A Tradeoff between the Output and Current Account Effects of Pension Reform

We compare the long-term output and current account effects of pension reforms that increase the retirement age with those of reforms that cut pension benefits, conditional on reforms achieving similar fiscal targets. We show the presence of a policy trade-off. Pension reforms that increase the reti...

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Hauptverfasser: Catalan, Mario, Magud, Nicolas E
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description We compare the long-term output and current account effects of pension reforms that increase the retirement age with those of reforms that cut pension benefits, conditional on reforms achieving similar fiscal targets. We show the presence of a policy trade-off. Pension reforms that increase the retirement age have a large positive effect on output, but a small (and often negative) effect on the current account. In contrast, reforms that cut pension benefits improve the current account balance but reduce output. Mixed pension reforms, which extend the working life and cut pension benefits, can simultaneously boost output and the current account.
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source IMF E-Library
subjects Balance of payments
Econometric models
Industrial productivity
Pension reforms
Production
Current account
Economic models
Pension reform
external balance
dyamic general equilibrium model
pension
retirement
retirement age
pension benefits
benefits
pension reforms
wage
pension benefit
pension reform
tax rate
payroll
pension system
labor force
payroll tax
pension spending
tax rates
lower pension
pension expenditure
benefit formula
retirement period
pension systems
wage growth
net wage
individual pension
labor income
replacement rate
wage rate
wages
retirement income
pension income
revenue collection
domestic saving
labor force participation
pensions
payroll taxes
labor input
labor incentives
net return
pay-as-you-go pension system
Pensions
title A Tradeoff between the Output and Current Account Effects of Pension Reform
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