Power supply planning method and system considering wind power output uncertainty
The embodiment of the invention provides a power supply planning method and system considering wind power output uncertainty, and the method comprises the steps: obtaining regional power grid parameters, wind power, loads and other related data; according to the regional historical wind power output...
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| creator | FENG JUNSHU ZHANG JINFANG LIU JUN XU BO LI WENQING LUO LING ZHANG PENGFEI SHEN KELI ZHANG FUQIANG CAO YINGSHUANG XU ZHICHENG MOTOHIRO LU GANG |
| description | The embodiment of the invention provides a power supply planning method and system considering wind power output uncertainty, and the method comprises the steps: obtaining regional power grid parameters, wind power, loads and other related data; according to the regional historical wind power output curve, wind power output of unit installed capacity is calculated, and historical wind power output sample information is determined; constructing an uncertainty set of wind power output cumulative probability distribution, obtaining a wind power output uncertainty interval based on an imprecise Dirichlet model, and generating a wind power output typical scene according to the obtained wind power output uncertainty interval; establishing a first power supply planning optimization model by taking the minimum power supply cost as a target; solving the model to obtain an optimal solution of the power supply cost; taking the optimal solution as a reference value of a power supply planning optimization model, and setti |
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XU BO ; LI WENQING ; LUO LING ; ZHANG PENGFEI ; SHEN KELI ; ZHANG FUQIANG ; CAO YINGSHUANG ; XU ZHICHENG ; MOTOHIRO ; LU GANG</creatorcontrib><description>The embodiment of the invention provides a power supply planning method and system considering wind power output uncertainty, and the method comprises the steps: obtaining regional power grid parameters, wind power, loads and other related data; according to the regional historical wind power output curve, wind power output of unit installed capacity is calculated, and historical wind power output sample information is determined; constructing an uncertainty set of wind power output cumulative probability distribution, obtaining a wind power output uncertainty interval based on an imprecise Dirichlet model, and generating a wind power output typical scene according to the obtained wind power output uncertainty interval; establishing a first power supply planning optimization model by taking the minimum power supply cost as a target; 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according to the regional historical wind power output curve, wind power output of unit installed capacity is calculated, and historical wind power output sample information is determined; constructing an uncertainty set of wind power output cumulative probability distribution, obtaining a wind power output uncertainty interval based on an imprecise Dirichlet model, and generating a wind power output typical scene according to the obtained wind power output uncertainty interval; establishing a first power supply planning optimization model by taking the minimum power supply cost as a target; solving the model to obtain an optimal solution of the power supply cost; taking the optimal solution as a reference value of a power supply planning optimization model, and setti</description><subject>CALCULATING</subject><subject>CIRCUIT ARRANGEMENTS OR SYSTEMS FOR SUPPLYING OR DISTRIBUTINGELECTRIC POWER</subject><subject>COMPUTER SYSTEMS BASED ON SPECIFIC COMPUTATIONAL MODELS</subject><subject>COMPUTING</subject><subject>CONVERSION OR DISTRIBUTION OF ELECTRIC POWER</subject><subject>COUNTING</subject><subject>DATA PROCESSING SYSTEMS OR METHODS, SPECIALLY ADAPTED FORADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORYOR FORECASTING PURPOSES</subject><subject>ELECTRICITY</subject><subject>GENERATION</subject><subject>PHYSICS</subject><subject>SYSTEMS FOR STORING ELECTRIC ENERGY</subject><subject>SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE,COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORY OR FORECASTINGPURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR</subject><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>patent</rsrctype><creationdate>2022</creationdate><recordtype>patent</recordtype><sourceid>EVB</sourceid><recordid>eNrjZAgMyC9PLVIoLi0oyKlUKMhJzMvLzEtXyE0tychPUUjMS1EoriwuSc1VSM7PK85MSS0CyZZnAsULwBrzS0sKSksUSvOSU4tKEjPzSip5GFjTEnOKU3mhNDeDoptriLOHbmpBfnxqcUFicmpeakm8s5-hoamJuaGBgZmjMTFqAFMFOK8</recordid><startdate>20221213</startdate><enddate>20221213</enddate><creator>FENG JUNSHU</creator><creator>ZHANG JINFANG</creator><creator>LIU JUN</creator><creator>XU BO</creator><creator>LI WENQING</creator><creator>LUO LING</creator><creator>ZHANG PENGFEI</creator><creator>SHEN KELI</creator><creator>ZHANG FUQIANG</creator><creator>CAO YINGSHUANG</creator><creator>XU ZHICHENG</creator><creator>MOTOHIRO</creator><creator>LU GANG</creator><scope>EVB</scope></search><sort><creationdate>20221213</creationdate><title>Power supply planning method and system considering wind power output uncertainty</title><author>FENG JUNSHU ; 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according to the regional historical wind power output curve, wind power output of unit installed capacity is calculated, and historical wind power output sample information is determined; constructing an uncertainty set of wind power output cumulative probability distribution, obtaining a wind power output uncertainty interval based on an imprecise Dirichlet model, and generating a wind power output typical scene according to the obtained wind power output uncertainty interval; establishing a first power supply planning optimization model by taking the minimum power supply cost as a target; solving the model to obtain an optimal solution of the power supply cost; taking the optimal solution as a reference value of a power supply planning optimization model, and setti</abstract><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record> |
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| subjects | CALCULATING CIRCUIT ARRANGEMENTS OR SYSTEMS FOR SUPPLYING OR DISTRIBUTINGELECTRIC POWER COMPUTER SYSTEMS BASED ON SPECIFIC COMPUTATIONAL MODELS COMPUTING CONVERSION OR DISTRIBUTION OF ELECTRIC POWER COUNTING DATA PROCESSING SYSTEMS OR METHODS, SPECIALLY ADAPTED FORADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORYOR FORECASTING PURPOSES ELECTRICITY GENERATION PHYSICS SYSTEMS FOR STORING ELECTRIC ENERGY SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE,COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORY OR FORECASTINGPURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR |
| title | Power supply planning method and system considering wind power output uncertainty |
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