A general HIV incidence inference scheme based on likelihood of individual level data and a population renewal equation

We derive a new method to estimate the age specific incidence of an infection with a differential mortality, using individual level infection status data from successive surveys. The method consists of a) an SI-type model to express the incidence rate in terms of the prevalence and its derivatives a...

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Veröffentlicht in:	PloS one 2012-09, Vol.7 (9), p.e44377-e44377
Hauptverfasser:	Mahiane, Guy Severin, Ouifki, Rachid, Brand, Hilmarie, Delva, Wim, Welte, Alex
Format:	Artikel
Sprache:	eng
Schlagworte:	Acquired immune deficiency syndrome Adolescent Adult Age Age Distribution Age Factors AIDS Analysis Cohort analysis Computer Simulation Demographics Derivatives Epidemics Epidemiology Estimates Health aspects HIV HIV - metabolism HIV Infections - epidemiology HIV Infections - mortality HIV Seropositivity HIV Seroprevalence Human immunodeficiency virus Humans Incidence Infection Infections Likelihood Functions Mathematical models Mathematics Maximum likelihood estimates Medicine Middle Aged Models, Statistical Mortality Numerical simulations Polls & surveys Population Prevalence Prevalence studies (Epidemiology) Probability Public health Surveys Time Factors Womens health
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