How well can a seasonal forecast system represent three hourly compound wind and precipitation extremes over Europe?

Extreme precipitation and winds can have a severe impact on society, particularly when they occur at the same place and time. In this study the Met Office’s Global Seasonal forecast system version 5 (GloSea5) model ensembles are evaluated against the reanalysis dataset ERA5, to find out how well the...

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Veröffentlicht in:	Environmental research letters 2021-07, Vol.16 (7), p.74019
Hauptverfasser:	Owen, Laura E, Catto, Jennifer L, Dunstone, Nick J, Stephenson, David B
Format:	Artikel
Sprache:	eng
Schlagworte:	compound extremes Conditional probability Datasets Hydrologic data Mathematical models model evaluation Precipitation Wind wind speed
Online-Zugang:	Volltext
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