Estimating future bidding performance of competitor bidders in capped tenders

Research in Bid Tender Forecasting Models (BTFM) has been in progress since the 1950s. None of the developed models were easy-to-use tools for effective use by bidding practitioners because the advanced mathematical apparatus and massive data inputs required. This scenario began to change in 2012 wi...

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Veröffentlicht in:Journal of civil engineering and management 2014-09, Vol.20 (5), p.702-713
Hauptverfasser: Ballesteros-Pérez, Pablo, González-Cruz, M. Carmen, Fernández-Diego, Marta, Pellicer, Eugenio
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container_end_page 713
container_issue 5
container_start_page 702
container_title Journal of civil engineering and management
container_volume 20
creator Ballesteros-Pérez, Pablo
González-Cruz, M. Carmen
Fernández-Diego, Marta
Pellicer, Eugenio
description Research in Bid Tender Forecasting Models (BTFM) has been in progress since the 1950s. None of the developed models were easy-to-use tools for effective use by bidding practitioners because the advanced mathematical apparatus and massive data inputs required. This scenario began to change in 2012 with the development of the Smartbid BTFM, a quite simple model that presents a series of graphs that enables any project manager to study competitors using a relatively short historical tender dataset. However, despite the advantages of this new model, so far, it is still necessary to study all the auction participants as an indivisible group; that is, the original BTFM was not devised for analyzing the behavior of a single bidding competitor or a subgroup of them. The present paper tries to solve that flaw and presents a stand-alone methodology useful for estimating future competitors' bidding behaviors separately.
doi_str_mv 10.3846/13923730.2014.914096
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subjects Analysis
auction
Auctions
bid
Building
Capping
construction
Contracts
Estimating
forecast
Forecasting
Forecasts and trends
Graphs
Letting of contracts
Management
Market share
Mathematical analysis
Mathematical models
Methods
score
Subgroups
Technology application
tender
title Estimating future bidding performance of competitor bidders in capped tenders
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