Public Evacuation Decisions and Hurricane Track Uncertainty

Public officials with the authority to order hurricane evacuations face a difficult trade-off between risks to life and costly false alarms. Evacuation decisions must be made on the basis of imperfect information, in the form of forecasts. The quality of these decisions can be improved if they are a...

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Veröffentlicht in:	Management science 2008-01, Vol.54 (1), p.16-28
1. Verfasser:	Regnier, Eva
Format:	Artikel
Sprache:	eng
Schlagworte:	Applied sciences Cyclones decision analysis Decision making Decision theory. Utility theory disaster planning Emergency management Evacuation of civilians Evacuations & rescues Exact sciences and technology False alarms Forecasting models Government officials Hurricanes Management Markov analysis Methods Natural disasters natural systems Operational research and scientific management Operational research. Management science Planning methods Probabilities Probability forecasts public evacuations Public management Public officials risk Risk management Stochastic models Storms Strike threat Studies U.S.A United States Weather forecasting
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