Comparison of Local Recurrence Risk Estimates After Breast-Conserving Surgery for DCIS: DCIS Nomogram Versus Refined Oncotype DX Breast DCIS Score

Background A ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS) Nomogram integrating 10 clinicopathologic/treatment factors and a Refined DCIS Score (RDS) that incorporates a genomic assay and three clinicopathologic factors (Oncotype DX DCIS Score) are available to estimate DCIS 10-year local recurrence risk (LRR). T...

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Veröffentlicht in:Annals of surgical oncology 2019-10, Vol.26 (10), p.3282-3288
Hauptverfasser: Van Zee, Kimberly J., Zabor, Emily C., Di Donato, Rosemarie, Harmon, Bryan, Fox, Jana, Morrow, Monica, Cody, Hiram S., Fineberg, Susan A.
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container_end_page 3288
container_issue 10
container_start_page 3282
container_title Annals of surgical oncology
container_volume 26
creator Van Zee, Kimberly J.
Zabor, Emily C.
Di Donato, Rosemarie
Harmon, Bryan
Fox, Jana
Morrow, Monica
Cody, Hiram S.
Fineberg, Susan A.
description Background A ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS) Nomogram integrating 10 clinicopathologic/treatment factors and a Refined DCIS Score (RDS) that incorporates a genomic assay and three clinicopathologic factors (Oncotype DX DCIS Score) are available to estimate DCIS 10-year local recurrence risk (LRR). This study compared these estimates. Methods Patients 50 years of age or older with DCIS size 2.5 cm or smaller and a genomic assay available were identified. An RDS within 1–2% of the range of Nomogram LRR estimates obtained by assuming use and non-use of endocrine therapy (Nomogram ± ET) was defined as concordant. Assuming a 10-year risk threshold of 10% for recommending radiation, Nomogram ± ET and RDS estimates were compared, and threshold concordance was determined. Results For 54 (92%) of 59 patients, the RDS and Nomogram ± ET LRR estimates were concordant. For the remaining 5 (8%) of the 59 patients, the RDS LRR estimates were lower than the Nomogram + ET estimates, with an absolute difference of 3–8%, and thus were discordant. For these five patients, the RDS estimates of 10-year LRR were lower than 10% (range 5–8%) and the Nomogram + ET estimates were 10% or higher (range 11–14%). These five patients with both discordant and threshold-discordant estimates all had close margins (≤ 2 mm). Conclusions Among 92% of women 50 years of age or older with DCIS size 2.5 cm or smaller, free-of-charge online Nomogram 10-year LRR estimates were concordant with those obtained using the commercially available RDS (> $4600). Among the 8% with discordant risk estimates, the RDS appeared to underestimate the LRR and may lead to inappropriate omission of radiotherapy. Unless other data show a clinically significant advantage of the RDS (Oncotype DX DCIS Score), the study data suggest that for women 50 years of age or older with DCIS size 2.5 cm or smaller, its use is not warranted.
doi_str_mv 10.1245/s10434-019-07537-y
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This study compared these estimates. Methods Patients 50 years of age or older with DCIS size 2.5 cm or smaller and a genomic assay available were identified. An RDS within 1–2% of the range of Nomogram LRR estimates obtained by assuming use and non-use of endocrine therapy (Nomogram ± ET) was defined as concordant. Assuming a 10-year risk threshold of 10% for recommending radiation, Nomogram ± ET and RDS estimates were compared, and threshold concordance was determined. Results For 54 (92%) of 59 patients, the RDS and Nomogram ± ET LRR estimates were concordant. For the remaining 5 (8%) of the 59 patients, the RDS LRR estimates were lower than the Nomogram + ET estimates, with an absolute difference of 3–8%, and thus were discordant. For these five patients, the RDS estimates of 10-year LRR were lower than 10% (range 5–8%) and the Nomogram + ET estimates were 10% or higher (range 11–14%). These five patients with both discordant and threshold-discordant estimates all had close margins (≤ 2 mm). Conclusions Among 92% of women 50 years of age or older with DCIS size 2.5 cm or smaller, free-of-charge online Nomogram 10-year LRR estimates were concordant with those obtained using the commercially available RDS (&gt; $4600). Among the 8% with discordant risk estimates, the RDS appeared to underestimate the LRR and may lead to inappropriate omission of radiotherapy. Unless other data show a clinically significant advantage of the RDS (Oncotype DX DCIS Score), the study data suggest that for women 50 years of age or older with DCIS size 2.5 cm or smaller, its use is not warranted.</description><identifier>ISSN: 1068-9265</identifier><identifier>ISSN: 1534-4681</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1534-4681</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1245/s10434-019-07537-y</identifier><identifier>PMID: 31342373</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Cham: Springer International Publishing</publisher><subject>Aged ; Aged, 80 and over ; Biomarkers, Tumor - genetics ; Breast ; Breast cancer ; Breast Neoplasms - pathology ; Breast Neoplasms - surgery ; Breast Oncology ; Breast surgery ; CARCINOMAS ; Endocrine therapy ; Estimates ; Female ; Follow-Up Studies ; Gene Expression Profiling ; Humans ; Incidence ; MAMMARY GLANDS ; Mastectomy, Segmental - adverse effects ; Medicine ; Medicine &amp; Public Health ; Middle Aged ; Neoplasm Recurrence, Local - diagnosis ; Neoplasm Recurrence, Local - epidemiology ; Neoplasm Recurrence, Local - etiology ; New York - epidemiology ; NOMOGRAMS ; Oncology ; PATIENTS ; Prognosis ; Radiation therapy ; RADIOLOGY AND NUCLEAR MEDICINE ; RADIOTHERAPY ; Risk Assessment - methods ; SURGERY ; Surgical Oncology ; Survival Rate ; WOMEN</subject><ispartof>Annals of surgical oncology, 2019-10, Vol.26 (10), p.3282-3288</ispartof><rights>Society of Surgical Oncology 2019</rights><rights>Annals of Surgical Oncology is a copyright of Springer, (2019). All Rights Reserved.</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><oa>free_for_read</oa><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c447t-4d33f003d6a71699b883e3caf94ea83b1c1746ad2c3ec7059d74ebd161bf964c3</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c447t-4d33f003d6a71699b883e3caf94ea83b1c1746ad2c3ec7059d74ebd161bf964c3</cites><orcidid>0000-0001-9550-4647</orcidid></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktopdf>$$Uhttps://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1245/s10434-019-07537-y$$EPDF$$P50$$Gspringer$$H</linktopdf><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://link.springer.com/10.1245/s10434-019-07537-y$$EHTML$$P50$$Gspringer$$H</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>230,314,780,784,885,27924,27925,41488,42557,51319</link.rule.ids><backlink>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/31342373$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed$$Hfree_for_read</backlink><backlink>$$Uhttps://www.osti.gov/biblio/22927591$$D View this record in Osti.gov$$Hfree_for_read</backlink></links><search><creatorcontrib>Van Zee, Kimberly J.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Zabor, Emily C.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Di Donato, Rosemarie</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Harmon, Bryan</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Fox, Jana</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Morrow, Monica</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Cody, Hiram S.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Fineberg, Susan A.</creatorcontrib><title>Comparison of Local Recurrence Risk Estimates After Breast-Conserving Surgery for DCIS: DCIS Nomogram Versus Refined Oncotype DX Breast DCIS Score</title><title>Annals of surgical oncology</title><addtitle>Ann Surg Oncol</addtitle><addtitle>Ann Surg Oncol</addtitle><description>Background A ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS) Nomogram integrating 10 clinicopathologic/treatment factors and a Refined DCIS Score (RDS) that incorporates a genomic assay and three clinicopathologic factors (Oncotype DX DCIS Score) are available to estimate DCIS 10-year local recurrence risk (LRR). This study compared these estimates. Methods Patients 50 years of age or older with DCIS size 2.5 cm or smaller and a genomic assay available were identified. An RDS within 1–2% of the range of Nomogram LRR estimates obtained by assuming use and non-use of endocrine therapy (Nomogram ± ET) was defined as concordant. Assuming a 10-year risk threshold of 10% for recommending radiation, Nomogram ± ET and RDS estimates were compared, and threshold concordance was determined. Results For 54 (92%) of 59 patients, the RDS and Nomogram ± ET LRR estimates were concordant. For the remaining 5 (8%) of the 59 patients, the RDS LRR estimates were lower than the Nomogram + ET estimates, with an absolute difference of 3–8%, and thus were discordant. For these five patients, the RDS estimates of 10-year LRR were lower than 10% (range 5–8%) and the Nomogram + ET estimates were 10% or higher (range 11–14%). These five patients with both discordant and threshold-discordant estimates all had close margins (≤ 2 mm). Conclusions Among 92% of women 50 years of age or older with DCIS size 2.5 cm or smaller, free-of-charge online Nomogram 10-year LRR estimates were concordant with those obtained using the commercially available RDS (&gt; $4600). Among the 8% with discordant risk estimates, the RDS appeared to underestimate the LRR and may lead to inappropriate omission of radiotherapy. Unless other data show a clinically significant advantage of the RDS (Oncotype DX DCIS Score), the study data suggest that for women 50 years of age or older with DCIS size 2.5 cm or smaller, its use is not warranted.</description><subject>Aged</subject><subject>Aged, 80 and over</subject><subject>Biomarkers, Tumor - genetics</subject><subject>Breast</subject><subject>Breast cancer</subject><subject>Breast Neoplasms - pathology</subject><subject>Breast Neoplasms - surgery</subject><subject>Breast Oncology</subject><subject>Breast surgery</subject><subject>CARCINOMAS</subject><subject>Endocrine therapy</subject><subject>Estimates</subject><subject>Female</subject><subject>Follow-Up Studies</subject><subject>Gene Expression Profiling</subject><subject>Humans</subject><subject>Incidence</subject><subject>MAMMARY GLANDS</subject><subject>Mastectomy, Segmental - adverse effects</subject><subject>Medicine</subject><subject>Medicine &amp; Public Health</subject><subject>Middle Aged</subject><subject>Neoplasm Recurrence, Local - diagnosis</subject><subject>Neoplasm Recurrence, Local - epidemiology</subject><subject>Neoplasm Recurrence, Local - etiology</subject><subject>New York - epidemiology</subject><subject>NOMOGRAMS</subject><subject>Oncology</subject><subject>PATIENTS</subject><subject>Prognosis</subject><subject>Radiation therapy</subject><subject>RADIOLOGY AND NUCLEAR MEDICINE</subject><subject>RADIOTHERAPY</subject><subject>Risk Assessment - methods</subject><subject>SURGERY</subject><subject>Surgical Oncology</subject><subject>Survival Rate</subject><subject>WOMEN</subject><issn>1068-9265</issn><issn>1534-4681</issn><issn>1534-4681</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2019</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><sourceid>EIF</sourceid><sourceid>ABUWG</sourceid><sourceid>AFKRA</sourceid><sourceid>BENPR</sourceid><sourceid>CCPQU</sourceid><recordid>eNp9kcFuFSEUhonR2Fp9AReGxPUoDAwM7uq0tk1ubNKrxh1hmMN1ageuwJjMa_jEYudqd26AwHd-zvl_hF5S8obWvHmbKOGMV4SqisiGyWp5hI5pU664aOnjciairVQtmiP0LKVbQqhkpHmKjhhlvGaSHaNfXZj2Jo4peBwc3gRr7vAN2DlG8BbwzZi-4_OUx8lkSPjUZYj4fQSTctUFnyD-HP0Ob-e4g7hgFyI-66627-5X_DFMYRfNhL9ATHMqwm70MOBrb0Ne9oDPvh7EVn5rQ4Tn6IkzdwleHPYT9PnD-afustpcX1x1p5vKci5zxQfGHCFsEEZSoVTftgyYNU5xMC3rqaWSCzPUloGVpFGD5NAPVNDeKcEtO0GvV91QxtPJjhnsNxu8B5t1XataNoo-UPsYfsyQsr4Nc_SlscIIViylvC1UvVI2hpQiOL2PxbK4aEr0n7D0GpYuYen7sPRSil4dpOd-guFfyd90CsBWIJUnXwx--Ps_sr8BrvOfew</recordid><startdate>20191001</startdate><enddate>20191001</enddate><creator>Van Zee, Kimberly J.</creator><creator>Zabor, Emily C.</creator><creator>Di Donato, Rosemarie</creator><creator>Harmon, Bryan</creator><creator>Fox, Jana</creator><creator>Morrow, Monica</creator><creator>Cody, Hiram S.</creator><creator>Fineberg, Susan A.</creator><general>Springer International Publishing</general><general>Springer Nature B.V</general><scope>CGR</scope><scope>CUY</scope><scope>CVF</scope><scope>ECM</scope><scope>EIF</scope><scope>NPM</scope><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>3V.</scope><scope>7TO</scope><scope>7X7</scope><scope>7XB</scope><scope>88E</scope><scope>8AO</scope><scope>8FI</scope><scope>8FJ</scope><scope>8FK</scope><scope>ABUWG</scope><scope>AFKRA</scope><scope>BENPR</scope><scope>CCPQU</scope><scope>FYUFA</scope><scope>GHDGH</scope><scope>H94</scope><scope>K9.</scope><scope>M0S</scope><scope>M1P</scope><scope>PQEST</scope><scope>PQQKQ</scope><scope>PQUKI</scope><scope>PRINS</scope><scope>OTOTI</scope><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9550-4647</orcidid></search><sort><creationdate>20191001</creationdate><title>Comparison of Local Recurrence Risk Estimates After Breast-Conserving Surgery for DCIS: DCIS Nomogram Versus Refined Oncotype DX Breast DCIS Score</title><author>Van Zee, Kimberly J. ; Zabor, Emily C. ; Di Donato, Rosemarie ; Harmon, Bryan ; Fox, Jana ; Morrow, Monica ; Cody, Hiram S. ; Fineberg, Susan A.</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c447t-4d33f003d6a71699b883e3caf94ea83b1c1746ad2c3ec7059d74ebd161bf964c3</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2019</creationdate><topic>Aged</topic><topic>Aged, 80 and over</topic><topic>Biomarkers, Tumor - genetics</topic><topic>Breast</topic><topic>Breast cancer</topic><topic>Breast Neoplasms - pathology</topic><topic>Breast Neoplasms - surgery</topic><topic>Breast Oncology</topic><topic>Breast surgery</topic><topic>CARCINOMAS</topic><topic>Endocrine therapy</topic><topic>Estimates</topic><topic>Female</topic><topic>Follow-Up Studies</topic><topic>Gene Expression Profiling</topic><topic>Humans</topic><topic>Incidence</topic><topic>MAMMARY GLANDS</topic><topic>Mastectomy, Segmental - adverse effects</topic><topic>Medicine</topic><topic>Medicine &amp; 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This study compared these estimates. Methods Patients 50 years of age or older with DCIS size 2.5 cm or smaller and a genomic assay available were identified. An RDS within 1–2% of the range of Nomogram LRR estimates obtained by assuming use and non-use of endocrine therapy (Nomogram ± ET) was defined as concordant. Assuming a 10-year risk threshold of 10% for recommending radiation, Nomogram ± ET and RDS estimates were compared, and threshold concordance was determined. Results For 54 (92%) of 59 patients, the RDS and Nomogram ± ET LRR estimates were concordant. For the remaining 5 (8%) of the 59 patients, the RDS LRR estimates were lower than the Nomogram + ET estimates, with an absolute difference of 3–8%, and thus were discordant. For these five patients, the RDS estimates of 10-year LRR were lower than 10% (range 5–8%) and the Nomogram + ET estimates were 10% or higher (range 11–14%). These five patients with both discordant and threshold-discordant estimates all had close margins (≤ 2 mm). Conclusions Among 92% of women 50 years of age or older with DCIS size 2.5 cm or smaller, free-of-charge online Nomogram 10-year LRR estimates were concordant with those obtained using the commercially available RDS (&gt; $4600). Among the 8% with discordant risk estimates, the RDS appeared to underestimate the LRR and may lead to inappropriate omission of radiotherapy. Unless other data show a clinically significant advantage of the RDS (Oncotype DX DCIS Score), the study data suggest that for women 50 years of age or older with DCIS size 2.5 cm or smaller, its use is not warranted.</abstract><cop>Cham</cop><pub>Springer International Publishing</pub><pmid>31342373</pmid><doi>10.1245/s10434-019-07537-y</doi><tpages>7</tpages><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9550-4647</orcidid><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record>
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subjects Aged
Aged, 80 and over
Biomarkers, Tumor - genetics
Breast
Breast cancer
Breast Neoplasms - pathology
Breast Neoplasms - surgery
Breast Oncology
Breast surgery
CARCINOMAS
Endocrine therapy
Estimates
Female
Follow-Up Studies
Gene Expression Profiling
Humans
Incidence
MAMMARY GLANDS
Mastectomy, Segmental - adverse effects
Medicine
Medicine & Public Health
Middle Aged
Neoplasm Recurrence, Local - diagnosis
Neoplasm Recurrence, Local - epidemiology
Neoplasm Recurrence, Local - etiology
New York - epidemiology
NOMOGRAMS
Oncology
PATIENTS
Prognosis
Radiation therapy
RADIOLOGY AND NUCLEAR MEDICINE
RADIOTHERAPY
Risk Assessment - methods
SURGERY
Surgical Oncology
Survival Rate
WOMEN
title Comparison of Local Recurrence Risk Estimates After Breast-Conserving Surgery for DCIS: DCIS Nomogram Versus Refined Oncotype DX Breast DCIS Score
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