The prognostic value of respiratory symptoms and performance status in ambulatory cancer patients and unsuspected pulmonary embolism; analysis of an international, prospective, observational cohort study

Background Optimal risk stratification of unsuspected pulmonary embolism (UPE) in ambulatory cancer patients (ACPs) remains unclear. Existing clinical predictive rules (CPRs) are derived from retrospective databases and have limitations. The UPE registry is a prospective international registry with...

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Veröffentlicht in:Journal of thrombosis and haemostasis 2021-11, Vol.19 (11), p.2791-2800
Hauptverfasser: Maraveyas, Anthony, Kraaijpoel, Noémie, Bozas, George, Huang, Chao, Mahé, Isabelle, Bertoletti, Laurent, Bartels‐Rutten, Annemarieke, Beyer‐Westendorf, Jan, Constans, Joel, Iosub, Diana, Couturaud, Francis, Muñoz, Andres J., Biosca, Mercedes, Lerede, Teresa, van Es, Nick, Di Nisio, Marcello
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container_end_page 2800
container_issue 11
container_start_page 2791
container_title Journal of thrombosis and haemostasis
container_volume 19
creator Maraveyas, Anthony
Kraaijpoel, Noémie
Bozas, George
Huang, Chao
Mahé, Isabelle
Bertoletti, Laurent
Bartels‐Rutten, Annemarieke
Beyer‐Westendorf, Jan
Constans, Joel
Iosub, Diana
Couturaud, Francis
Muñoz, Andres J.
Biosca, Mercedes
Lerede, Teresa
van Es, Nick
Di Nisio, Marcello
description Background Optimal risk stratification of unsuspected pulmonary embolism (UPE) in ambulatory cancer patients (ACPs) remains unclear. Existing clinical predictive rules (CPRs) are derived from retrospective databases and have limitations. The UPE registry is a prospective international registry with pre‐specified characteristics of ACPs with a recent UPE. The aim of this study was to assess the utility of risk factors captured in the UPE registry in predicting proximate (30‐, 90‐ and 180‐day) mortality and how they performed when applied to an existing CPR. Objectives To evaluate risk factors for proximate mortality, overall survival, recurrent venous thromboembolism and major bleeding, in the patients enrolled in the UPE registry cohort. Methods Data from the 695 ACPs in this registry were subjected to multivariate logistic regression analyses to identify predictors independently associated with proximate mortality and overall survival. The most consistent predictors were applied to the Hull CPR, an existing 5‐point prediction rule. Results The most consistent predictors of mortality were patient‐reported respiratory symptoms within 14 days before, and ECOG performance status at the time of UPE. These predictors applied to the Hull‐CPR produced a consistent correlation with proximate mortality and overall survival (area under the curve [AUC] = 0.70 [95% CI 0.63, 077], AUC = 0.65 [95% CI 0.60, 070], AUC = 0.64 [95% CI 0.59, 068], and AUC = 0.61, 95% CI 0.57, 0.65, respectively). Conclusion In ACPs with UPE, ECOG performance status logged contemporaneously to the UPE diagnosis and respiratory symptoms prior to UPE diagnosis can stratify mortality risk. When applied to the HULL‐CPR these risk predictors confirmed the risk stratification clusters of low‐intermediate and high‐risk for proximate mortality as seen in the original derivation cohort.
doi_str_mv 10.1111/jth.15489
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Existing clinical predictive rules (CPRs) are derived from retrospective databases and have limitations. The UPE registry is a prospective international registry with pre‐specified characteristics of ACPs with a recent UPE. The aim of this study was to assess the utility of risk factors captured in the UPE registry in predicting proximate (30‐, 90‐ and 180‐day) mortality and how they performed when applied to an existing CPR. Objectives To evaluate risk factors for proximate mortality, overall survival, recurrent venous thromboembolism and major bleeding, in the patients enrolled in the UPE registry cohort. Methods Data from the 695 ACPs in this registry were subjected to multivariate logistic regression analyses to identify predictors independently associated with proximate mortality and overall survival. The most consistent predictors were applied to the Hull CPR, an existing 5‐point prediction rule. Results The most consistent predictors of mortality were patient‐reported respiratory symptoms within 14 days before, and ECOG performance status at the time of UPE. These predictors applied to the Hull‐CPR produced a consistent correlation with proximate mortality and overall survival (area under the curve [AUC] = 0.70 [95% CI 0.63, 077], AUC = 0.65 [95% CI 0.60, 070], AUC = 0.64 [95% CI 0.59, 068], and AUC = 0.61, 95% CI 0.57, 0.65, respectively). Conclusion In ACPs with UPE, ECOG performance status logged contemporaneously to the UPE diagnosis and respiratory symptoms prior to UPE diagnosis can stratify mortality risk. When applied to the HULL‐CPR these risk predictors confirmed the risk stratification clusters of low‐intermediate and high‐risk for proximate mortality as seen in the original derivation cohort.</description><identifier>ISSN: 1538-7933</identifier><identifier>ISSN: 1538-7836</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1538-7836</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1111/jth.15489</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Oxford: Elsevier Limited</publisher><subject>cancer associated thrombosis ; clinical prediction rule ; Cohort analysis ; Diagnosis ; Embolism ; incidental pulmonary embolism ; Life Sciences ; Lung cancer ; Mortality ; Observational studies ; Patients ; Pulmonary embolisms ; risk assessment model ; Risk factors ; Survival ; Thromboembolism ; unsuspected pulmonary embolism</subject><ispartof>Journal of thrombosis and haemostasis, 2021-11, Vol.19 (11), p.2791-2800</ispartof><rights>2021 International Society on Thrombosis and Haemostasis</rights><rights>Distributed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><oa>free_for_read</oa><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c3999-f6dc176d0622cc18709366948c81395e10846889477fd9210202ab36b978aed03</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c3999-f6dc176d0622cc18709366948c81395e10846889477fd9210202ab36b978aed03</cites><orcidid>0000-0001-5256-6346 ; 0000-0003-1760-7880 ; 0000-0002-6983-9993 ; 0000-0001-5930-7304 ; 0000-0002-1124-695X ; 0000-0003-1749-4855 ; 0000-0001-8214-3010 ; 0000-0003-4176-5176 ; 0000-0002-1855-8032</orcidid></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><link.rule.ids>230,314,780,784,885,27924,27925</link.rule.ids><backlink>$$Uhttps://hal.science/hal-04508597$$DView record in HAL$$Hfree_for_read</backlink></links><search><creatorcontrib>Maraveyas, Anthony</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Kraaijpoel, Noémie</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Bozas, George</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Huang, Chao</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Mahé, Isabelle</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Bertoletti, Laurent</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Bartels‐Rutten, Annemarieke</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Beyer‐Westendorf, Jan</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Constans, Joel</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Iosub, Diana</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Couturaud, Francis</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Muñoz, Andres J.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Biosca, Mercedes</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Lerede, Teresa</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>van Es, Nick</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Di Nisio, Marcello</creatorcontrib><title>The prognostic value of respiratory symptoms and performance status in ambulatory cancer patients and unsuspected pulmonary embolism; analysis of an international, prospective, observational cohort study</title><title>Journal of thrombosis and haemostasis</title><description>Background Optimal risk stratification of unsuspected pulmonary embolism (UPE) in ambulatory cancer patients (ACPs) remains unclear. Existing clinical predictive rules (CPRs) are derived from retrospective databases and have limitations. The UPE registry is a prospective international registry with pre‐specified characteristics of ACPs with a recent UPE. The aim of this study was to assess the utility of risk factors captured in the UPE registry in predicting proximate (30‐, 90‐ and 180‐day) mortality and how they performed when applied to an existing CPR. Objectives To evaluate risk factors for proximate mortality, overall survival, recurrent venous thromboembolism and major bleeding, in the patients enrolled in the UPE registry cohort. Methods Data from the 695 ACPs in this registry were subjected to multivariate logistic regression analyses to identify predictors independently associated with proximate mortality and overall survival. The most consistent predictors were applied to the Hull CPR, an existing 5‐point prediction rule. Results The most consistent predictors of mortality were patient‐reported respiratory symptoms within 14 days before, and ECOG performance status at the time of UPE. These predictors applied to the Hull‐CPR produced a consistent correlation with proximate mortality and overall survival (area under the curve [AUC] = 0.70 [95% CI 0.63, 077], AUC = 0.65 [95% CI 0.60, 070], AUC = 0.64 [95% CI 0.59, 068], and AUC = 0.61, 95% CI 0.57, 0.65, respectively). Conclusion In ACPs with UPE, ECOG performance status logged contemporaneously to the UPE diagnosis and respiratory symptoms prior to UPE diagnosis can stratify mortality risk. When applied to the HULL‐CPR these risk predictors confirmed the risk stratification clusters of low‐intermediate and high‐risk for proximate mortality as seen in the original derivation cohort.</description><subject>cancer associated thrombosis</subject><subject>clinical prediction rule</subject><subject>Cohort analysis</subject><subject>Diagnosis</subject><subject>Embolism</subject><subject>incidental pulmonary embolism</subject><subject>Life Sciences</subject><subject>Lung cancer</subject><subject>Mortality</subject><subject>Observational studies</subject><subject>Patients</subject><subject>Pulmonary embolisms</subject><subject>risk assessment model</subject><subject>Risk factors</subject><subject>Survival</subject><subject>Thromboembolism</subject><subject>unsuspected pulmonary embolism</subject><issn>1538-7933</issn><issn>1538-7836</issn><issn>1538-7836</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2021</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><recordid>eNp1ks-KFDEQxhtRcF09-AYBLwo7u0mnu5PgaVnUUQa8jOeQSVc7GdJJmz-z9DP6Uqa3VwXBXBJSv_rqq6Kq6jXB16Scm1M6XpO24eJJdUFayjeM0-7p77eg9Hn1IsYTxkS0Nb6ofu6PgKbgvzsfk9HorGwG5AcUIE4mqOTDjOI8TsmPESnXownC4MOonAYUk0o5IuOQGg_ZrrReQgFNKhlwaU3KLuY4gU5QBLIdvVOFhPHgrYnj-8IoO0cTl8rKFcEEwRWBwtmrxd9DsjnDFfKHCOH8GEPaH31IxUju55fVs0HZCK8e78vq28cP-7vtZvf10-e7291GUyHEZuh6TVjX466utSacYUG7TjRcc0JFCwTzpuNcNIwNvagJrnGtDrQ7CMYV9JheVu9W3aOycgpmLL1Ir4zc3u7k8oebFvNWsDMp7NuVLT38yBCTHE3UYK1y4HOUdcuaBnPGFvTNP-jJ5zIFu1CcUkwJY3-L6zKUGGD444BguayALCsgH1agsDcre28szP8H5Zf9ds34BZCat0k</recordid><startdate>202111</startdate><enddate>202111</enddate><creator>Maraveyas, Anthony</creator><creator>Kraaijpoel, Noémie</creator><creator>Bozas, George</creator><creator>Huang, Chao</creator><creator>Mahé, Isabelle</creator><creator>Bertoletti, Laurent</creator><creator>Bartels‐Rutten, Annemarieke</creator><creator>Beyer‐Westendorf, Jan</creator><creator>Constans, Joel</creator><creator>Iosub, Diana</creator><creator>Couturaud, Francis</creator><creator>Muñoz, Andres J.</creator><creator>Biosca, Mercedes</creator><creator>Lerede, Teresa</creator><creator>van Es, Nick</creator><creator>Di Nisio, Marcello</creator><general>Elsevier Limited</general><general>Wiley</general><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>7T5</scope><scope>H94</scope><scope>K9.</scope><scope>7X8</scope><scope>1XC</scope><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5256-6346</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1760-7880</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6983-9993</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5930-7304</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1124-695X</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1749-4855</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8214-3010</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4176-5176</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1855-8032</orcidid></search><sort><creationdate>202111</creationdate><title>The prognostic value of respiratory symptoms and performance status in ambulatory cancer patients and unsuspected pulmonary embolism; analysis of an international, prospective, observational cohort study</title><author>Maraveyas, Anthony ; Kraaijpoel, Noémie ; Bozas, George ; Huang, Chao ; Mahé, Isabelle ; Bertoletti, Laurent ; Bartels‐Rutten, Annemarieke ; Beyer‐Westendorf, Jan ; Constans, Joel ; Iosub, Diana ; Couturaud, Francis ; Muñoz, Andres J. ; Biosca, Mercedes ; Lerede, Teresa ; van Es, Nick ; Di Nisio, Marcello</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c3999-f6dc176d0622cc18709366948c81395e10846889477fd9210202ab36b978aed03</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2021</creationdate><topic>cancer associated thrombosis</topic><topic>clinical prediction rule</topic><topic>Cohort analysis</topic><topic>Diagnosis</topic><topic>Embolism</topic><topic>incidental pulmonary embolism</topic><topic>Life Sciences</topic><topic>Lung cancer</topic><topic>Mortality</topic><topic>Observational studies</topic><topic>Patients</topic><topic>Pulmonary embolisms</topic><topic>risk assessment model</topic><topic>Risk factors</topic><topic>Survival</topic><topic>Thromboembolism</topic><topic>unsuspected pulmonary embolism</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Maraveyas, Anthony</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Kraaijpoel, Noémie</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Bozas, George</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Huang, Chao</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Mahé, Isabelle</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Bertoletti, Laurent</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Bartels‐Rutten, Annemarieke</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Beyer‐Westendorf, Jan</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Constans, Joel</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Iosub, Diana</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Couturaud, Francis</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Muñoz, Andres J.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Biosca, Mercedes</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Lerede, Teresa</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>van Es, Nick</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Di Nisio, Marcello</creatorcontrib><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>Immunology Abstracts</collection><collection>AIDS and Cancer Research Abstracts</collection><collection>ProQuest Health &amp; 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Existing clinical predictive rules (CPRs) are derived from retrospective databases and have limitations. The UPE registry is a prospective international registry with pre‐specified characteristics of ACPs with a recent UPE. The aim of this study was to assess the utility of risk factors captured in the UPE registry in predicting proximate (30‐, 90‐ and 180‐day) mortality and how they performed when applied to an existing CPR. Objectives To evaluate risk factors for proximate mortality, overall survival, recurrent venous thromboembolism and major bleeding, in the patients enrolled in the UPE registry cohort. Methods Data from the 695 ACPs in this registry were subjected to multivariate logistic regression analyses to identify predictors independently associated with proximate mortality and overall survival. The most consistent predictors were applied to the Hull CPR, an existing 5‐point prediction rule. Results The most consistent predictors of mortality were patient‐reported respiratory symptoms within 14 days before, and ECOG performance status at the time of UPE. These predictors applied to the Hull‐CPR produced a consistent correlation with proximate mortality and overall survival (area under the curve [AUC] = 0.70 [95% CI 0.63, 077], AUC = 0.65 [95% CI 0.60, 070], AUC = 0.64 [95% CI 0.59, 068], and AUC = 0.61, 95% CI 0.57, 0.65, respectively). Conclusion In ACPs with UPE, ECOG performance status logged contemporaneously to the UPE diagnosis and respiratory symptoms prior to UPE diagnosis can stratify mortality risk. When applied to the HULL‐CPR these risk predictors confirmed the risk stratification clusters of low‐intermediate and high‐risk for proximate mortality as seen in the original derivation cohort.</abstract><cop>Oxford</cop><pub>Elsevier Limited</pub><doi>10.1111/jth.15489</doi><tpages>10</tpages><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5256-6346</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1760-7880</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6983-9993</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5930-7304</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1124-695X</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1749-4855</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8214-3010</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4176-5176</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1855-8032</orcidid><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record>
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subjects cancer associated thrombosis
clinical prediction rule
Cohort analysis
Diagnosis
Embolism
incidental pulmonary embolism
Life Sciences
Lung cancer
Mortality
Observational studies
Patients
Pulmonary embolisms
risk assessment model
Risk factors
Survival
Thromboembolism
unsuspected pulmonary embolism
title The prognostic value of respiratory symptoms and performance status in ambulatory cancer patients and unsuspected pulmonary embolism; analysis of an international, prospective, observational cohort study
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