New energy generation power prediction method and system with self-adaptive time scale

The invention discloses a new energy generation power prediction method and system with a self-adaptive time scale. The method comprises the steps of 1, performing equal-interval power prediction according to external meteorological data; 2, solving the absolute value of the power slope between two...

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Hauptverfasser: XIAO BITAO, YIN JUN, REN LIFEI, YI JINBAO, ZHANG TIENAN, LAI XIAOLU, WANG GUISONG
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creator XIAO BITAO
YIN JUN
REN LIFEI
YI JINBAO
ZHANG TIENAN
LAI XIAOLU
WANG GUISONG
description The invention discloses a new energy generation power prediction method and system with a self-adaptive time scale. The method comprises the steps of 1, performing equal-interval power prediction according to external meteorological data; 2, solving the absolute value of the power slope between two adjacent power prediction time points according to the power prediction result in the step 1; 3, carrying out nonlinear normalization processing on the absolute value of the slope; 4, solving a prediction time interval according to a nonlinear normalization processing result; and 5, respectively calculating the generated power data of each prediction point according to the prediction time interval obtained in the step 4. According to the method, when the change trend of wind power and photovoltaic power generation is large, the power prediction frequency is improved; when the change trend of wind power generation and photovoltaic power generation is stable, the frequency of power predictionis kept unchanged, and th
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subjects CALCULATING
CIRCUIT ARRANGEMENTS OR SYSTEMS FOR SUPPLYING OR DISTRIBUTINGELECTRIC POWER
COMPUTING
CONVERSION OR DISTRIBUTION OF ELECTRIC POWER
COUNTING
DATA PROCESSING SYSTEMS OR METHODS, SPECIALLY ADAPTED FORADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORYOR FORECASTING PURPOSES
ELECTRICITY
GENERATION
PHYSICS
SYSTEMS FOR STORING ELECTRIC ENERGY
SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE,COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORY OR FORECASTINGPURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
title New energy generation power prediction method and system with self-adaptive time scale
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