PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER GENERATION SYSTEM DISTRIBUTION ESTIMATION DEVICE, PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER GENERATION SYSTEM DISTRIBUTION ESTIMATION METHOD, PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER GENERATION SYSTEM DISTRIBUTION ESTIMATION PROGRAM, AND PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER GENERATION OUTPUT PREDICTION DEVICE

To provide a photovoltaic power generation system distribution estimation device, a photovoltaic power generation system distribution estimation method, a photovoltaic power generation system distribution estimation program, and a photovoltaic power generation output prediction device that improve t...

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description To provide a photovoltaic power generation system distribution estimation device, a photovoltaic power generation system distribution estimation method, a photovoltaic power generation system distribution estimation program, and a photovoltaic power generation output prediction device that improve the accuracy of estimating the spatial distribution of a photovoltaic power generation system at low cost.SOLUTION: A true demand regression model generation unit 102 generates a true demand regression model representing a real demand that is a demand actually consumed by a customer in a predetermined area where a plurality of photovoltaic power generation systems are arranged. A PV output regression model generation unit 103 generates a PV output regression model representing the PV outputs of the plurality of photovoltaic power generation systems. A remaining demand obtaining unit 104 obtains the power generation amount generated by a generator other than the photovoltaic power generation system in the predetermined area. A system output coefficient calculation unit 105 calculates a system output coefficient at each point in the predetermined area on the basis of the true demand regression model, the PV output regression model, and the power generation amount.SELECTED DRAWING: Figure 1 【課題】低コストで太陽光発電システムの空間分布の推定精度を向上させる太陽光発電システム分布推定装置、太陽光発電システム分布推定方法、太陽光発電システム分布推定プログラム及び太陽光発電出力予測装置を提供する。【解決手段】真の需要回帰モデル生成部102は、複数の太陽光発電システムが配置された所定地域における、実際に需要家が消費した需要である真の需要を表す真の需要の回帰モデルを生成する。PV出力回帰モデル生成部103は、複数の太陽光発電システムのPV出力を表すPV出力の回帰モデルを生成する。残余需要取得部104は、太陽光発電システム以外の発電機による所定地域における発電量を求める。システム出力係数算出部105は、真の需要の回帰モデル、PV出力の回帰モデル及び発電量を基に、所定地域の各地点におけるシステム出力係数を算出する。【選択図】図1
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A PV output regression model generation unit 103 generates a PV output regression model representing the PV outputs of the plurality of photovoltaic power generation systems. A remaining demand obtaining unit 104 obtains the power generation amount generated by a generator other than the photovoltaic power generation system in the predetermined area. A system output coefficient calculation unit 105 calculates a system output coefficient at each point in the predetermined area on the basis of the true demand regression model, the PV output regression model, and the power generation amount.SELECTED DRAWING: Figure 1 【課題】低コストで太陽光発電システムの空間分布の推定精度を向上させる太陽光発電システム分布推定装置、太陽光発電システム分布推定方法、太陽光発電システム分布推定プログラム及び太陽光発電出力予測装置を提供する。【解決手段】真の需要回帰モデル生成部102は、複数の太陽光発電システムが配置された所定地域における、実際に需要家が消費した需要である真の需要を表す真の需要の回帰モデルを生成する。PV出力回帰モデル生成部103は、複数の太陽光発電システムのPV出力を表すPV出力の回帰モデルを生成する。残余需要取得部104は、太陽光発電システム以外の発電機による所定地域における発電量を求める。システム出力係数算出部105は、真の需要の回帰モデル、PV出力の回帰モデル及び発電量を基に、所定地域の各地点におけるシステム出力係数を算出する。【選択図】図1</description><language>eng ; jpn</language><subject>CALCULATING ; CIRCUIT ARRANGEMENTS OR SYSTEMS FOR SUPPLYING OR DISTRIBUTINGELECTRIC POWER ; COMPUTING ; CONVERSION OR DISTRIBUTION OF ELECTRIC POWER ; COUNTING ; DATA PROCESSING SYSTEMS OR METHODS, SPECIALLY ADAPTED FORADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORYOR FORECASTING PURPOSES ; ELECTRICITY ; GENERATION ; PHYSICS ; SYSTEMS FOR STORING ELECTRIC ENERGY ; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE,COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORY OR FORECASTINGPURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR</subject><creationdate>2020</creationdate><oa>free_for_read</oa><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://worldwide.espacenet.com/publicationDetails/biblio?FT=D&amp;date=20200220&amp;DB=EPODOC&amp;CC=JP&amp;NR=2020028195A$$EHTML$$P50$$Gepo$$Hfree_for_read</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>230,308,776,881,25542,76289</link.rule.ids><linktorsrc>$$Uhttps://worldwide.espacenet.com/publicationDetails/biblio?FT=D&amp;date=20200220&amp;DB=EPODOC&amp;CC=JP&amp;NR=2020028195A$$EView_record_in_European_Patent_Office$$FView_record_in_$$GEuropean_Patent_Office$$Hfree_for_read</linktorsrc></links><search><creatorcontrib>HIGO TAKAYUKI</creatorcontrib><title>PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER GENERATION SYSTEM DISTRIBUTION ESTIMATION DEVICE, PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER GENERATION SYSTEM DISTRIBUTION ESTIMATION METHOD, PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER GENERATION SYSTEM DISTRIBUTION ESTIMATION PROGRAM, AND PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER GENERATION OUTPUT PREDICTION DEVICE</title><description>To provide a photovoltaic power generation system distribution estimation device, a photovoltaic power generation system distribution estimation method, a photovoltaic power generation system distribution estimation program, and a photovoltaic power generation output prediction device that improve the accuracy of estimating the spatial distribution of a photovoltaic power generation system at low cost.SOLUTION: A true demand regression model generation unit 102 generates a true demand regression model representing a real demand that is a demand actually consumed by a customer in a predetermined area where a plurality of photovoltaic power generation systems are arranged. A PV output regression model generation unit 103 generates a PV output regression model representing the PV outputs of the plurality of photovoltaic power generation systems. A remaining demand obtaining unit 104 obtains the power generation amount generated by a generator other than the photovoltaic power generation system in the predetermined area. A system output coefficient calculation unit 105 calculates a system output coefficient at each point in the predetermined area on the basis of the true demand regression model, the PV output regression model, and the power generation amount.SELECTED DRAWING: Figure 1 【課題】低コストで太陽光発電システムの空間分布の推定精度を向上させる太陽光発電システム分布推定装置、太陽光発電システム分布推定方法、太陽光発電システム分布推定プログラム及び太陽光発電出力予測装置を提供する。【解決手段】真の需要回帰モデル生成部102は、複数の太陽光発電システムが配置された所定地域における、実際に需要家が消費した需要である真の需要を表す真の需要の回帰モデルを生成する。PV出力回帰モデル生成部103は、複数の太陽光発電システムのPV出力を表すPV出力の回帰モデルを生成する。残余需要取得部104は、太陽光発電システム以外の発電機による所定地域における発電量を求める。システム出力係数算出部105は、真の需要の回帰モデル、PV出力の回帰モデル及び発電量を基に、所定地域の各地点におけるシステム出力係数を算出する。【選択図】図1</description><subject>CALCULATING</subject><subject>CIRCUIT ARRANGEMENTS OR SYSTEMS FOR SUPPLYING OR DISTRIBUTINGELECTRIC POWER</subject><subject>COMPUTING</subject><subject>CONVERSION OR DISTRIBUTION OF ELECTRIC POWER</subject><subject>COUNTING</subject><subject>DATA PROCESSING SYSTEMS OR METHODS, SPECIALLY ADAPTED FORADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORYOR FORECASTING PURPOSES</subject><subject>ELECTRICITY</subject><subject>GENERATION</subject><subject>PHYSICS</subject><subject>SYSTEMS FOR STORING ELECTRIC ENERGY</subject><subject>SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE,COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORY OR FORECASTINGPURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR</subject><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>patent</rsrctype><creationdate>2020</creationdate><recordtype>patent</recordtype><sourceid>EVB</sourceid><recordid>eNqljzsLwjAUhevg4Os_BOcKtSLoGJNrGzG5IbmtOJUicRIt1P-Pog5uCp0OnMcHZ9Ab2hwJS9wTV4JZPIBjGRhwnBQa5o-eQDOpPDm1KV4eeFL6HUsolYCYdYJooBxlR4h1mDmuY8aN_EHCgmxBzwVIJb5ujKP-ub60YfLRUTTdAol8FppbFdqmPoVruFc7myZpkqSr-XrJF3-VHupUZAw</recordid><startdate>20200220</startdate><enddate>20200220</enddate><creator>HIGO TAKAYUKI</creator><scope>EVB</scope></search><sort><creationdate>20200220</creationdate><title>PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER GENERATION SYSTEM DISTRIBUTION ESTIMATION DEVICE, PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER GENERATION SYSTEM DISTRIBUTION ESTIMATION METHOD, PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER GENERATION SYSTEM DISTRIBUTION ESTIMATION PROGRAM, AND PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER GENERATION OUTPUT PREDICTION DEVICE</title><author>HIGO TAKAYUKI</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-epo_espacenet_JP2020028195A3</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>patents</rsrctype><prefilter>patents</prefilter><language>eng ; jpn</language><creationdate>2020</creationdate><topic>CALCULATING</topic><topic>CIRCUIT ARRANGEMENTS OR SYSTEMS FOR SUPPLYING OR DISTRIBUTINGELECTRIC POWER</topic><topic>COMPUTING</topic><topic>CONVERSION OR DISTRIBUTION OF ELECTRIC POWER</topic><topic>COUNTING</topic><topic>DATA PROCESSING SYSTEMS OR METHODS, SPECIALLY ADAPTED FORADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORYOR FORECASTING PURPOSES</topic><topic>ELECTRICITY</topic><topic>GENERATION</topic><topic>PHYSICS</topic><topic>SYSTEMS FOR STORING ELECTRIC ENERGY</topic><topic>SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE,COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORY OR FORECASTINGPURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR</topic><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>HIGO TAKAYUKI</creatorcontrib><collection>esp@cenet</collection></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext_linktorsrc</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>HIGO TAKAYUKI</au><format>patent</format><genre>patent</genre><ristype>GEN</ristype><title>PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER GENERATION SYSTEM DISTRIBUTION ESTIMATION DEVICE, PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER GENERATION SYSTEM DISTRIBUTION ESTIMATION METHOD, PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER GENERATION SYSTEM DISTRIBUTION ESTIMATION PROGRAM, AND PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER GENERATION OUTPUT PREDICTION DEVICE</title><date>2020-02-20</date><risdate>2020</risdate><abstract>To provide a photovoltaic power generation system distribution estimation device, a photovoltaic power generation system distribution estimation method, a photovoltaic power generation system distribution estimation program, and a photovoltaic power generation output prediction device that improve the accuracy of estimating the spatial distribution of a photovoltaic power generation system at low cost.SOLUTION: A true demand regression model generation unit 102 generates a true demand regression model representing a real demand that is a demand actually consumed by a customer in a predetermined area where a plurality of photovoltaic power generation systems are arranged. A PV output regression model generation unit 103 generates a PV output regression model representing the PV outputs of the plurality of photovoltaic power generation systems. A remaining demand obtaining unit 104 obtains the power generation amount generated by a generator other than the photovoltaic power generation system in the predetermined area. A system output coefficient calculation unit 105 calculates a system output coefficient at each point in the predetermined area on the basis of the true demand regression model, the PV output regression model, and the power generation amount.SELECTED DRAWING: Figure 1 【課題】低コストで太陽光発電システムの空間分布の推定精度を向上させる太陽光発電システム分布推定装置、太陽光発電システム分布推定方法、太陽光発電システム分布推定プログラム及び太陽光発電出力予測装置を提供する。【解決手段】真の需要回帰モデル生成部102は、複数の太陽光発電システムが配置された所定地域における、実際に需要家が消費した需要である真の需要を表す真の需要の回帰モデルを生成する。PV出力回帰モデル生成部103は、複数の太陽光発電システムのPV出力を表すPV出力の回帰モデルを生成する。残余需要取得部104は、太陽光発電システム以外の発電機による所定地域における発電量を求める。システム出力係数算出部105は、真の需要の回帰モデル、PV出力の回帰モデル及び発電量を基に、所定地域の各地点におけるシステム出力係数を算出する。【選択図】図1</abstract><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record>
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subjects CALCULATING
CIRCUIT ARRANGEMENTS OR SYSTEMS FOR SUPPLYING OR DISTRIBUTINGELECTRIC POWER
COMPUTING
CONVERSION OR DISTRIBUTION OF ELECTRIC POWER
COUNTING
DATA PROCESSING SYSTEMS OR METHODS, SPECIALLY ADAPTED FORADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORYOR FORECASTING PURPOSES
ELECTRICITY
GENERATION
PHYSICS
SYSTEMS FOR STORING ELECTRIC ENERGY
SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE,COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORY OR FORECASTINGPURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
title PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER GENERATION SYSTEM DISTRIBUTION ESTIMATION DEVICE, PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER GENERATION SYSTEM DISTRIBUTION ESTIMATION METHOD, PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER GENERATION SYSTEM DISTRIBUTION ESTIMATION PROGRAM, AND PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER GENERATION OUTPUT PREDICTION DEVICE
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