Risk Management in the Commercialization Activity in Brazil - An Approach by Using Markowitz, VaR and CVaR

In the new competitive environment of the electricity market, risk analysis is a powerful tool to guide investors under both contract uncertainties and energy prices of the spot market. This paper compares three risk measures: medium variance, maximum loss and medium maximum loss applied to the ener...

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Hauptverfasser: de Oliveira, M.F., Arfux, G.A.B., Teive, R.C.G.
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Arfux, G.A.B.
Teive, R.C.G.
description In the new competitive environment of the electricity market, risk analysis is a powerful tool to guide investors under both contract uncertainties and energy prices of the spot market. This paper compares three risk measures: medium variance, maximum loss and medium maximum loss applied to the energy commercialization problem. These methodologies are used to support the decision-making process in the investment analysis problem, considering the definition of the best contracts portfolio. It is illustrated in this paper that, techniques presented by Markowitz, value-at-risk and conditional value-at-risk theories can be used in a complementary way, improving the quality of decision in the energy commercialization problem
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subjects and Value-at-Risk (VaR)
Commercialization
Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR)
Contracts
Decision making
Electricity Markets
Electricity supply industry
Energy measurement
Investments
Loss measurement
Markowitz Portfolio Theory
Reactive power
Risk analysis
Risk management
title Risk Management in the Commercialization Activity in Brazil - An Approach by Using Markowitz, VaR and CVaR
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