Prioritizing emerging zoonoses in the Netherlands
To support the development of early warning and surveillance systems of emerging zoonoses, we present a general method to prioritize pathogens using a quantitative, stochastic multi-criteria model, parameterized for the Netherlands. A risk score was based on seven criteria, reflecting assessments of...
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| Veröffentlicht in: | PloS one 2010-11, Vol.5 (11), p.e13965-e13965 |
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| creator | Havelaar, Arie H van Rosse, Floor Bucura, Catalin Toetenel, Milou A Haagsma, Juanita A Kurowicka, Dorota Heesterbeek, J Hans A P Speybroeck, Niko Langelaar, Merel F M van der Giessen, Johanna W B Cooke, Roger M Braks, Marieta A H |
| description | To support the development of early warning and surveillance systems of emerging zoonoses, we present a general method to prioritize pathogens using a quantitative, stochastic multi-criteria model, parameterized for the Netherlands.
A risk score was based on seven criteria, reflecting assessments of the epidemiology and impact of these pathogens on society. Criteria were weighed, based on the preferences of a panel of judges with a background in infectious disease control.
Pathogens with the highest risk for the Netherlands included pathogens in the livestock reservoir with a high actual human disease burden (e.g. Campylobacter spp., Toxoplasma gondii, Coxiella burnetii) or a low current but higher historic burden (e.g. Mycobacterium bovis), rare zoonotic pathogens in domestic animals with severe disease manifestations in humans (e.g. BSE prion, Capnocytophaga canimorsus) as well as arthropod-borne and wildlife associated pathogens which may pose a severe risk in future (e.g. Japanese encephalitis virus and West-Nile virus). These agents are key targets for development of early warning and surveillance. |
| doi_str_mv | 10.1371/journal.pone.0013965 |
| format | Article |
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A risk score was based on seven criteria, reflecting assessments of the epidemiology and impact of these pathogens on society. Criteria were weighed, based on the preferences of a panel of judges with a background in infectious disease control.
Pathogens with the highest risk for the Netherlands included pathogens in the livestock reservoir with a high actual human disease burden (e.g. Campylobacter spp., Toxoplasma gondii, Coxiella burnetii) or a low current but higher historic burden (e.g. Mycobacterium bovis), rare zoonotic pathogens in domestic animals with severe disease manifestations in humans (e.g. BSE prion, Capnocytophaga canimorsus) as well as arthropod-borne and wildlife associated pathogens which may pose a severe risk in future (e.g. Japanese encephalitis virus and West-Nile virus). These agents are key targets for development of early warning and surveillance.</description><identifier>ISSN: 1932-6203</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1932-6203</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0013965</identifier><identifier>PMID: 21085625</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>United States: Public Library of Science</publisher><subject>Algorithms ; Analysis ; Animal diseases ; Animals ; Campylobacter ; Communicable Diseases, Emerging - epidemiology ; Communicable Diseases, Emerging - transmission ; Consortia ; Decision making ; Disease control ; Disease Reservoirs - microbiology ; Disease Reservoirs - parasitology ; Disease Reservoirs - virology ; diseases ; Domestic animals ; Early warning systems ; Encephalitis ; Epidemiology ; Health services ; Humans ; infections ; Infectious diseases ; Knowledge management ; Livestock ; Methods ; Models, Biological ; Multiple criterion ; Netherlands - epidemiology ; Pathogens ; Public health ; Public Health and Epidemiology/Epidemiology ; Public Health and Epidemiology/Infectious Diseases ; Public Health and Epidemiology/Preventive Medicine ; Risk ; Stochastic models ; Stochasticity ; Surveillance systems ; Urban farming ; Vector-borne diseases ; Vectors (Biology) ; Viruses ; West Nile virus ; Wildlife ; Zoonoses ; Zoonoses - epidemiology ; Zoonoses - transmission</subject><ispartof>PloS one, 2010-11, Vol.5 (11), p.e13965-e13965</ispartof><rights>COPYRIGHT 2010 Public Library of Science</rights><rights>2010 Havelaar et al. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (the “License”), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited. Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License.</rights><rights>Havelaar et al. 2010</rights><rights>Wageningen University & Research</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><oa>free_for_read</oa><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c808t-cb423884861f3b58e1d01d89c11d8a0c14c26c10fd1e22df8c9d3670063cb1f3</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c808t-cb423884861f3b58e1d01d89c11d8a0c14c26c10fd1e22df8c9d3670063cb1f3</cites></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktopdf>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2981521/pdf/$$EPDF$$P50$$Gpubmedcentral$$Hfree_for_read</linktopdf><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2981521/$$EHTML$$P50$$Gpubmedcentral$$Hfree_for_read</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>230,314,723,776,780,860,881,2096,2915,23845,27901,27902,53766,53768,79569,79570</link.rule.ids><backlink>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/21085625$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed$$Hfree_for_read</backlink></links><search><creatorcontrib>Havelaar, Arie H</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>van Rosse, Floor</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Bucura, Catalin</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Toetenel, Milou A</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Haagsma, Juanita A</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Kurowicka, Dorota</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Heesterbeek, J Hans A P</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Speybroeck, Niko</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Langelaar, Merel F M</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>van der Giessen, Johanna W B</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Cooke, Roger M</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Braks, Marieta A H</creatorcontrib><title>Prioritizing emerging zoonoses in the Netherlands</title><title>PloS one</title><addtitle>PLoS One</addtitle><description>To support the development of early warning and surveillance systems of emerging zoonoses, we present a general method to prioritize pathogens using a quantitative, stochastic multi-criteria model, parameterized for the Netherlands.
A risk score was based on seven criteria, reflecting assessments of the epidemiology and impact of these pathogens on society. Criteria were weighed, based on the preferences of a panel of judges with a background in infectious disease control.
Pathogens with the highest risk for the Netherlands included pathogens in the livestock reservoir with a high actual human disease burden (e.g. Campylobacter spp., Toxoplasma gondii, Coxiella burnetii) or a low current but higher historic burden (e.g. Mycobacterium bovis), rare zoonotic pathogens in domestic animals with severe disease manifestations in humans (e.g. BSE prion, Capnocytophaga canimorsus) as well as arthropod-borne and wildlife associated pathogens which may pose a severe risk in future (e.g. Japanese encephalitis virus and West-Nile virus). These agents are key targets for development of early warning and surveillance.</description><subject>Algorithms</subject><subject>Analysis</subject><subject>Animal diseases</subject><subject>Animals</subject><subject>Campylobacter</subject><subject>Communicable Diseases, Emerging - epidemiology</subject><subject>Communicable Diseases, Emerging - transmission</subject><subject>Consortia</subject><subject>Decision making</subject><subject>Disease control</subject><subject>Disease Reservoirs - microbiology</subject><subject>Disease Reservoirs - parasitology</subject><subject>Disease Reservoirs - virology</subject><subject>diseases</subject><subject>Domestic animals</subject><subject>Early warning systems</subject><subject>Encephalitis</subject><subject>Epidemiology</subject><subject>Health services</subject><subject>Humans</subject><subject>infections</subject><subject>Infectious diseases</subject><subject>Knowledge management</subject><subject>Livestock</subject><subject>Methods</subject><subject>Models, Biological</subject><subject>Multiple criterion</subject><subject>Netherlands - epidemiology</subject><subject>Pathogens</subject><subject>Public health</subject><subject>Public Health and Epidemiology/Epidemiology</subject><subject>Public Health and Epidemiology/Infectious Diseases</subject><subject>Public Health and Epidemiology/Preventive Medicine</subject><subject>Risk</subject><subject>Stochastic models</subject><subject>Stochasticity</subject><subject>Surveillance systems</subject><subject>Urban farming</subject><subject>Vector-borne diseases</subject><subject>Vectors (Biology)</subject><subject>Viruses</subject><subject>West Nile virus</subject><subject>Wildlife</subject><subject>Zoonoses</subject><subject>Zoonoses - epidemiology</subject><subject>Zoonoses - transmission</subject><issn>1932-6203</issn><issn>1932-6203</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2010</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><sourceid>EIF</sourceid><sourceid>BENPR</sourceid><sourceid>DOA</sourceid><recordid>eNqNk1uL1DAYhoso7kH_geiAsOLFjDk38UJYFg8Diyu6eBvSNO1kyCSzSevq_nrTne4ylb2QQhLS533z5W2_ongBwQLiEr5bhz565Rbb4M0CAIgFo4-KQygwmjME8OO99UFxlNIaAIo5Y0-LAwQBpwzRwwJ-izZE29kb69uZ2ZjYDoubEHxIJs2sn3UrM_tq8hid8nV6VjxplEvm-TgfF5efPl6efZmfX3xenp2ezzUHvJvriiDMOeEMNrii3MAawJoLDfOogIZEI6YhaGpoEKobrkWNWQkAw7rKkuPi1c5260KS42WThEhQBEoIRCaWO6IOai230W5U_CODsvJ2I8RWqthZ7YxEpWAlFLwhQpGGk0rVFORa8pmAN0xnr_c7r2vVGp8TMF56FbVNt4bOVnEwv-6j9G6Ytn2VJEFQEJrFH8ZS-2pjam18F5WbVDR94-1KtuGXRIJDimA2eDMaxHDVm9TJjU3auJy3CX2SOVDCIC0H8vU_5MPJjFSr8uWtb0I-Vg-e8pSUmGNK6FD24gEqP7XZWJ3_qsbm_Yng7USQmc787lrVpySXP77_P3vxc8qe7LEro1y3SsH1nQ0-TUGyA3UMKUXT3GcMgRya4i4NOTSFHJsiy17uf5970V0X4L_Ipgcs</recordid><startdate>20101115</startdate><enddate>20101115</enddate><creator>Havelaar, Arie H</creator><creator>van Rosse, Floor</creator><creator>Bucura, Catalin</creator><creator>Toetenel, Milou A</creator><creator>Haagsma, Juanita A</creator><creator>Kurowicka, Dorota</creator><creator>Heesterbeek, J Hans A P</creator><creator>Speybroeck, Niko</creator><creator>Langelaar, Merel F M</creator><creator>van der Giessen, Johanna W B</creator><creator>Cooke, Roger M</creator><creator>Braks, Marieta A H</creator><general>Public Library of Science</general><general>Public Library of Science (PLoS)</general><scope>CGR</scope><scope>CUY</scope><scope>CVF</scope><scope>ECM</scope><scope>EIF</scope><scope>NPM</scope><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>IOV</scope><scope>ISR</scope><scope>3V.</scope><scope>7QG</scope><scope>7QL</scope><scope>7QO</scope><scope>7RV</scope><scope>7SN</scope><scope>7SS</scope><scope>7T5</scope><scope>7TG</scope><scope>7TM</scope><scope>7U9</scope><scope>7X2</scope><scope>7X7</scope><scope>7XB</scope><scope>88E</scope><scope>8AO</scope><scope>8C1</scope><scope>8FD</scope><scope>8FE</scope><scope>8FG</scope><scope>8FH</scope><scope>8FI</scope><scope>8FJ</scope><scope>8FK</scope><scope>ABJCF</scope><scope>ABUWG</scope><scope>AEUYN</scope><scope>AFKRA</scope><scope>ARAPS</scope><scope>ATCPS</scope><scope>AZQEC</scope><scope>BBNVY</scope><scope>BENPR</scope><scope>BGLVJ</scope><scope>BHPHI</scope><scope>C1K</scope><scope>CCPQU</scope><scope>D1I</scope><scope>DWQXO</scope><scope>FR3</scope><scope>FYUFA</scope><scope>GHDGH</scope><scope>GNUQQ</scope><scope>H94</scope><scope>HCIFZ</scope><scope>K9.</scope><scope>KB.</scope><scope>KB0</scope><scope>KL.</scope><scope>L6V</scope><scope>LK8</scope><scope>M0K</scope><scope>M0S</scope><scope>M1P</scope><scope>M7N</scope><scope>M7P</scope><scope>M7S</scope><scope>NAPCQ</scope><scope>P5Z</scope><scope>P62</scope><scope>P64</scope><scope>PATMY</scope><scope>PDBOC</scope><scope>PIMPY</scope><scope>PQEST</scope><scope>PQQKQ</scope><scope>PQUKI</scope><scope>PRINS</scope><scope>PTHSS</scope><scope>PYCSY</scope><scope>RC3</scope><scope>7X8</scope><scope>5PM</scope><scope>QVL</scope><scope>DOA</scope></search><sort><creationdate>20101115</creationdate><title>Prioritizing emerging zoonoses in the Netherlands</title><author>Havelaar, Arie H ; van Rosse, Floor ; Bucura, Catalin ; Toetenel, Milou A ; Haagsma, Juanita A ; Kurowicka, Dorota ; Heesterbeek, J Hans A P ; Speybroeck, Niko ; Langelaar, Merel F M ; van der Giessen, Johanna W B ; Cooke, Roger M ; Braks, Marieta A H</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c808t-cb423884861f3b58e1d01d89c11d8a0c14c26c10fd1e22df8c9d3670063cb1f3</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2010</creationdate><topic>Algorithms</topic><topic>Analysis</topic><topic>Animal diseases</topic><topic>Animals</topic><topic>Campylobacter</topic><topic>Communicable Diseases, Emerging - 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A risk score was based on seven criteria, reflecting assessments of the epidemiology and impact of these pathogens on society. Criteria were weighed, based on the preferences of a panel of judges with a background in infectious disease control.
Pathogens with the highest risk for the Netherlands included pathogens in the livestock reservoir with a high actual human disease burden (e.g. Campylobacter spp., Toxoplasma gondii, Coxiella burnetii) or a low current but higher historic burden (e.g. Mycobacterium bovis), rare zoonotic pathogens in domestic animals with severe disease manifestations in humans (e.g. BSE prion, Capnocytophaga canimorsus) as well as arthropod-borne and wildlife associated pathogens which may pose a severe risk in future (e.g. Japanese encephalitis virus and West-Nile virus). These agents are key targets for development of early warning and surveillance.</abstract><cop>United States</cop><pub>Public Library of Science</pub><pmid>21085625</pmid><doi>10.1371/journal.pone.0013965</doi><tpages>e13965</tpages><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record> |
| fulltext | fulltext |
| identifier | ISSN: 1932-6203 |
| ispartof | PloS one, 2010-11, Vol.5 (11), p.e13965-e13965 |
| issn | 1932-6203 1932-6203 |
| language | eng |
| recordid | cdi_plos_journals_1295207109 |
| source | MEDLINE; DOAJ Directory of Open Access Journals; Elektronische Zeitschriftenbibliothek - Frei zugängliche E-Journals; PubMed Central; Free Full-Text Journals in Chemistry; Public Library of Science (PLoS) |
| subjects | Algorithms Analysis Animal diseases Animals Campylobacter Communicable Diseases, Emerging - epidemiology Communicable Diseases, Emerging - transmission Consortia Decision making Disease control Disease Reservoirs - microbiology Disease Reservoirs - parasitology Disease Reservoirs - virology diseases Domestic animals Early warning systems Encephalitis Epidemiology Health services Humans infections Infectious diseases Knowledge management Livestock Methods Models, Biological Multiple criterion Netherlands - epidemiology Pathogens Public health Public Health and Epidemiology/Epidemiology Public Health and Epidemiology/Infectious Diseases Public Health and Epidemiology/Preventive Medicine Risk Stochastic models Stochasticity Surveillance systems Urban farming Vector-borne diseases Vectors (Biology) Viruses West Nile virus Wildlife Zoonoses Zoonoses - epidemiology Zoonoses - transmission |
| title | Prioritizing emerging zoonoses in the Netherlands |
| url | https://sfx.bib-bvb.de/sfx_tum?ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&ctx_enc=info:ofi/enc:UTF-8&ctx_tim=2025-02-13T20%3A48%3A22IST&url_ver=Z39.88-2004&url_ctx_fmt=infofi/fmt:kev:mtx:ctx&rfr_id=info:sid/primo.exlibrisgroup.com:primo3-Article-gale_plos_&rft_val_fmt=info:ofi/fmt:kev:mtx:journal&rft.genre=article&rft.atitle=Prioritizing%20emerging%20zoonoses%20in%20the%20Netherlands&rft.jtitle=PloS%20one&rft.au=Havelaar,%20Arie%20H&rft.date=2010-11-15&rft.volume=5&rft.issue=11&rft.spage=e13965&rft.epage=e13965&rft.pages=e13965-e13965&rft.issn=1932-6203&rft.eissn=1932-6203&rft_id=info:doi/10.1371/journal.pone.0013965&rft_dat=%3Cgale_plos_%3EA473835455%3C/gale_plos_%3E%3Curl%3E%3C/url%3E&disable_directlink=true&sfx.directlink=off&sfx.report_link=0&rft_id=info:oai/&rft_pqid=1295207109&rft_id=info:pmid/21085625&rft_galeid=A473835455&rft_doaj_id=oai_doaj_org_article_27967198f49a4f84bad5089cc9d08f6c&rfr_iscdi=true |