a potential vector of West Nile virus, Saint Louis encephalitis virus, and lymphatic filariasis. We estimated the potential distribution of Cx. quinquefasciatus under both current and future climate conditions. The present potential distribution of Cx. quinquefasciatus showed high suitability across low-latitude parts of the world, reflecting the current distribution of the species. Suitable conditions were identified also in narrow zones of North Africa and Western Europe. Model transfers to future conditions showed a potential distribution similar to that under present-day conditions, although with higher suitability in southern Australia. Highest stability with changing climate was between 30°S and 30°N. The areas present high agreement among diverse climate models as regards distributional potential in the future, but differed in anticipating potential for distribution in North and Central Africa, southern Asia, central USA, and southeastern Europe. Highest disparity in model predictions across representative concentration pathways (RCPs) was in Saudi Arabia and Europe. The model predictions allow anticipation of changing distributional potential of the species in coming decades.</abstract><cop>United States</cop><pub>Public Library of Science</pub><pmid>27695107</pmid><doi>10.1371/journal.pone.0163863</doi><tpages>e0163863</tpages><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3978-1134</orcidid><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record> |
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| source | MEDLINE; DOAJ Directory of Open Access Journals; Public Library of Science (PLoS); EZB-FREE-00999 freely available EZB journals; PubMed Central; Free Full-Text Journals in Chemistry |
| subjects | Africa, Northern Analysis Animals Aquatic insects Biodiversity Biology and Life Sciences Climate Change Climate change influences Climate models Climatic change influences Climatic conditions Culex Culex - pathogenicity Culex - virology Culex pipiens Culex quinquefasciatus Culicidae Current distribution Diptera Earth Sciences Encephalitis Epidemics Europe Filariasis Future climates General circulation models Genetic vectors Global temperature changes Guillain-Barre syndrome Humans Insect Vectors - pathogenicity Insect Vectors - virology Medicine and Health Sciences Mosquitoes People and Places Range extension Ribosomal DNA Saudi Arabia Tropical diseases United States Vector-borne diseases Vectors (Biology) Viruses West Nile fever West Nile Fever - epidemiology West Nile Fever - transmission West Nile Fever - virology West Nile virus West Nile virus - pathogenicity Zika Virus - pathogenicity Zika Virus Infection - epidemiology Zika Virus Infection - transmission Zika Virus Infection - virology |
| title | Climate Change Influences on the Global Potential Distribution of the Mosquito Culex quinquefasciatus, Vector of West Nile Virus and Lymphatic Filariasis |
| url | https://sfx.bib-bvb.de/sfx_tum?ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&ctx_enc=info:ofi/enc:UTF-8&ctx_tim=2025-01-19T16%3A17%3A30IST&url_ver=Z39.88-2004&url_ctx_fmt=infofi/fmt:kev:mtx:ctx&rfr_id=info:sid/primo.exlibrisgroup.com:primo3-Article-gale_plos_&rft_val_fmt=info:ofi/fmt:kev:mtx:journal&rft.genre=article&rft.atitle=Climate%20Change%20Influences%20on%20the%20Global%20Potential%20Distribution%20of%20the%20Mosquito%20Culex%20quinquefasciatus,%20Vector%20of%20West%20Nile%20Virus%20and%20Lymphatic%20Filariasis&rft.jtitle=PloS%20one&rft.au=Samy,%20Abdallah%20M&rft.date=2016-10-03&rft.volume=11&rft.issue=10&rft.spage=e0163863&rft.epage=e0163863&rft.pages=e0163863-e0163863&rft.issn=1932-6203&rft.eissn=1932-6203&rft_id=info:doi/10.1371/journal.pone.0163863&rft_dat=%3Cgale_plos_%3EA471809779%3C/gale_plos_%3E%3Curl%3E%3C/url%3E&disable_directlink=true&sfx.directlink=off&sfx.report_link=0&rft_id=info:oai/&rft_pqid=1825439089&rft_id=info:pmid/27695107&rft_galeid=A471809779&rft_doaj_id=oai_doaj_org_article_53f4ddf9060a4d2f9dcd8f4e8f3de55f&rfr_iscdi=true |