Spatiotemporal patterns of mountain pine beetle activity in the southern Rocky Mountains

The current mountain pine beetle (MPB; Dendroctonus ponderosae ) outbreak in the southern Rocky Mountains has impacted ∼ 750 000 ha of forest. Weather and habitat heterogeneity influence forest insect population dynamics at multiple spatial and temporal scales. Comparison of forest insect population...

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Veröffentlicht in:Ecology (Durham) 2012-10, Vol.93 (10), p.2175-2185
Hauptverfasser: Chapman, Teresa B, Veblen, Thomas T, Schoennagel, Tania
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description The current mountain pine beetle (MPB; Dendroctonus ponderosae ) outbreak in the southern Rocky Mountains has impacted ∼ 750 000 ha of forest. Weather and habitat heterogeneity influence forest insect population dynamics at multiple spatial and temporal scales. Comparison of forest insect population dynamics in two principal host species may elucidate the relative contribution of weather and landscape factors in initiating and driving extensive outbreaks. To investigate potential drivers of the current MPB outbreak, we compared broadscale spatiotemporal patterns of MPB activity in lodgepole pine ( Pinus contorta ) and ponderosa pine ( Pinus ponderosa ) from 1996 to 2010 in Colorado and southern Wyoming with regional weather fluctuations, and then tracked the annual meso-scale progression of the epidemic in lodgepole pine with respect to weather, topographic, previous MPB activity, and forest stand attributes. MPB activity in lodgepole pine compared to ponderosa pine showed higher magnitude and extent of spatial synchrony. Warm temperatures and low annual precipitation favorable to beetle populations showed high regional synchrony across areas of both pine species, suggesting that habitat interacts with weather in synchronizing MPB populations. Cluster analysis of time series patterns identified multiple, disjunct locations of incipient MPB activity (epicenters) in lodgepole pine, which overlapped an earlier 1980s MPB outbreak, and suggests a regional trigger (drought) across this homogenous forest type. Negative departures from mean annual precipitation played a key role in subsequent spread of MPB outbreak. Development of the outbreak was also associated with lower elevations, greater dominance by lodgepole pine, stands of larger tree size, and stands with higher percentage canopy cover. After epidemic levels of MPB activity were attained, MPB activity was less strongly associated with stand and weather variables. These results emphasize the importance of considering differences in patterns of MPB dynamics for different host pine species even under similar regional-scale weather variation and the nonstationarity of outbreak dynamics over time.
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Weather and habitat heterogeneity influence forest insect population dynamics at multiple spatial and temporal scales. Comparison of forest insect population dynamics in two principal host species may elucidate the relative contribution of weather and landscape factors in initiating and driving extensive outbreaks. To investigate potential drivers of the current MPB outbreak, we compared broadscale spatiotemporal patterns of MPB activity in lodgepole pine ( Pinus contorta ) and ponderosa pine ( Pinus ponderosa ) from 1996 to 2010 in Colorado and southern Wyoming with regional weather fluctuations, and then tracked the annual meso-scale progression of the epidemic in lodgepole pine with respect to weather, topographic, previous MPB activity, and forest stand attributes. MPB activity in lodgepole pine compared to ponderosa pine showed higher magnitude and extent of spatial synchrony. Warm temperatures and low annual precipitation favorable to beetle populations showed high regional synchrony across areas of both pine species, suggesting that habitat interacts with weather in synchronizing MPB populations. Cluster analysis of time series patterns identified multiple, disjunct locations of incipient MPB activity (epicenters) in lodgepole pine, which overlapped an earlier 1980s MPB outbreak, and suggests a regional trigger (drought) across this homogenous forest type. Negative departures from mean annual precipitation played a key role in subsequent spread of MPB outbreak. Development of the outbreak was also associated with lower elevations, greater dominance by lodgepole pine, stands of larger tree size, and stands with higher percentage canopy cover. After epidemic levels of MPB activity were attained, MPB activity was less strongly associated with stand and weather variables. 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Weather and habitat heterogeneity influence forest insect population dynamics at multiple spatial and temporal scales. Comparison of forest insect population dynamics in two principal host species may elucidate the relative contribution of weather and landscape factors in initiating and driving extensive outbreaks. To investigate potential drivers of the current MPB outbreak, we compared broadscale spatiotemporal patterns of MPB activity in lodgepole pine ( Pinus contorta ) and ponderosa pine ( Pinus ponderosa ) from 1996 to 2010 in Colorado and southern Wyoming with regional weather fluctuations, and then tracked the annual meso-scale progression of the epidemic in lodgepole pine with respect to weather, topographic, previous MPB activity, and forest stand attributes. MPB activity in lodgepole pine compared to ponderosa pine showed higher magnitude and extent of spatial synchrony. Warm temperatures and low annual precipitation favorable to beetle populations showed high regional synchrony across areas of both pine species, suggesting that habitat interacts with weather in synchronizing MPB populations. Cluster analysis of time series patterns identified multiple, disjunct locations of incipient MPB activity (epicenters) in lodgepole pine, which overlapped an earlier 1980s MPB outbreak, and suggests a regional trigger (drought) across this homogenous forest type. Negative departures from mean annual precipitation played a key role in subsequent spread of MPB outbreak. Development of the outbreak was also associated with lower elevations, greater dominance by lodgepole pine, stands of larger tree size, and stands with higher percentage canopy cover. After epidemic levels of MPB activity were attained, MPB activity was less strongly associated with stand and weather variables. 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Psychology</subject><subject>General aspects</subject><subject>Habitats</subject><subject>Host-Parasite Interactions</subject><subject>hosts</subject><subject>Insects</subject><subject>landscapes</subject><subject>lodgepole pine</subject><subject>lodgepole pine (Pinus contorta)</subject><subject>Mortality</subject><subject>Mountains</subject><subject>Pinus - parasitology</subject><subject>Pinus contorta</subject><subject>Pinus contorta var. latifolia</subject><subject>Pinus ponderosa</subject><subject>ponderosa pine</subject><subject>ponderosa pine (Pinus ponderosa)</subject><subject>Population biology</subject><subject>population dynamics</subject><subject>Population growth</subject><subject>Rocky Mountains, USA</subject><subject>spatial synchrony</subject><subject>temperature</subject><subject>time series analysis</subject><subject>trees</subject><subject>Weather</subject><subject>Wyoming</subject><issn>0012-9658</issn><issn>1939-9170</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2012</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><sourceid>EIF</sourceid><recordid>eNqFklGL1DAQx4Mo3nr64AdQAyLoQ89M0qTNoyx3KpwIngf6FNJ2ql27TS9JPfvtzdJ1D-TEvAxJfv__ZGZCyGNgJ1Bq9hogAyblCdwhK9BCZxoKdpesGAOeaSXLI_IghA1LC_LyPjniAkpZFnpFvlyMNnYu4nZ03vY07SL6IVDX0q2bhmi7gY7dgLRCjD1SW8fuZxdnms7jd6TBTSn4gX5y9Y-ZfthrwkNyr7V9wEf7eEwuz04_r99l5x_fvl-_Oc-s1CAz3bKqgaJpC2WrhqPCRgGDWjdCt6i4YDlUMgelOFZa8KosGVZSsrpOIEdxTF4uvqN3VxOGaLZdqLHv7YBuCga4KAG0Tlb_RzkrdA6cJfT5X-jGTX5IhRgAkCo1WUOiXi1U7V0IHlsz-m5r_WyAmd1kEmx2kzE79unecaq22BzIP6NIwIs9YENt-9bboe7CDadSViZE4tTCXXc9zv_OaE7XX3n6AFoA41DIJHyyCDchOn8Q5lAIzctde54t9611xn7zKfnlRXJQ6dfoxMibrtg4j24wGOytld5CHV41Nq2Jv6L4DYdGzQU</recordid><startdate>201210</startdate><enddate>201210</enddate><creator>Chapman, Teresa B</creator><creator>Veblen, Thomas T</creator><creator>Schoennagel, Tania</creator><general>Ecological Society of America</general><scope>FBQ</scope><scope>IQODW</scope><scope>CGR</scope><scope>CUY</scope><scope>CVF</scope><scope>ECM</scope><scope>EIF</scope><scope>NPM</scope><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>7QG</scope><scope>7SN</scope><scope>7SS</scope><scope>7ST</scope><scope>7T7</scope><scope>8FD</scope><scope>C1K</scope><scope>FR3</scope><scope>K9.</scope><scope>P64</scope><scope>RC3</scope><scope>SOI</scope><scope>7X8</scope><scope>7U6</scope></search><sort><creationdate>201210</creationdate><title>Spatiotemporal patterns of mountain pine beetle activity in the southern Rocky Mountains</title><author>Chapman, Teresa B ; Veblen, Thomas T ; Schoennagel, Tania</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-a5915-9f0bd17df76abd2e6ed6101c9d39fe623041b541662eb932b880eb550ccd612e3</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2012</creationdate><topic>Animal and plant ecology</topic><topic>Animal, plant and microbial ecology</topic><topic>Animals</topic><topic>atmospheric precipitation</topic><topic>bark beetle</topic><topic>Bark beetles</topic><topic>Beetles</topic><topic>Biological and medical sciences</topic><topic>Canopies</topic><topic>canopy</topic><topic>Climate Change</topic><topic>cluster analysis</topic><topic>Coleoptera - physiology</topic><topic>Colorado</topic><topic>Coniferous forests</topic><topic>Demography</topic><topic>Dendroctonus ponderosae</topic><topic>Drought</topic><topic>Ecology</topic><topic>epicenter</topic><topic>epidemic</topic><topic>Epidemics</topic><topic>forest insects</topic><topic>Forest service</topic><topic>forest stands</topic><topic>forest types</topic><topic>Fundamental and applied biological sciences. Psychology</topic><topic>General aspects</topic><topic>Habitats</topic><topic>Host-Parasite Interactions</topic><topic>hosts</topic><topic>Insects</topic><topic>landscapes</topic><topic>lodgepole pine</topic><topic>lodgepole pine (Pinus contorta)</topic><topic>Mortality</topic><topic>Mountains</topic><topic>Pinus - parasitology</topic><topic>Pinus contorta</topic><topic>Pinus contorta var. latifolia</topic><topic>Pinus ponderosa</topic><topic>ponderosa pine</topic><topic>ponderosa pine (Pinus ponderosa)</topic><topic>Population biology</topic><topic>population dynamics</topic><topic>Population growth</topic><topic>Rocky Mountains, USA</topic><topic>spatial synchrony</topic><topic>temperature</topic><topic>time series analysis</topic><topic>trees</topic><topic>Weather</topic><topic>Wyoming</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Chapman, Teresa B</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Veblen, Thomas T</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Schoennagel, Tania</creatorcontrib><collection>AGRIS</collection><collection>Pascal-Francis</collection><collection>Medline</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>MEDLINE (Ovid)</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>PubMed</collection><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>Animal Behavior Abstracts</collection><collection>Ecology Abstracts</collection><collection>Entomology Abstracts (Full archive)</collection><collection>Environment Abstracts</collection><collection>Industrial and Applied Microbiology Abstracts (Microbiology A)</collection><collection>Technology Research Database</collection><collection>Environmental Sciences and Pollution Management</collection><collection>Engineering Research Database</collection><collection>ProQuest Health &amp; Medical Complete (Alumni)</collection><collection>Biotechnology and BioEngineering Abstracts</collection><collection>Genetics Abstracts</collection><collection>Environment Abstracts</collection><collection>MEDLINE - Academic</collection><collection>Sustainability Science Abstracts</collection><jtitle>Ecology (Durham)</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Chapman, Teresa B</au><au>Veblen, Thomas T</au><au>Schoennagel, Tania</au><au>Franklin, J</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>Spatiotemporal patterns of mountain pine beetle activity in the southern Rocky Mountains</atitle><jtitle>Ecology (Durham)</jtitle><addtitle>Ecology</addtitle><date>2012-10</date><risdate>2012</risdate><volume>93</volume><issue>10</issue><spage>2175</spage><epage>2185</epage><pages>2175-2185</pages><issn>0012-9658</issn><eissn>1939-9170</eissn><coden>ECGYAQ</coden><abstract>The current mountain pine beetle (MPB; Dendroctonus ponderosae ) outbreak in the southern Rocky Mountains has impacted ∼ 750 000 ha of forest. Weather and habitat heterogeneity influence forest insect population dynamics at multiple spatial and temporal scales. Comparison of forest insect population dynamics in two principal host species may elucidate the relative contribution of weather and landscape factors in initiating and driving extensive outbreaks. To investigate potential drivers of the current MPB outbreak, we compared broadscale spatiotemporal patterns of MPB activity in lodgepole pine ( Pinus contorta ) and ponderosa pine ( Pinus ponderosa ) from 1996 to 2010 in Colorado and southern Wyoming with regional weather fluctuations, and then tracked the annual meso-scale progression of the epidemic in lodgepole pine with respect to weather, topographic, previous MPB activity, and forest stand attributes. MPB activity in lodgepole pine compared to ponderosa pine showed higher magnitude and extent of spatial synchrony. Warm temperatures and low annual precipitation favorable to beetle populations showed high regional synchrony across areas of both pine species, suggesting that habitat interacts with weather in synchronizing MPB populations. Cluster analysis of time series patterns identified multiple, disjunct locations of incipient MPB activity (epicenters) in lodgepole pine, which overlapped an earlier 1980s MPB outbreak, and suggests a regional trigger (drought) across this homogenous forest type. Negative departures from mean annual precipitation played a key role in subsequent spread of MPB outbreak. Development of the outbreak was also associated with lower elevations, greater dominance by lodgepole pine, stands of larger tree size, and stands with higher percentage canopy cover. After epidemic levels of MPB activity were attained, MPB activity was less strongly associated with stand and weather variables. These results emphasize the importance of considering differences in patterns of MPB dynamics for different host pine species even under similar regional-scale weather variation and the nonstationarity of outbreak dynamics over time.</abstract><cop>Washington, DC</cop><pub>Ecological Society of America</pub><pmid>23185879</pmid><doi>10.1890/11-1055.1</doi><tpages>11</tpages></addata></record>
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source Jstor Complete Legacy; MEDLINE; Wiley Online Library Journals Frontfile Complete
subjects Animal and plant ecology
Animal, plant and microbial ecology
Animals
atmospheric precipitation
bark beetle
Bark beetles
Beetles
Biological and medical sciences
Canopies
canopy
Climate Change
cluster analysis
Coleoptera - physiology
Colorado
Coniferous forests
Demography
Dendroctonus ponderosae
Drought
Ecology
epicenter
epidemic
Epidemics
forest insects
Forest service
forest stands
forest types
Fundamental and applied biological sciences. Psychology
General aspects
Habitats
Host-Parasite Interactions
hosts
Insects
landscapes
lodgepole pine
lodgepole pine (Pinus contorta)
Mortality
Mountains
Pinus - parasitology
Pinus contorta
Pinus contorta var. latifolia
Pinus ponderosa
ponderosa pine
ponderosa pine (Pinus ponderosa)
Population biology
population dynamics
Population growth
Rocky Mountains, USA
spatial synchrony
temperature
time series analysis
trees
Weather
Wyoming
title Spatiotemporal patterns of mountain pine beetle activity in the southern Rocky Mountains
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