Simulation of current pricing-tendencies in the German electricity market for private consumption

The German electricity market for private consumption is characterized by increasing prices and low participation of the consumers. This prompts us to investigate the interdependencies between the customers’ engagement in the market and the suppliers’ pricing strategies. Based on an analysis of the...

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Veröffentlicht in:Energy policy 2007-08, Vol.35 (8), p.4283-4294
Hauptverfasser: Müller, Moritz, Sensfuß, Frank, Wietschel, Martin
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container_issue 8
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container_title Energy policy
container_volume 35
creator Müller, Moritz
Sensfuß, Frank
Wietschel, Martin
description The German electricity market for private consumption is characterized by increasing prices and low participation of the consumers. This prompts us to investigate the interdependencies between the customers’ engagement in the market and the suppliers’ pricing strategies. Based on an analysis of the German retail market, an agent-based simulation model is developed. Whereas the behaviour of private customers is calibrated on field data, the suppliers learn to maximize profits with a feedback-learning heuristic. The simulation results show a tendency of rising prices, which are created without the assumption of tacit collusion among suppliers. We conclude that in Germany the current market pressure of private customers may not be a sufficient incentive for suppliers to lower electricity prices.
doi_str_mv 10.1016/j.enpol.2007.02.032
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subjects Agent-based simulation
Applied sciences
Consumption
Economic behaviour
Economic data
Economics and Finance
Electric energy
Electricity
Electricity market
Energy
Energy consumption
Energy economics
Energy industry
Energy market
Exact sciences and technology
General, economic and professional studies
Germany
Heuristic
Humanities and Social Sciences
Liberalization
Methodology. Modelling
Price level
Prices
Pricing
Simulation
Studies
title Simulation of current pricing-tendencies in the German electricity market for private consumption
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