Series Systems and Reliability Demonstration Tests

For series systems at equilibrium, the exponential distribution for times between failures is reasonably well justified. In the transient state, the exponential distribution applies also, but with a time varying scale parameter. Ignoring this parameter and using a partly aged system to make inferenc...

Ausführliche Beschreibung

Gespeichert in:
Bibliographische Detailangaben
Veröffentlicht in:Operations research 1984-05, Vol.32 (3), p.641-648
Hauptverfasser: Blumenthal, Saul, Greenwood, J. Arthur, Herbach, Leon H
Format: Artikel
Sprache:eng
Schlagworte:
Online-Zugang:Volltext
Tags: Tag hinzufügen
Keine Tags, Fügen Sie den ersten Tag hinzu!
container_end_page 648
container_issue 3
container_start_page 641
container_title Operations research
container_volume 32
creator Blumenthal, Saul
Greenwood, J. Arthur
Herbach, Leon H
description For series systems at equilibrium, the exponential distribution for times between failures is reasonably well justified. In the transient state, the exponential distribution applies also, but with a time varying scale parameter. Ignoring this parameter and using a partly aged system to make inferences about the mean life of a fully aged system can lead to very misleading outcomes. In particular, we show that reliability demonstration tests may have unacceptably high consumer's risk when applied in this manner.
doi_str_mv 10.1287/opre.32.3.641
format Article
fullrecord <record><control><sourceid>jstor_pasca</sourceid><recordid>TN_cdi_pascalfrancis_primary_9050886</recordid><sourceformat>XML</sourceformat><sourcesystem>PC</sourcesystem><jstor_id>170482</jstor_id><sourcerecordid>170482</sourcerecordid><originalsourceid>FETCH-LOGICAL-c438t-d7c4116c3b8c078ea598be1853fc0fdf1990f87c15e427a0d655c511db8aa3903</originalsourceid><addsrcrecordid>eNqFkM1rFEEQxRsx4Bo9evIyqOTkrFX9NT1HifEDAoEkgremt6fH9DIzvXbNIvvf2-uuBgTJqQ7v994rHmMvEJbITfMubXJYCr4USy3xEVug4rpWUovHbAEgoBZafnvCnhKtAaBVWi0Yvwk5BqpudjSHkSo3ddV1GKJbxSHOu-pDGNNEc3ZzTFN1G2imZ-ykdwOF58d7yr5-vLg9_1xfXn36cv7-svZSmLnuGi8RtRcr46ExwanWrAIaJXoPfddj20JvGo8qSN446LRSXiF2K-OcaEGcsrND7ianH9vSbMdIPgyDm0LakuVSYvHIAr76B1ynbZ7Kb5ZjixpBYoFe_w9CUcYxgqMoVH2gfE5EOfR2k-Po8s4i2P3Idj-yFdwKq3-nvjmmOvJu6LObfKS_phYUGKML9vKArWlO-T6zAWl4Ud8e1Dj1KY_0YOdxl7v4_e5nLNIf356je_AXMRmgKQ</addsrcrecordid><sourcetype>Aggregation Database</sourcetype><iscdi>true</iscdi><recordtype>article</recordtype><pqid>1303083213</pqid></control><display><type>article</type><title>Series Systems and Reliability Demonstration Tests</title><source>Jstor Complete Legacy</source><source>INFORMS PubsOnLine</source><source>Business Source Complete</source><source>Periodicals Index Online</source><creator>Blumenthal, Saul ; Greenwood, J. Arthur ; Herbach, Leon H</creator><creatorcontrib>Blumenthal, Saul ; Greenwood, J. Arthur ; Herbach, Leon H</creatorcontrib><description>For series systems at equilibrium, the exponential distribution for times between failures is reasonably well justified. In the transient state, the exponential distribution applies also, but with a time varying scale parameter. Ignoring this parameter and using a partly aged system to make inferences about the mean life of a fully aged system can lead to very misleading outcomes. In particular, we show that reliability demonstration tests may have unacceptably high consumer's risk when applied in this manner.</description><identifier>ISSN: 0030-364X</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1526-5463</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1287/opre.32.3.641</identifier><identifier>CODEN: OPREAI</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Linthicum, MD: INFORMS</publisher><subject>721 reliability of series systems ; 728 acceptance sampling of series systems ; Applied sciences ; Exact sciences and technology ; Failure ; Operational research and scientific management ; Operational research. Management science ; Operations research ; Reliability ; Reliability theory. Replacement problems ; Series ; Systems ; Tests</subject><ispartof>Operations research, 1984-05, Vol.32 (3), p.641-648</ispartof><rights>Copyright 1984 The Operations Research Society of America</rights><rights>1985 INIST-CNRS</rights><rights>Copyright Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences May/Jun 1984</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c438t-d7c4116c3b8c078ea598be1853fc0fdf1990f87c15e427a0d655c511db8aa3903</citedby></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktopdf>$$Uhttps://www.jstor.org/stable/pdf/170482$$EPDF$$P50$$Gjstor$$H</linktopdf><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://pubsonline.informs.org/doi/full/10.1287/opre.32.3.641$$EHTML$$P50$$Ginforms$$H</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>314,776,780,799,3679,27846,27901,27902,57992,58225,62589</link.rule.ids><backlink>$$Uhttp://pascal-francis.inist.fr/vibad/index.php?action=getRecordDetail&amp;idt=9050886$$DView record in Pascal Francis$$Hfree_for_read</backlink></links><search><creatorcontrib>Blumenthal, Saul</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Greenwood, J. Arthur</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Herbach, Leon H</creatorcontrib><title>Series Systems and Reliability Demonstration Tests</title><title>Operations research</title><description>For series systems at equilibrium, the exponential distribution for times between failures is reasonably well justified. In the transient state, the exponential distribution applies also, but with a time varying scale parameter. Ignoring this parameter and using a partly aged system to make inferences about the mean life of a fully aged system can lead to very misleading outcomes. In particular, we show that reliability demonstration tests may have unacceptably high consumer's risk when applied in this manner.</description><subject>721 reliability of series systems</subject><subject>728 acceptance sampling of series systems</subject><subject>Applied sciences</subject><subject>Exact sciences and technology</subject><subject>Failure</subject><subject>Operational research and scientific management</subject><subject>Operational research. Management science</subject><subject>Operations research</subject><subject>Reliability</subject><subject>Reliability theory. Replacement problems</subject><subject>Series</subject><subject>Systems</subject><subject>Tests</subject><issn>0030-364X</issn><issn>1526-5463</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>1984</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><sourceid>K30</sourceid><recordid>eNqFkM1rFEEQxRsx4Bo9evIyqOTkrFX9NT1HifEDAoEkgremt6fH9DIzvXbNIvvf2-uuBgTJqQ7v994rHmMvEJbITfMubXJYCr4USy3xEVug4rpWUovHbAEgoBZafnvCnhKtAaBVWi0Yvwk5BqpudjSHkSo3ddV1GKJbxSHOu-pDGNNEc3ZzTFN1G2imZ-ykdwOF58d7yr5-vLg9_1xfXn36cv7-svZSmLnuGi8RtRcr46ExwanWrAIaJXoPfddj20JvGo8qSN446LRSXiF2K-OcaEGcsrND7ianH9vSbMdIPgyDm0LakuVSYvHIAr76B1ynbZ7Kb5ZjixpBYoFe_w9CUcYxgqMoVH2gfE5EOfR2k-Po8s4i2P3Idj-yFdwKq3-nvjmmOvJu6LObfKS_phYUGKML9vKArWlO-T6zAWl4Ud8e1Dj1KY_0YOdxl7v4_e5nLNIf356je_AXMRmgKQ</recordid><startdate>19840501</startdate><enddate>19840501</enddate><creator>Blumenthal, Saul</creator><creator>Greenwood, J. Arthur</creator><creator>Herbach, Leon H</creator><general>INFORMS</general><general>Operations Research Society of America</general><general>Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences</general><scope>IQODW</scope><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>HJHVS</scope><scope>IBDFT</scope><scope>K30</scope><scope>PAAUG</scope><scope>PAWHS</scope><scope>PAWZZ</scope><scope>PAXOH</scope><scope>PBHAV</scope><scope>PBQSW</scope><scope>PBYQZ</scope><scope>PCIWU</scope><scope>PCMID</scope><scope>PCZJX</scope><scope>PDGRG</scope><scope>PDWWI</scope><scope>PETMR</scope><scope>PFVGT</scope><scope>PGXDX</scope><scope>PIHIL</scope><scope>PISVA</scope><scope>PJCTQ</scope><scope>PJTMS</scope><scope>PLCHJ</scope><scope>PMHAD</scope><scope>PNQDJ</scope><scope>POUND</scope><scope>PPLAD</scope><scope>PQAPC</scope><scope>PQCAN</scope><scope>PQCMW</scope><scope>PQEME</scope><scope>PQHKH</scope><scope>PQMID</scope><scope>PQNCT</scope><scope>PQNET</scope><scope>PQSCT</scope><scope>PQSET</scope><scope>PSVJG</scope><scope>PVMQY</scope><scope>PZGFC</scope><scope>JQ2</scope><scope>K9.</scope><scope>7SC</scope><scope>8FD</scope><scope>L7M</scope><scope>L~C</scope><scope>L~D</scope></search><sort><creationdate>19840501</creationdate><title>Series Systems and Reliability Demonstration Tests</title><author>Blumenthal, Saul ; Greenwood, J. Arthur ; Herbach, Leon H</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c438t-d7c4116c3b8c078ea598be1853fc0fdf1990f87c15e427a0d655c511db8aa3903</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>1984</creationdate><topic>721 reliability of series systems</topic><topic>728 acceptance sampling of series systems</topic><topic>Applied sciences</topic><topic>Exact sciences and technology</topic><topic>Failure</topic><topic>Operational research and scientific management</topic><topic>Operational research. Management science</topic><topic>Operations research</topic><topic>Reliability</topic><topic>Reliability theory. Replacement problems</topic><topic>Series</topic><topic>Systems</topic><topic>Tests</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Blumenthal, Saul</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Greenwood, J. Arthur</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Herbach, Leon H</creatorcontrib><collection>Pascal-Francis</collection><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>Periodicals Index Online Segment 19</collection><collection>Periodicals Index Online Segment 27</collection><collection>Periodicals Index Online</collection><collection>Primary Sources Access—Foundation Edition (Plan E) - West</collection><collection>Primary Sources Access (Plan D) - International</collection><collection>Primary Sources Access &amp; Build (Plan A) - MEA</collection><collection>Primary Sources Access—Foundation Edition (Plan E) - Midwest</collection><collection>Primary Sources Access—Foundation Edition (Plan E) - Northeast</collection><collection>Primary Sources Access (Plan D) - Southeast</collection><collection>Primary Sources Access (Plan D) - North Central</collection><collection>Primary Sources Access—Foundation Edition (Plan E) - Southeast</collection><collection>Primary Sources Access (Plan D) - South Central</collection><collection>Primary Sources Access &amp; Build (Plan A) - UK / I</collection><collection>Primary Sources Access (Plan D) - Canada</collection><collection>Primary Sources Access (Plan D) - EMEALA</collection><collection>Primary Sources Access—Foundation Edition (Plan E) - North Central</collection><collection>Primary Sources Access—Foundation Edition (Plan E) - South Central</collection><collection>Primary Sources Access &amp; Build (Plan A) - International</collection><collection>Primary Sources Access—Foundation Edition (Plan E) - International</collection><collection>Primary Sources Access (Plan D) - West</collection><collection>Periodicals Index Online Segments 1-50</collection><collection>Primary Sources Access (Plan D) - APAC</collection><collection>Primary Sources Access (Plan D) - Midwest</collection><collection>Primary Sources Access (Plan D) - MEA</collection><collection>Primary Sources Access—Foundation Edition (Plan E) - Canada</collection><collection>Primary Sources Access—Foundation Edition (Plan E) - UK / I</collection><collection>Primary Sources Access—Foundation Edition (Plan E) - EMEALA</collection><collection>Primary Sources Access &amp; Build (Plan A) - APAC</collection><collection>Primary Sources Access &amp; Build (Plan A) - Canada</collection><collection>Primary Sources Access &amp; Build (Plan A) - West</collection><collection>Primary Sources Access &amp; Build (Plan A) - EMEALA</collection><collection>Primary Sources Access (Plan D) - Northeast</collection><collection>Primary Sources Access &amp; Build (Plan A) - Midwest</collection><collection>Primary Sources Access &amp; Build (Plan A) - North Central</collection><collection>Primary Sources Access &amp; Build (Plan A) - Northeast</collection><collection>Primary Sources Access &amp; Build (Plan A) - South Central</collection><collection>Primary Sources Access &amp; Build (Plan A) - Southeast</collection><collection>Primary Sources Access (Plan D) - UK / I</collection><collection>Primary Sources Access—Foundation Edition (Plan E) - APAC</collection><collection>Primary Sources Access—Foundation Edition (Plan E) - MEA</collection><collection>ProQuest Computer Science Collection</collection><collection>ProQuest Health &amp; Medical Complete (Alumni)</collection><collection>Computer and Information Systems Abstracts</collection><collection>Technology Research Database</collection><collection>Advanced Technologies Database with Aerospace</collection><collection>Computer and Information Systems Abstracts – Academic</collection><collection>Computer and Information Systems Abstracts Professional</collection><jtitle>Operations research</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Blumenthal, Saul</au><au>Greenwood, J. Arthur</au><au>Herbach, Leon H</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>Series Systems and Reliability Demonstration Tests</atitle><jtitle>Operations research</jtitle><date>1984-05-01</date><risdate>1984</risdate><volume>32</volume><issue>3</issue><spage>641</spage><epage>648</epage><pages>641-648</pages><issn>0030-364X</issn><eissn>1526-5463</eissn><coden>OPREAI</coden><abstract>For series systems at equilibrium, the exponential distribution for times between failures is reasonably well justified. In the transient state, the exponential distribution applies also, but with a time varying scale parameter. Ignoring this parameter and using a partly aged system to make inferences about the mean life of a fully aged system can lead to very misleading outcomes. In particular, we show that reliability demonstration tests may have unacceptably high consumer's risk when applied in this manner.</abstract><cop>Linthicum, MD</cop><pub>INFORMS</pub><doi>10.1287/opre.32.3.641</doi><tpages>8</tpages></addata></record>
fulltext fulltext
identifier ISSN: 0030-364X
ispartof Operations research, 1984-05, Vol.32 (3), p.641-648
issn 0030-364X
1526-5463
language eng
recordid cdi_pascalfrancis_primary_9050886
source Jstor Complete Legacy; INFORMS PubsOnLine; Business Source Complete; Periodicals Index Online
subjects 721 reliability of series systems
728 acceptance sampling of series systems
Applied sciences
Exact sciences and technology
Failure
Operational research and scientific management
Operational research. Management science
Operations research
Reliability
Reliability theory. Replacement problems
Series
Systems
Tests
title Series Systems and Reliability Demonstration Tests
url https://sfx.bib-bvb.de/sfx_tum?ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&ctx_enc=info:ofi/enc:UTF-8&ctx_tim=2025-02-05T07%3A42%3A48IST&url_ver=Z39.88-2004&url_ctx_fmt=infofi/fmt:kev:mtx:ctx&rfr_id=info:sid/primo.exlibrisgroup.com:primo3-Article-jstor_pasca&rft_val_fmt=info:ofi/fmt:kev:mtx:journal&rft.genre=article&rft.atitle=Series%20Systems%20and%20Reliability%20Demonstration%20Tests&rft.jtitle=Operations%20research&rft.au=Blumenthal,%20Saul&rft.date=1984-05-01&rft.volume=32&rft.issue=3&rft.spage=641&rft.epage=648&rft.pages=641-648&rft.issn=0030-364X&rft.eissn=1526-5463&rft.coden=OPREAI&rft_id=info:doi/10.1287/opre.32.3.641&rft_dat=%3Cjstor_pasca%3E170482%3C/jstor_pasca%3E%3Curl%3E%3C/url%3E&disable_directlink=true&sfx.directlink=off&sfx.report_link=0&rft_id=info:oai/&rft_pqid=1303083213&rft_id=info:pmid/&rft_jstor_id=170482&rfr_iscdi=true