Common scaling behavior in finance and macroeconomics
In order to test whether scaling exists in finance at the world level, we test whether the average growth rates and volatility of market capitalization ( MC ) depend on the level of MC . We analyze the MC for 54 worldwide stock indices and 48 worldwide bond indices. We find that (i) the average grow...
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Veröffentlicht in: | The European physical journal. B, Condensed matter physics Condensed matter physics, 2010-08, Vol.76 (4), p.487-490 |
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Hauptverfasser: | , , , , |
Format: | Artikel |
Sprache: | eng |
Schlagworte: | |
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Zusammenfassung: | In order to test whether scaling exists in finance at the world level, we test whether the average growth rates and volatility of market capitalization (
MC
) depend on the level of
MC
. We analyze the
MC
for 54 worldwide stock indices and 48 worldwide bond indices. We find that (i) the average growth rate
r
of the
MC
and (ii) the standard deviation
of growth rates
r
decrease both with
MC
as power laws, with exponents
= 0.28
±
0.09 and
= 0.12
±
0.04. We define a stochastic process in order to model the scaling results we find for worldwide stock and bond indices. We establish a power-law relationship between the
MC
of a country’s financial market and the gross domestic product (GDP) of the same country. |
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ISSN: | 1434-6028 1434-6036 |
DOI: | 10.1140/epjb/e2009-00380-3 |