The Widget Problem Revisited

The Jaynes "widget problem" is reviewed as an example of an application of the principle of maximum entropy in the making of decisions. The exact solution yields an unusual probability distribution. The problem illustrates why some kinds of decisions can be made intuitively and accurately,...

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Veröffentlicht in:IEEE transactions on systems science and cybernetics 1968-01, Vol.4 (3), p.241-248
Hauptverfasser: Tribus, Myron, Fitts, Gary
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container_title IEEE transactions on systems science and cybernetics
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creator Tribus, Myron
Fitts, Gary
description The Jaynes "widget problem" is reviewed as an example of an application of the principle of maximum entropy in the making of decisions. The exact solution yields an unusual probability distribution. The problem illustrates why some kinds of decisions can be made intuitively and accurately, but would be difficult to rationalize without the principle of maximum entropy.
doi_str_mv 10.1109/TSSC.1968.300118
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subjects Convergence
Decision theory
Entropy
Financial management
Information theory
Knowledge management
Paints
Probability distribution
Seminars
Tellurium
title The Widget Problem Revisited
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