The invention relates to a dual-path adaptive load forecasting method for a substation supply area
The invention discloses a dual-path adaptive load forecasting method for a substation supply area. Due to the rapid change of grid structure in power network planning, it is often difficult to forecast the load of the upper and lower power supply areas. The invention adopts dual-path adaptive load f...
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| creator | CHANG AN YU DAN WU JUN LYU YUN SHI JINPING NIU WEI DAN YANGQING ZHANG MINJIE LI CHUN CAI YOUYOU ZHANG DAIHONG WANG XIRAN CHEN XUYANG WANG TINGTING WENG HUA LIU LINPING HU ZHESHENG SHEN SHUYI FENG WEI LI FAN ZHOU HAIBO ZHOU LIN HE DONG HE YINGJING LI QING LAI CONG TANG REN |
| description | The invention discloses a dual-path adaptive load forecasting method for a substation supply area. Due to the rapid change of grid structure in power network planning, it is often difficult to forecast the load of the upper and lower power supply areas. The invention adopts dual-path adaptive load forecasting compatible with top-level planning forecasting and bottom-level network self-checking. Atthe same time, the improved firefly algorithm and U-type self-calibration method are used to correlate the load status hierarchically. Combining the advantages of top-down and bottom-up load forecasting and distribution methods, the forecasting results are modified. The invention adopts two paths of load forecasting, distribution, checking and difference feedback back to the top layer for re-distribution, such as high-voltage distribution network supply area upward aggregation after self-forecasting and regional macro-forecasting downward distribution. After iteration, the error is smaller than the threshold value, a |
| format | Patent |
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| subjects | CALCULATING COMPUTER SYSTEMS BASED ON SPECIFIC COMPUTATIONAL MODELS COMPUTING COUNTING DATA PROCESSING SYSTEMS OR METHODS, SPECIALLY ADAPTED FORADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORYOR FORECASTING PURPOSES PHYSICS SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE,COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORY OR FORECASTINGPURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR |
| title | The invention relates to a dual-path adaptive load forecasting method for a substation supply area |
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