NET Blood Transcript Analysis Defines the Crossing of the Clinical Rubicon: When Stable Disease Becomes Progressive

Background/Aims: A key issue in gastroenteropancreatic neuroendocrine tumors (GEP-NETs) is early identification and prediction of disease progression. Clinical evaluation and imaging are limited due to the lack of sensitivity and disease indolence. We assessed the NETest as a predictive and prognost...

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Veröffentlicht in:Neuroendocrinology 2017-01, Vol.104 (2), p.170-182
Hauptverfasser: Pavel, Marianne, Jann, Henning, Prasad, Vikas, Drozdov, Ignat, Modlin, Irvin M., Kidd, Mark
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container_end_page 182
container_issue 2
container_start_page 170
container_title Neuroendocrinology
container_volume 104
creator Pavel, Marianne
Jann, Henning
Prasad, Vikas
Drozdov, Ignat
Modlin, Irvin M.
Kidd, Mark
description Background/Aims: A key issue in gastroenteropancreatic neuroendocrine tumors (GEP-NETs) is early identification and prediction of disease progression. Clinical evaluation and imaging are limited due to the lack of sensitivity and disease indolence. We assessed the NETest as a predictive and prognostic marker of progression in a long-term follow-up study. Methods: GEP-NETs (n = 34) followed for a median 4 years (2.2-5.4) were evaluated. WHO tumor grade/stage grade 1: n = 17, grade 2: n = 14, grade 3: n = 1 (for 2, no grade was available); 31 (91%) were stage IV. Baseline and longitudinal imaging and blood biomarkers were available in all, and progression was defined per standard clinical protocols (RECIST 1.0). The NETest was measured by quantitative PCR of blood and multianalyte algorithmic analysis (disease activity scaled 0-100% with low 80%); chromogranin A (CgA) was measured by radioimmunoassay (normal 80%) was significantly associated (p = 0.01) with disease progression (median PFS 0.68 vs. 2.78 years with 25%) in consistently predicting disease alterations (40%, p < 2 × 10 -5 , χ 2 = 18). The NETest had an earlier time point change than imaging (1.02 ± 0.15 years). Baseline NETest levels >40% in stable disease were 100% prognostic of disease progression versus CgA (χ 2 = 5, p < 0.03). Baseline NETest values
doi_str_mv 10.1159/000446025
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Clinical evaluation and imaging are limited due to the lack of sensitivity and disease indolence. We assessed the NETest as a predictive and prognostic marker of progression in a long-term follow-up study. Methods: GEP-NETs (n = 34) followed for a median 4 years (2.2-5.4) were evaluated. WHO tumor grade/stage grade 1: n = 17, grade 2: n = 14, grade 3: n = 1 (for 2, no grade was available); 31 (91%) were stage IV. Baseline and longitudinal imaging and blood biomarkers were available in all, and progression was defined per standard clinical protocols (RECIST 1.0). The NETest was measured by quantitative PCR of blood and multianalyte algorithmic analysis (disease activity scaled 0-100% with low <40% and high activity risk cutoffs >80%); chromogranin A (CgA) was measured by radioimmunoassay (normal <150 µg/l); progression-free survival (PFS) was analyzed by Cox proportional-hazard regression and Kaplan-Meier analysis. Results: At baseline, 100% were NETest positive, and CgA was elevated in 50%. The only baseline variable (Cox modeling) associated with PFS was NETest (hazard ratio = 1.022, 95% confidence interval = 1.005-1.04; p < 0.012). Using Kaplan-Meier analyses, the baseline NETest (>80%) was significantly associated (p = 0.01) with disease progression (median PFS 0.68 vs. 2.78 years with <40% levels). The NETest was more informative (96%) than CgA changes ( > 25%) in consistently predicting disease alterations (40%, p < 2 × 10 -5 , χ 2 = 18). The NETest had an earlier time point change than imaging (1.02 ± 0.15 years). Baseline NETest levels >40% in stable disease were 100% prognostic of disease progression versus CgA (χ 2 = 5, p < 0.03). Baseline NETest values <40% accurately (100%) predicted stability over 5 years (p = 0.05, χ 2 = 3.8 vs. CgA). Conclusion: The NETest correlated with a well-differentiated GEP-NET clinical status. The NETest has predictive and prognostic utility for GEP-NETs identifying clinically actionable alterations ∼1 year before image-based evidence of progression.]]></description><identifier>ISSN: 0028-3835</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1423-0194</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1159/000446025</identifier><identifier>PMID: 27078712</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Basel, Switzerland: S. Karger AG</publisher><subject>Adult ; Aged ; Aged, 80 and over ; Biological markers ; Biomarkers, Tumor - blood ; Biomarkers, Tumor - genetics ; Cancer ; Development and progression ; Diagnosis ; Disease Progression ; Disease-Free Survival ; Female ; Follow-Up Studies ; Gastrointestinal Neoplasms - blood ; Gastrointestinal Neoplasms - diagnosis ; Gastrointestinal Neoplasms - genetics ; Gastrointestinal Neoplasms - pathology ; Gastrointestinal tumors ; Humans ; Male ; Middle Aged ; Neoplasm Grading ; Neuroendocrine Tumors - blood ; Neuroendocrine Tumors - diagnosis ; Neuroendocrine Tumors - genetics ; Neuroendocrine Tumors - pathology ; Oncology, Experimental ; Original Paper ; Pancreatic Neoplasms - blood ; Pancreatic Neoplasms - diagnosis ; Pancreatic Neoplasms - genetics ; Pancreatic Neoplasms - pathology ; Prognosis ; Real-Time Polymerase Chain Reaction</subject><ispartof>Neuroendocrinology, 2017-01, Vol.104 (2), p.170-182</ispartof><rights>2016 S. Karger AG, Basel</rights><rights>2016 S. Karger AG, Basel.</rights><rights>COPYRIGHT 2016 S. Karger AG</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><oa>free_for_read</oa><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c441t-1340ee95d63c03bc066fa5f213c16441b82eae9a0c109a7c4179495a8b1643b03</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c441t-1340ee95d63c03bc066fa5f213c16441b82eae9a0c109a7c4179495a8b1643b03</cites></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><link.rule.ids>314,780,784,2429,27924,27925</link.rule.ids><backlink>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/27078712$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed$$Hfree_for_read</backlink></links><search><creatorcontrib>Pavel, Marianne</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Jann, Henning</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Prasad, Vikas</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Drozdov, Ignat</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Modlin, Irvin M.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Kidd, Mark</creatorcontrib><title>NET Blood Transcript Analysis Defines the Crossing of the Clinical Rubicon: When Stable Disease Becomes Progressive</title><title>Neuroendocrinology</title><addtitle>Neuroendocrinology</addtitle><description><![CDATA[Background/Aims: A key issue in gastroenteropancreatic neuroendocrine tumors (GEP-NETs) is early identification and prediction of disease progression. Clinical evaluation and imaging are limited due to the lack of sensitivity and disease indolence. We assessed the NETest as a predictive and prognostic marker of progression in a long-term follow-up study. Methods: GEP-NETs (n = 34) followed for a median 4 years (2.2-5.4) were evaluated. WHO tumor grade/stage grade 1: n = 17, grade 2: n = 14, grade 3: n = 1 (for 2, no grade was available); 31 (91%) were stage IV. Baseline and longitudinal imaging and blood biomarkers were available in all, and progression was defined per standard clinical protocols (RECIST 1.0). The NETest was measured by quantitative PCR of blood and multianalyte algorithmic analysis (disease activity scaled 0-100% with low <40% and high activity risk cutoffs >80%); chromogranin A (CgA) was measured by radioimmunoassay (normal <150 µg/l); progression-free survival (PFS) was analyzed by Cox proportional-hazard regression and Kaplan-Meier analysis. Results: At baseline, 100% were NETest positive, and CgA was elevated in 50%. The only baseline variable (Cox modeling) associated with PFS was NETest (hazard ratio = 1.022, 95% confidence interval = 1.005-1.04; p < 0.012). Using Kaplan-Meier analyses, the baseline NETest (>80%) was significantly associated (p = 0.01) with disease progression (median PFS 0.68 vs. 2.78 years with <40% levels). The NETest was more informative (96%) than CgA changes ( > 25%) in consistently predicting disease alterations (40%, p < 2 × 10 -5 , χ 2 = 18). The NETest had an earlier time point change than imaging (1.02 ± 0.15 years). Baseline NETest levels >40% in stable disease were 100% prognostic of disease progression versus CgA (χ 2 = 5, p < 0.03). Baseline NETest values <40% accurately (100%) predicted stability over 5 years (p = 0.05, χ 2 = 3.8 vs. CgA). Conclusion: The NETest correlated with a well-differentiated GEP-NET clinical status. 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Clinical evaluation and imaging are limited due to the lack of sensitivity and disease indolence. We assessed the NETest as a predictive and prognostic marker of progression in a long-term follow-up study. Methods: GEP-NETs (n = 34) followed for a median 4 years (2.2-5.4) were evaluated. WHO tumor grade/stage grade 1: n = 17, grade 2: n = 14, grade 3: n = 1 (for 2, no grade was available); 31 (91%) were stage IV. Baseline and longitudinal imaging and blood biomarkers were available in all, and progression was defined per standard clinical protocols (RECIST 1.0). The NETest was measured by quantitative PCR of blood and multianalyte algorithmic analysis (disease activity scaled 0-100% with low <40% and high activity risk cutoffs >80%); chromogranin A (CgA) was measured by radioimmunoassay (normal <150 µg/l); progression-free survival (PFS) was analyzed by Cox proportional-hazard regression and Kaplan-Meier analysis. Results: At baseline, 100% were NETest positive, and CgA was elevated in 50%. The only baseline variable (Cox modeling) associated with PFS was NETest (hazard ratio = 1.022, 95% confidence interval = 1.005-1.04; p < 0.012). Using Kaplan-Meier analyses, the baseline NETest (>80%) was significantly associated (p = 0.01) with disease progression (median PFS 0.68 vs. 2.78 years with <40% levels). The NETest was more informative (96%) than CgA changes ( > 25%) in consistently predicting disease alterations (40%, p < 2 × 10 -5 , χ 2 = 18). The NETest had an earlier time point change than imaging (1.02 ± 0.15 years). Baseline NETest levels >40% in stable disease were 100% prognostic of disease progression versus CgA (χ 2 = 5, p < 0.03). Baseline NETest values <40% accurately (100%) predicted stability over 5 years (p = 0.05, χ 2 = 3.8 vs. CgA). Conclusion: The NETest correlated with a well-differentiated GEP-NET clinical status. The NETest has predictive and prognostic utility for GEP-NETs identifying clinically actionable alterations ∼1 year before image-based evidence of progression.]]></abstract><cop>Basel, Switzerland</cop><pub>S. Karger AG</pub><pmid>27078712</pmid><doi>10.1159/000446025</doi><tpages>13</tpages><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record>
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source MEDLINE; Karger Journals
subjects Adult
Aged
Aged, 80 and over
Biological markers
Biomarkers, Tumor - blood
Biomarkers, Tumor - genetics
Cancer
Development and progression
Diagnosis
Disease Progression
Disease-Free Survival
Female
Follow-Up Studies
Gastrointestinal Neoplasms - blood
Gastrointestinal Neoplasms - diagnosis
Gastrointestinal Neoplasms - genetics
Gastrointestinal Neoplasms - pathology
Gastrointestinal tumors
Humans
Male
Middle Aged
Neoplasm Grading
Neuroendocrine Tumors - blood
Neuroendocrine Tumors - diagnosis
Neuroendocrine Tumors - genetics
Neuroendocrine Tumors - pathology
Oncology, Experimental
Original Paper
Pancreatic Neoplasms - blood
Pancreatic Neoplasms - diagnosis
Pancreatic Neoplasms - genetics
Pancreatic Neoplasms - pathology
Prognosis
Real-Time Polymerase Chain Reaction
title NET Blood Transcript Analysis Defines the Crossing of the Clinical Rubicon: When Stable Disease Becomes Progressive
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