Extending CMIP5 projections of global mean temperature change and sea level rise due to thermal expansion using a physically-based emulator

We present a physically-based emulator approach to extending 21st century CMIP5 model simulations of global mean surface temperature (GMST) and global thermal expansion (TE) to 2300. A two-layer energy balance model that has been tuned to emulate the CO2 response of individual CMIP5 models is combin...

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Veröffentlicht in:	Environmental research letters 2018, Vol.13 (8), p.84003
Hauptverfasser:	Palmer, Matthew D, Harris, Glen R, Gregory, Jonathan M
Format:	Artikel
Sprache:	eng
Schlagworte:	21st century Carbon dioxide Climate models climate projections CMIP5 Earth's energy imbalance Emissions Emulators Energy balance global surface temperature Global temperatures global thermal expansion Greenhouse gases Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Radiative forcing Sea level Sea level rise Simulation Surface temperature Systematic errors Thermal expansion two layer model
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