Multidimensional Prognostic Index in Association with Future Mortality and Number of Hospital Days in a Population-Based Sample of Older Adults: Results of the EU Funded MPI_AGE Project

The Multidimensional Prognostic Index (MPI) has been found to predict mortality in patients with a variety of clinical conditions. We aimed to assess the association of the MPI with future mortality and number of in-hospital days for the first time in a population-based cohort. The study population...

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Veröffentlicht in:PloS one 2015-07, Vol.10 (7), p.e0133789-e0133789
Hauptverfasser: Angleman, Sara B, Santoni, Giola, Pilotto, Alberto, Fratiglioni, Laura, Welmer, Anna-Karin
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Santoni, Giola
Pilotto, Alberto
Fratiglioni, Laura
Welmer, Anna-Karin
description The Multidimensional Prognostic Index (MPI) has been found to predict mortality in patients with a variety of clinical conditions. We aimed to assess the association of the MPI with future mortality and number of in-hospital days for the first time in a population-based cohort. The study population consisted of 2472 persons, aged 66-99 years, from the Swedish National Study on Aging and Care in Kungsholmen, Sweden, who underwent the baseline visit 2001-4, and were followed up >10 years for in-hospital days and >12 years for mortality. The MPI was a modified version of the original and aggregated seven domains (personal and instrumental activities of daily living, cognitive function, illness severity and comorbidity, number of medications, co-habitation status, and nutritional status). The MPI score was divided into risk groups: low, medium and high. Number of in-hospital days (within 1, 3 and 10 years) and mortality data were derived from official registries. All analyses were age-stratified (sexagenarians, septuagenarians, octogenarians, nonagenarians). During the follow-up 1331 persons (53.8%) died. Laplace regression models, suggested that median survival in medium risk groups varied by age from 2.2-3.6 years earlier than for those in the corresponding low risk groups (p = 0.002-p
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We aimed to assess the association of the MPI with future mortality and number of in-hospital days for the first time in a population-based cohort. The study population consisted of 2472 persons, aged 66-99 years, from the Swedish National Study on Aging and Care in Kungsholmen, Sweden, who underwent the baseline visit 2001-4, and were followed up &gt;10 years for in-hospital days and &gt;12 years for mortality. The MPI was a modified version of the original and aggregated seven domains (personal and instrumental activities of daily living, cognitive function, illness severity and comorbidity, number of medications, co-habitation status, and nutritional status). The MPI score was divided into risk groups: low, medium and high. Number of in-hospital days (within 1, 3 and 10 years) and mortality data were derived from official registries. All analyses were age-stratified (sexagenarians, septuagenarians, octogenarians, nonagenarians). During the follow-up 1331 persons (53.8%) died. Laplace regression models, suggested that median survival in medium risk groups varied by age from 2.2-3.6 years earlier than for those in the corresponding low risk groups (p = 0.002-p&lt;0.001), and median survival in high risk groups varied by age from 3.8-9.0 years earlier than for corresponding low risk groups (p&lt;0.001). For nonagenarians, the median age at death was 3.8 years earlier in the high risk group than for the low risk group (p&lt;0.001). The mean number of in-hospital days increased significantly with higher MPI risk score within 1 and 3 years for people of each age group. For the first time, the effectiveness of MPI has been verified in a population-based cohort. Higher MPI risk scores associated with more days in hospital and with fewer years of survival, across a broad and stratified age range.</abstract><cop>United States</cop><pub>Public Library of Science</pub><pmid>26222546</pmid><doi>10.1371/journal.pone.0133789</doi><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record>
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subjects Accuracy
Activities of daily living
Adults
Age
Aged
Aged, 80 and over
Aging
Analysis
Cognitive ability
Dementia
Diabetes
Epidemiologic Studies
European Union - economics
Female
Frailty
Hospitalization
Hospitals
Humans
Length of Stay
Life expectancy
Male
Management
Medical prognosis
Models, Statistical
Mortality
Neurobiology
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Older people
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Sweden - epidemiology
title Multidimensional Prognostic Index in Association with Future Mortality and Number of Hospital Days in a Population-Based Sample of Older Adults: Results of the EU Funded MPI_AGE Project
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