Kernel density estimation and hotspot mapping

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to examine the effects of user-defined parameters settings (e.g. interpolation method, grid cell size, and bandwidth) on the predictive accuracy of crime hotspot maps produced from kernel density estimation (KDE). Design/methodology/approach – The influence of...

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Veröffentlicht in:Policing : an international journal of police strategies & management 2014-05, Vol.37 (2), p.305-323
Hauptverfasser: Hart, Timothy, Zandbergen, Paul
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Sprache:eng ; jpn
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container_title Policing : an international journal of police strategies & management
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creator Hart, Timothy
Zandbergen, Paul
description Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to examine the effects of user-defined parameters settings (e.g. interpolation method, grid cell size, and bandwidth) on the predictive accuracy of crime hotspot maps produced from kernel density estimation (KDE). Design/methodology/approach – The influence of variations in parameter settings on prospective KDE maps is examined across two types of interpersonal violence (e.g. aggravated assault and robbery) and two types of property crime (e.g. commercial burglary and motor vehicle theft). Findings – Results show that interpolation method has a considerable effect on predictive accuracy, grid cell size has little to no effect, and bandwidth as some effect. Originality/value – The current study advances the knowledge and understanding of prospective hotspot crime mapping as it answers the calls by Chainey et al. (2008) and others to further investigate the methods used to predict crime.
doi_str_mv 10.1108/PIJPSM-04-2013-0039
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subjects Criminal justice
Policing
Public policy & environmental management
title Kernel density estimation and hotspot mapping
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