A Gradient from Stable to Cyclic Populations of Clethrionomys rufocanus in Hokkaido, Japan
A total of 31 years of abundance data from 90 populations of the grey-sided vole (Clethrionomys rufocanus) in northern Hokkaido (Japan) were analysed with respect to population dynamic characteristics. Both non-periodic and multi-annually periodic fluctuations occur among the studied populations. Th...
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| Veröffentlicht in: | Proceedings of the Royal Society. B, Biological sciences Biological sciences, 1996-09, Vol.263 (1374), p.1117-1126 |
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| creator | Stenseth, Nils Chr Bjørnstad, Ottar N. Saitoh, Takashi |
| description | A total of 31 years of abundance data from 90 populations of the grey-sided vole (Clethrionomys rufocanus) in northern Hokkaido (Japan) were analysed with respect to population dynamic characteristics. Both non-periodic and multi-annually periodic fluctuations occur among the studied populations. The length of the period varies from 2 to 5 years. The dynamics appear approximately linear on a logarithmic scale, and a log-linear stochastic difference model with one time-lag is found to recreate the periodograms of the time series. The deterministic (log-linear) component of these models determines the periodicity while stochasticity sustains the cycles. The dynamics of the Hokkaidian vole populations are found to vary clinally from the western coast eastwards and towards the interior of the study area. This gradient corresponds superficially to the latitudinal gradient seen in microtine populations in Fennoscandia. However, under close scrutiny, these gradients differ greatly: the Hokkaidian gradient is caused by a cline in delayed density dependence. Statistical delayed density dependence is more negative towards the east and the interior. |
| doi_str_mv | 10.1098/rspb.1996.0164 |
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B, Biological sciences</title><addtitle>Proc. R. Soc. Lond. B</addtitle><addtitle>Proc. R. Soc. Lond. B</addtitle><description>A total of 31 years of abundance data from 90 populations of the grey-sided vole (Clethrionomys rufocanus) in northern Hokkaido (Japan) were analysed with respect to population dynamic characteristics. Both non-periodic and multi-annually periodic fluctuations occur among the studied populations. The length of the period varies from 2 to 5 years. The dynamics appear approximately linear on a logarithmic scale, and a log-linear stochastic difference model with one time-lag is found to recreate the periodograms of the time series. The deterministic (log-linear) component of these models determines the periodicity while stochasticity sustains the cycles. The dynamics of the Hokkaidian vole populations are found to vary clinally from the western coast eastwards and towards the interior of the study area. This gradient corresponds superficially to the latitudinal gradient seen in microtine populations in Fennoscandia. However, under close scrutiny, these gradients differ greatly: the Hokkaidian gradient is caused by a cline in delayed density dependence. Statistical delayed density dependence is more negative towards the east and the interior.</description><subject>Animals</subject><subject>Arvicolinae - physiology</subject><subject>Boreal forests</subject><subject>Ecological modeling</subject><subject>Forest management</subject><subject>Japan</subject><subject>Mammals</subject><subject>Models, Biological</subject><subject>Models, Theoretical</subject><subject>Population Density</subject><subject>Population Dynamics</subject><subject>Population ecology</subject><subject>Rodents</subject><subject>Time series</subject><subject>Time series models</subject><subject>Voles</subject><issn>0962-8452</issn><issn>1471-2954</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>1996</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><sourceid>EIF</sourceid><recordid>eNp9kkGP0zAQhSMEWsrClQMSkk-cSLGd2LFvLBV0QVWpdoHDXizHsanbNA52AoRfj9tUlSrEnqzR--bNzJOT5DmCUwQ5e-NDW04R53QKEc0fJBOUFyjFnOQPkwnkFKcsJ_hx8iSEDYSQE0YukgvGCGMFmiR3V2DuZWV10wHj3Q7cdrKsNegcmA2qtgqsXNvXsrOuCcAZMKt1t_axcrshAN8bp2TTB2AbcO22W2kr9xp8kq1sniaPjKyDfnZ8L5OvH95_mV2ni8_zj7OrRaoI512aQaMNN2UlMVfQGJrTnFAlecU4zAulGOGKU5ZXGLMKI1yZimVlBhmEFJdldpm8Gn1b7370OnRiZ4PSdS0b7fogCpZjBCmM4HQElXcheG1E6-1O-kEgKPZhin2YYh-m2IcZG14enftyp6sTfkwv6tmoezfEC52yuhvExvW-ieX_XcN9XTe3q3cRhj8xzSzKilxAlsX9ESVQ_LHtwW4PiAgIG0KvxQE7H_Pv1Bfj1E3onD-dQiCBPIrpKNrQ6d8nUfqtoEVWEPGN5WK5Qnc3i-VcLCP_duTX9vv6l_VanN1yGK1c08VfddjysB9CqBCmr2vRViZa4Hst3ND6UJ53Z38B7P7nyg</recordid><startdate>19960922</startdate><enddate>19960922</enddate><creator>Stenseth, Nils Chr</creator><creator>Bjørnstad, Ottar N.</creator><creator>Saitoh, Takashi</creator><general>The Royal Society</general><scope>BSCLL</scope><scope>CGR</scope><scope>CUY</scope><scope>CVF</scope><scope>ECM</scope><scope>EIF</scope><scope>NPM</scope><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>7X8</scope></search><sort><creationdate>19960922</creationdate><title>A Gradient from Stable to Cyclic Populations of Clethrionomys rufocanus in Hokkaido, Japan</title><author>Stenseth, Nils Chr ; Bjørnstad, Ottar N. ; Saitoh, Takashi</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c599t-30fef9fbda29c0ff646456ca9d89047cc859c9684d228d212dfd83b3080062bb3</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>1996</creationdate><topic>Animals</topic><topic>Arvicolinae - physiology</topic><topic>Boreal forests</topic><topic>Ecological modeling</topic><topic>Forest management</topic><topic>Japan</topic><topic>Mammals</topic><topic>Models, Biological</topic><topic>Models, Theoretical</topic><topic>Population Density</topic><topic>Population Dynamics</topic><topic>Population ecology</topic><topic>Rodents</topic><topic>Time series</topic><topic>Time series models</topic><topic>Voles</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Stenseth, Nils Chr</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Bjørnstad, Ottar N.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Saitoh, Takashi</creatorcontrib><collection>Istex</collection><collection>Medline</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>MEDLINE (Ovid)</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>PubMed</collection><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>MEDLINE - Academic</collection><jtitle>Proceedings of the Royal Society. B, Biological sciences</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Stenseth, Nils Chr</au><au>Bjørnstad, Ottar N.</au><au>Saitoh, Takashi</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>A Gradient from Stable to Cyclic Populations of Clethrionomys rufocanus in Hokkaido, Japan</atitle><jtitle>Proceedings of the Royal Society. B, Biological sciences</jtitle><stitle>Proc. R. Soc. Lond. B</stitle><addtitle>Proc. R. Soc. Lond. B</addtitle><date>1996-09-22</date><risdate>1996</risdate><volume>263</volume><issue>1374</issue><spage>1117</spage><epage>1126</epage><pages>1117-1126</pages><issn>0962-8452</issn><eissn>1471-2954</eissn><abstract>A total of 31 years of abundance data from 90 populations of the grey-sided vole (Clethrionomys rufocanus) in northern Hokkaido (Japan) were analysed with respect to population dynamic characteristics. Both non-periodic and multi-annually periodic fluctuations occur among the studied populations. The length of the period varies from 2 to 5 years. The dynamics appear approximately linear on a logarithmic scale, and a log-linear stochastic difference model with one time-lag is found to recreate the periodograms of the time series. The deterministic (log-linear) component of these models determines the periodicity while stochasticity sustains the cycles. The dynamics of the Hokkaidian vole populations are found to vary clinally from the western coast eastwards and towards the interior of the study area. This gradient corresponds superficially to the latitudinal gradient seen in microtine populations in Fennoscandia. However, under close scrutiny, these gradients differ greatly: the Hokkaidian gradient is caused by a cline in delayed density dependence. Statistical delayed density dependence is more negative towards the east and the interior.</abstract><cop>London</cop><pub>The Royal Society</pub><pmid>8858871</pmid><doi>10.1098/rspb.1996.0164</doi><tpages>10</tpages></addata></record> |
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| ispartof | Proceedings of the Royal Society. B, Biological sciences, 1996-09, Vol.263 (1374), p.1117-1126 |
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| source | Jstor Complete Legacy; MEDLINE |
| subjects | Animals Arvicolinae - physiology Boreal forests Ecological modeling Forest management Japan Mammals Models, Biological Models, Theoretical Population Density Population Dynamics Population ecology Rodents Time series Time series models Voles |
| title | A Gradient from Stable to Cyclic Populations of Clethrionomys rufocanus in Hokkaido, Japan |
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