PREDICTION DEVICE, PREDICTION METHOD, AND PROGRAM
To provide a prediction device, a prediction method, and a program that can support formulation of a further reliable action plan.SOLUTION: A prediction device 1 includes: a setting unit that sets action course information including an action course to be performed to achieve a target; a simulator t...
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| creator | ADACHI KAZUTO INABA TAKUYA |
| description | To provide a prediction device, a prediction method, and a program that can support formulation of a further reliable action plan.SOLUTION: A prediction device 1 includes: a setting unit that sets action course information including an action course to be performed to achieve a target; a simulator that performs, based on environmental information indicating a variation factor in a future forecast and the action course information set by the setting unit, a simulation of a state transition of an event; a predicted value output unit that outputs, based on probability of realization of each event state based on a simulation result, a predicted value for at least each one target candidate; and a state transition output unit that outputs, with respect to a target selected from the target candidates on the basis of the action course information set by the setting unit, state transition information indicating a state transition of an event until achievement of the target.SELECTED DRAWING: Figure 1
【課題】より信頼性のある行動計画の策定を支援することができる予測装置、予測方法及びプログラムを提供する。【解決手段】予測装置１は、目標が達成されるために行われる行動の方針を含む行動方針情報を設定する設定部と、将来予測における変動要因を示す環境情報と、設定部により設定された行動方針情報とに基づいて、事象の状態遷移についてのシミュレーションを実行するシミュレータと、シミュレーションの結果に基づく事象の状態ごとの実現確率に基づいて、少なくとも１つの目標候補ごとの予測値を出力する予測値出力部と、設定部により設定された行動方針情報に基づき目標候補の中から選択された目標について、目標の達成に至るまでの事象の状態遷移を示す状態遷移情報を出力する状態遷移出力部と、を備える。【選択図】図１ |
| format | Patent |
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【課題】より信頼性のある行動計画の策定を支援することができる予測装置、予測方法及びプログラムを提供する。【解決手段】予測装置１は、目標が達成されるために行われる行動の方針を含む行動方針情報を設定する設定部と、将来予測における変動要因を示す環境情報と、設定部により設定された行動方針情報とに基づいて、事象の状態遷移についてのシミュレーションを実行するシミュレータと、シミュレーションの結果に基づく事象の状態ごとの実現確率に基づいて、少なくとも１つの目標候補ごとの予測値を出力する予測値出力部と、設定部により設定された行動方針情報に基づき目標候補の中から選択された目標について、目標の達成に至るまでの事象の状態遷移を示す状態遷移情報を出力する状態遷移出力部と、を備える。【選択図】図１</description><language>eng ; jpn</language><subject>CALCULATING ; COMPUTING ; COUNTING ; DATA PROCESSING SYSTEMS OR METHODS, SPECIALLY ADAPTED FORADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORYOR FORECASTING PURPOSES ; PHYSICS ; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE,COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORY OR FORECASTINGPURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR</subject><creationdate>2020</creationdate><oa>free_for_read</oa><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://worldwide.espacenet.com/publicationDetails/biblio?FT=D&date=20200326&DB=EPODOC&CC=JP&NR=2020046923A$$EHTML$$P50$$Gepo$$Hfree_for_read</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>230,308,776,881,25542,76290</link.rule.ids><linktorsrc>$$Uhttps://worldwide.espacenet.com/publicationDetails/biblio?FT=D&date=20200326&DB=EPODOC&CC=JP&NR=2020046923A$$EView_record_in_European_Patent_Office$$FView_record_in_$$GEuropean_Patent_Office$$Hfree_for_read</linktorsrc></links><search><creatorcontrib>ADACHI KAZUTO</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>INABA TAKUYA</creatorcontrib><title>PREDICTION DEVICE, PREDICTION METHOD, AND PROGRAM</title><description>To provide a prediction device, a prediction method, and a program that can support formulation of a further reliable action plan.SOLUTION: A prediction device 1 includes: a setting unit that sets action course information including an action course to be performed to achieve a target; a simulator that performs, based on environmental information indicating a variation factor in a future forecast and the action course information set by the setting unit, a simulation of a state transition of an event; a predicted value output unit that outputs, based on probability of realization of each event state based on a simulation result, a predicted value for at least each one target candidate; and a state transition output unit that outputs, with respect to a target selected from the target candidates on the basis of the action course information set by the setting unit, state transition information indicating a state transition of an event until achievement of the target.SELECTED DRAWING: Figure 1
【課題】より信頼性のある行動計画の策定を支援することができる予測装置、予測方法及びプログラムを提供する。【解決手段】予測装置１は、目標が達成されるために行われる行動の方針を含む行動方針情報を設定する設定部と、将来予測における変動要因を示す環境情報と、設定部により設定された行動方針情報とに基づいて、事象の状態遷移についてのシミュレーションを実行するシミュレータと、シミュレーションの結果に基づく事象の状態ごとの実現確率に基づいて、少なくとも１つの目標候補ごとの予測値を出力する予測値出力部と、設定部により設定された行動方針情報に基づき目標候補の中から選択された目標について、目標の達成に至るまでの事象の状態遷移を示す状態遷移情報を出力する状態遷移出力部と、を備える。【選択図】図１</description><subject>CALCULATING</subject><subject>COMPUTING</subject><subject>COUNTING</subject><subject>DATA PROCESSING SYSTEMS OR METHODS, SPECIALLY ADAPTED FORADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORYOR FORECASTING PURPOSES</subject><subject>PHYSICS</subject><subject>SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE,COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORY OR FORECASTINGPURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR</subject><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>patent</rsrctype><creationdate>2020</creationdate><recordtype>patent</recordtype><sourceid>EVB</sourceid><recordid>eNrjZDAMCHJ18XQO8fT3U3BxDfN0dtVRQBLydQ3x8HfRUXD0cwEK-7sHOfryMLCmJeYUp_JCaW4GJTfXEGcP3dSC_PjU4oLE5NS81JJ4rwAjAyMDAxMzSyNjR2OiFAEAhdsmug</recordid><startdate>20200326</startdate><enddate>20200326</enddate><creator>ADACHI KAZUTO</creator><creator>INABA TAKUYA</creator><scope>EVB</scope></search><sort><creationdate>20200326</creationdate><title>PREDICTION DEVICE, PREDICTION METHOD, AND PROGRAM</title><author>ADACHI KAZUTO ; INABA TAKUYA</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-epo_espacenet_JP2020046923A3</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>patents</rsrctype><prefilter>patents</prefilter><language>eng ; jpn</language><creationdate>2020</creationdate><topic>CALCULATING</topic><topic>COMPUTING</topic><topic>COUNTING</topic><topic>DATA PROCESSING SYSTEMS OR METHODS, SPECIALLY ADAPTED FORADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORYOR FORECASTING PURPOSES</topic><topic>PHYSICS</topic><topic>SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE,COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORY OR FORECASTINGPURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR</topic><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>ADACHI KAZUTO</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>INABA TAKUYA</creatorcontrib><collection>esp@cenet</collection></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext_linktorsrc</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>ADACHI KAZUTO</au><au>INABA TAKUYA</au><format>patent</format><genre>patent</genre><ristype>GEN</ristype><title>PREDICTION DEVICE, PREDICTION METHOD, AND PROGRAM</title><date>2020-03-26</date><risdate>2020</risdate><abstract>To provide a prediction device, a prediction method, and a program that can support formulation of a further reliable action plan.SOLUTION: A prediction device 1 includes: a setting unit that sets action course information including an action course to be performed to achieve a target; a simulator that performs, based on environmental information indicating a variation factor in a future forecast and the action course information set by the setting unit, a simulation of a state transition of an event; a predicted value output unit that outputs, based on probability of realization of each event state based on a simulation result, a predicted value for at least each one target candidate; and a state transition output unit that outputs, with respect to a target selected from the target candidates on the basis of the action course information set by the setting unit, state transition information indicating a state transition of an event until achievement of the target.SELECTED DRAWING: Figure 1
【課題】より信頼性のある行動計画の策定を支援することができる予測装置、予測方法及びプログラムを提供する。【解決手段】予測装置１は、目標が達成されるために行われる行動の方針を含む行動方針情報を設定する設定部と、将来予測における変動要因を示す環境情報と、設定部により設定された行動方針情報とに基づいて、事象の状態遷移についてのシミュレーションを実行するシミュレータと、シミュレーションの結果に基づく事象の状態ごとの実現確率に基づいて、少なくとも１つの目標候補ごとの予測値を出力する予測値出力部と、設定部により設定された行動方針情報に基づき目標候補の中から選択された目標について、目標の達成に至るまでの事象の状態遷移を示す状態遷移情報を出力する状態遷移出力部と、を備える。【選択図】図１</abstract><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record> |
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| subjects | CALCULATING COMPUTING COUNTING DATA PROCESSING SYSTEMS OR METHODS, SPECIALLY ADAPTED FORADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORYOR FORECASTING PURPOSES PHYSICS SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE,COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORY OR FORECASTINGPURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR |
| title | PREDICTION DEVICE, PREDICTION METHOD, AND PROGRAM |
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