Determining sources of erroneous downhole predictions

A system usable in a wellbore can include a processing device and a memory device in which instructions executable by the processing device are stored for causing the processing device to: generate multiple predicted values of a first parameter associated with a well environment or a wellbore operat...

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Hauptverfasser: Porter, Aidan James, Gollapalli, Joshua Samuel, Pereira, Vitor Lopes, Williams, Robert Lynn
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creator Porter, Aidan James
Gollapalli, Joshua Samuel
Pereira, Vitor Lopes
Williams, Robert Lynn
description A system usable in a wellbore can include a processing device and a memory device in which instructions executable by the processing device are stored for causing the processing device to: generate multiple predicted values of a first parameter associated with a well environment or a wellbore operation; determine a first trend indicated by the multiple predicted values; receive, from a sensor, multiple measured values of a second parameter associated with the well environment or the wellbore operation; determine a second trend indicated by the multiple measured values; determine a difference between the first trend and the second trend or a rate of change of the difference; and in response to the difference exceeding a threshold or the rate of change exceeding another threshold, determine a source of the difference including at least one of an erroneous user input, an equipment failure, a wellbore event, or a model error.
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subjects CALCULATING
COMPUTING
CONTROL OR REGULATING SYSTEMS IN GENERAL
CONTROLLING
COUNTING
EARTH DRILLING
EARTH DRILLING, e.g. DEEP DRILLING
ELECTRIC DIGITAL DATA PROCESSING
FIXED CONSTRUCTIONS
FUNCTIONAL ELEMENTS OF SUCH SYSTEMS
MINING
MONITORING OR TESTING ARRANGEMENTS FOR SUCH SYSTEMS ORELEMENTS
OBTAINING OIL, GAS, WATER, SOLUBLE OR MELTABLE MATERIALS OR ASLURRY OF MINERALS FROM WELLS
PHYSICS
REGULATING
title Determining sources of erroneous downhole predictions
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