Could the 2012 Drought in Central U.S. Have Been Anticipated? A Review of NASA Working Group Research

Could the 2012 Drought in Central U.S. Have Been Anticipated? A Review of NASA Working Group Research

This paper summarizes research related to the 2012 record drought in the central United States conducted by members of the NASA Energy and Water cycle Study (NEWS) Working Group. Past drought patterns were analyzed for signal coherency with latest drought and the contribution of long-term trends in...

Ausführliche Beschreibung

Gespeichert in:
Bibliographische Detailangaben
Hauptverfasser: Wang, S.-Y. Simon, Barandiaran, Danny, Hilburn, Kyle, Houser, Paul, Oglesby, Bob, Pan, Ming, Pinker, Rachel, Santanello, Joe, Schubert, Siegfried, Wang, Hailan, Gillies, Robert
Format: Report
Sprache:eng
Schlagworte:
Meteorology And Climatology
Online-Zugang:Volltext bestellen
Tags: Tag hinzufügen
Keine Tags, Fügen Sie den ersten Tag hinzu!
container_end_page
container_issue
container_start_page
container_title
container_volume
creator Wang, S.-Y. Simon
Barandiaran, Danny
Hilburn, Kyle
Houser, Paul
Oglesby, Bob
Pan, Ming
Pinker, Rachel
Santanello, Joe
Schubert, Siegfried
Wang, Hailan
Gillies, Robert
description This paper summarizes research related to the 2012 record drought in the central United States conducted by members of the NASA Energy and Water cycle Study (NEWS) Working Group. Past drought patterns were analyzed for signal coherency with latest drought and the contribution of long-term trends in the Great Plains low-level jet, an important regional circulation feature of the spring rainy season in the Great Palins. Long-term changes in the seasonal transition from rainy spring into dry summer were also examined. Potential external forcing from radiative processes, soil-air interactions, and ocean teleconnections were assessed as contributors to the intensity of the drought. The atmospheric Rossby wave activity was found to be a potential source of predictability for the onset of drought. A probabilistic model was introduced and evaluated for its performance in predicting drought recovery in the Great Plains.
format Report
fullrecord <record><control><sourceid>nasa_CYI</sourceid><recordid>TN_cdi_nasa_ntrs_20150000792</recordid><sourceformat>XML</sourceformat><sourcesystem>PC</sourcesystem><sourcerecordid>20150000792</sourcerecordid><originalsourceid>FETCH-nasa_ntrs_201500007923</originalsourceid><addsrcrecordid>eNqFjb0OgjAYRVkcjPoGDvcFJIgxxslU_GFyEI0j-QIftJG0pC34-nZw9y53OMk504gzM3Q1vGSkyTrFyZqhlR5KI2PtLXV4xkWMnEbGkVlDaK8q1ZPn-gCBO4-KPzANbqIQeBn7VrrFNXj6AB2TreQ8mjTUOV78fhYtL-dHlq80OSpDxpWhvk3Cdvt08wd_AWjBNxU</addsrcrecordid><sourcetype>Publisher</sourcetype><iscdi>true</iscdi><recordtype>report</recordtype></control><display><type>report</type><title>Could the 2012 Drought in Central U.S. Have Been Anticipated? A Review of NASA Working Group Research</title><source>NASA Technical Reports Server</source><creator>Wang, S.-Y. Simon ; Barandiaran, Danny ; Hilburn, Kyle ; Houser, Paul ; Oglesby, Bob ; Pan, Ming ; Pinker, Rachel ; Santanello, Joe ; Schubert, Siegfried ; Wang, Hailan ; Gillies, Robert</creator><creatorcontrib>Wang, S.-Y. Simon ; Barandiaran, Danny ; Hilburn, Kyle ; Houser, Paul ; Oglesby, Bob ; Pan, Ming ; Pinker, Rachel ; Santanello, Joe ; Schubert, Siegfried ; Wang, Hailan ; Gillies, Robert</creatorcontrib><description>This paper summarizes research related to the 2012 record drought in the central United States conducted by members of the NASA Energy and Water cycle Study (NEWS) Working Group. Past drought patterns were analyzed for signal coherency with latest drought and the contribution of long-term trends in the Great Plains low-level jet, an important regional circulation feature of the spring rainy season in the Great Palins. Long-term changes in the seasonal transition from rainy spring into dry summer were also examined. Potential external forcing from radiative processes, soil-air interactions, and ocean teleconnections were assessed as contributors to the intensity of the drought. The atmospheric Rossby wave activity was found to be a potential source of predictability for the onset of drought. A probabilistic model was introduced and evaluated for its performance in predicting drought recovery in the Great Plains.</description><language>eng</language><publisher>Goddard Space Flight Center</publisher><subject>Meteorology And Climatology</subject><creationdate>2015</creationdate><rights>Copyright Determination: PUBLIC_USE_PERMITTED</rights><oa>free_for_read</oa><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><link.rule.ids>776,796,4476</link.rule.ids><linktorsrc>$$Uhttps://ntrs.nasa.gov/citations/20150000792$$EView_record_in_NASA$$FView_record_in_$$GNASA$$Hfree_for_read</linktorsrc></links><search><creatorcontrib>Wang, S.-Y. Simon</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Barandiaran, Danny</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Hilburn, Kyle</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Houser, Paul</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Oglesby, Bob</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Pan, Ming</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Pinker, Rachel</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Santanello, Joe</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Schubert, Siegfried</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Wang, Hailan</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Gillies, Robert</creatorcontrib><title>Could the 2012 Drought in Central U.S. Have Been Anticipated? A Review of NASA Working Group Research</title><description>This paper summarizes research related to the 2012 record drought in the central United States conducted by members of the NASA Energy and Water cycle Study (NEWS) Working Group. Past drought patterns were analyzed for signal coherency with latest drought and the contribution of long-term trends in the Great Plains low-level jet, an important regional circulation feature of the spring rainy season in the Great Palins. Long-term changes in the seasonal transition from rainy spring into dry summer were also examined. Potential external forcing from radiative processes, soil-air interactions, and ocean teleconnections were assessed as contributors to the intensity of the drought. The atmospheric Rossby wave activity was found to be a potential source of predictability for the onset of drought. A probabilistic model was introduced and evaluated for its performance in predicting drought recovery in the Great Plains.</description><subject>Meteorology And Climatology</subject><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>report</rsrctype><creationdate>2015</creationdate><recordtype>report</recordtype><sourceid>CYI</sourceid><recordid>eNqFjb0OgjAYRVkcjPoGDvcFJIgxxslU_GFyEI0j-QIftJG0pC34-nZw9y53OMk504gzM3Q1vGSkyTrFyZqhlR5KI2PtLXV4xkWMnEbGkVlDaK8q1ZPn-gCBO4-KPzANbqIQeBn7VrrFNXj6AB2TreQ8mjTUOV78fhYtL-dHlq80OSpDxpWhvk3Cdvt08wd_AWjBNxU</recordid><startdate>20150101</startdate><enddate>20150101</enddate><creator>Wang, S.-Y. Simon</creator><creator>Barandiaran, Danny</creator><creator>Hilburn, Kyle</creator><creator>Houser, Paul</creator><creator>Oglesby, Bob</creator><creator>Pan, Ming</creator><creator>Pinker, Rachel</creator><creator>Santanello, Joe</creator><creator>Schubert, Siegfried</creator><creator>Wang, Hailan</creator><creator>Gillies, Robert</creator><scope>CYE</scope><scope>CYI</scope></search><sort><creationdate>20150101</creationdate><title>Could the 2012 Drought in Central U.S. Have Been Anticipated? A Review of NASA Working Group Research</title><author>Wang, S.-Y. Simon ; Barandiaran, Danny ; Hilburn, Kyle ; Houser, Paul ; Oglesby, Bob ; Pan, Ming ; Pinker, Rachel ; Santanello, Joe ; Schubert, Siegfried ; Wang, Hailan ; Gillies, Robert</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-nasa_ntrs_201500007923</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>reports</rsrctype><prefilter>reports</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2015</creationdate><topic>Meteorology And Climatology</topic><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Wang, S.-Y. Simon</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Barandiaran, Danny</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Hilburn, Kyle</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Houser, Paul</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Oglesby, Bob</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Pan, Ming</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Pinker, Rachel</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Santanello, Joe</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Schubert, Siegfried</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Wang, Hailan</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Gillies, Robert</creatorcontrib><collection>NASA Scientific and Technical Information</collection><collection>NASA Technical Reports Server</collection></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext_linktorsrc</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Wang, S.-Y. Simon</au><au>Barandiaran, Danny</au><au>Hilburn, Kyle</au><au>Houser, Paul</au><au>Oglesby, Bob</au><au>Pan, Ming</au><au>Pinker, Rachel</au><au>Santanello, Joe</au><au>Schubert, Siegfried</au><au>Wang, Hailan</au><au>Gillies, Robert</au><format>book</format><genre>unknown</genre><ristype>RPRT</ristype><btitle>Could the 2012 Drought in Central U.S. Have Been Anticipated? A Review of NASA Working Group Research</btitle><date>2015-01-01</date><risdate>2015</risdate><abstract>This paper summarizes research related to the 2012 record drought in the central United States conducted by members of the NASA Energy and Water cycle Study (NEWS) Working Group. Past drought patterns were analyzed for signal coherency with latest drought and the contribution of long-term trends in the Great Plains low-level jet, an important regional circulation feature of the spring rainy season in the Great Palins. Long-term changes in the seasonal transition from rainy spring into dry summer were also examined. Potential external forcing from radiative processes, soil-air interactions, and ocean teleconnections were assessed as contributors to the intensity of the drought. The atmospheric Rossby wave activity was found to be a potential source of predictability for the onset of drought. A probabilistic model was introduced and evaluated for its performance in predicting drought recovery in the Great Plains.</abstract><cop>Goddard Space Flight Center</cop><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record>
fulltext fulltext_linktorsrc
identifier
ispartof
issn
language eng
recordid cdi_nasa_ntrs_20150000792
source NASA Technical Reports Server
subjects Meteorology And Climatology
title Could the 2012 Drought in Central U.S. Have Been Anticipated? A Review of NASA Working Group Research
url https://sfx.bib-bvb.de/sfx_tum?ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&ctx_enc=info:ofi/enc:UTF-8&ctx_tim=2025-01-30T15%3A21%3A32IST&url_ver=Z39.88-2004&url_ctx_fmt=infofi/fmt:kev:mtx:ctx&rfr_id=info:sid/primo.exlibrisgroup.com:primo3-Article-nasa_CYI&rft_val_fmt=info:ofi/fmt:kev:mtx:book&rft.genre=unknown&rft.btitle=Could%20the%202012%20Drought%20in%20Central%20U.S.%20Have%20Been%20Anticipated?%20A%20Review%20of%20NASA%20Working%20Group%20Research&rft.au=Wang,%20S.-Y.%20Simon&rft.date=2015-01-01&rft_id=info:doi/&rft_dat=%3Cnasa_CYI%3E20150000792%3C/nasa_CYI%3E%3Curl%3E%3C/url%3E&disable_directlink=true&sfx.directlink=off&sfx.report_link=0&rft_id=info:oai/&rft_id=info:pmid/&rfr_iscdi=true