Aircraft Cost Growth and Development Program Length: Some Augustinian Propositions Revisited
This paper examines two notions that were popularized by Norman Augustine. The first is that growth in the cost of successive generations of tactical aircraft is more an inherent (time-driven) characteristic of such programs than a reflection of changes in their technical parameters. The second is t...
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| description | This paper examines two notions that were popularized by Norman Augustine. The first is that growth in the cost of successive generations of tactical aircraft is more an inherent (time-driven) characteristic of such programs than a reflection of changes in their technical parameters. The second is that the design and build phase of aircraft development programs has remained virtually unchanged for 40 years, implying that no systematic relationship exists between the characteristics of a program and the length of its development cycle. Models resulting from this examination, which suggest certain modifications to Augustine's original propositions, are tested against recent data from the F/A-18E/F program.
Published in Acquisition Review Quarterly, p209-220, Summer 2000. |
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Published in Acquisition Review Quarterly, p209-220, Summer 2000.</description><language>eng</language><subject>ATTACK AIRCRAFT ; Attack and Fighter Aircraft ; COST ANALYSIS ; COST ESTIMATES ; COST GROWTH ; DESIGN AND BUILD PHASE ; DEVELOPMENT PROGRAM LENGTH ; Economics and Cost Analysis ; F-18A AIRCRAFT ; F-89 AIRCRAFT ; F/A-18E/F AIRCRAFT ; FIGHTER AIRCRAFT ; FLYAWAY COST ; GROWTH(GENERAL) ; INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION ; INFLATION(ECONOMICS) ; LEARNING-CURVE EFFECT ; Logistics, Military Facilities and Supplies ; LONG RANGE(TIME) ; LONG-TERM GROWTH ; NAVAL PROCUREMENT ; PROCUREMENT COST ; PRODUCTION RATE EFFECT ; RATES ; REGRESSION ANALYSIS ; REPRINTS ; TACTICAL AIRCRAFT ; TECHNICAL CHARACTERISTICS ; TOTAL PROCUREMENT QUANTITY ; VELOCITY ; WEIGHT</subject><creationdate>2000</creationdate><rights>Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited.</rights><oa>free_for_read</oa><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><link.rule.ids>230,780,885,27567,27568</link.rule.ids><linktorsrc>$$Uhttps://apps.dtic.mil/sti/citations/ADA487492$$EView_record_in_DTIC$$FView_record_in_$$GDTIC$$Hfree_for_read</linktorsrc></links><search><creatorcontrib>Eskew, Henry L</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>CENTER FOR NAVAL ANALYSES ALEXANDRIA VA</creatorcontrib><title>Aircraft Cost Growth and Development Program Length: Some Augustinian Propositions Revisited</title><description>This paper examines two notions that were popularized by Norman Augustine. The first is that growth in the cost of successive generations of tactical aircraft is more an inherent (time-driven) characteristic of such programs than a reflection of changes in their technical parameters. The second is that the design and build phase of aircraft development programs has remained virtually unchanged for 40 years, implying that no systematic relationship exists between the characteristics of a program and the length of its development cycle. Models resulting from this examination, which suggest certain modifications to Augustine's original propositions, are tested against recent data from the F/A-18E/F program.
Published in Acquisition Review Quarterly, p209-220, Summer 2000.</description><subject>ATTACK AIRCRAFT</subject><subject>Attack and Fighter Aircraft</subject><subject>COST ANALYSIS</subject><subject>COST ESTIMATES</subject><subject>COST GROWTH</subject><subject>DESIGN AND BUILD PHASE</subject><subject>DEVELOPMENT PROGRAM LENGTH</subject><subject>Economics and Cost Analysis</subject><subject>F-18A AIRCRAFT</subject><subject>F-89 AIRCRAFT</subject><subject>F/A-18E/F AIRCRAFT</subject><subject>FIGHTER AIRCRAFT</subject><subject>FLYAWAY COST</subject><subject>GROWTH(GENERAL)</subject><subject>INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION</subject><subject>INFLATION(ECONOMICS)</subject><subject>LEARNING-CURVE EFFECT</subject><subject>Logistics, Military Facilities and Supplies</subject><subject>LONG RANGE(TIME)</subject><subject>LONG-TERM GROWTH</subject><subject>NAVAL PROCUREMENT</subject><subject>PROCUREMENT COST</subject><subject>PRODUCTION RATE EFFECT</subject><subject>RATES</subject><subject>REGRESSION ANALYSIS</subject><subject>REPRINTS</subject><subject>TACTICAL AIRCRAFT</subject><subject>TECHNICAL CHARACTERISTICS</subject><subject>TOTAL PROCUREMENT QUANTITY</subject><subject>VELOCITY</subject><subject>WEIGHT</subject><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>report</rsrctype><creationdate>2000</creationdate><recordtype>report</recordtype><sourceid>1RU</sourceid><recordid>eNrjZIhxzCxKLkpMK1Fwzi8uUXAvyi8vyVBIzEtRcEktS83JL8hNzStRCCjKTy9KzFXwSc1LL8mwUgjOz01VcCxNLy0uyczLTMwDKSjIL84syczPK1YISi3LBLJTU3gYWNMSc4pTeaE0N4OMm2uIs4duSklmcjxIb2pJvKOLo4mFuYmlkTEBaQBIczkR</recordid><startdate>200001</startdate><enddate>200001</enddate><creator>Eskew, Henry L</creator><scope>1RU</scope><scope>BHM</scope></search><sort><creationdate>200001</creationdate><title>Aircraft Cost Growth and Development Program Length: Some Augustinian Propositions Revisited</title><author>Eskew, Henry L</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-dtic_stinet_ADA4874923</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>reports</rsrctype><prefilter>reports</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2000</creationdate><topic>ATTACK AIRCRAFT</topic><topic>Attack and Fighter Aircraft</topic><topic>COST ANALYSIS</topic><topic>COST ESTIMATES</topic><topic>COST GROWTH</topic><topic>DESIGN AND BUILD PHASE</topic><topic>DEVELOPMENT PROGRAM LENGTH</topic><topic>Economics and Cost Analysis</topic><topic>F-18A AIRCRAFT</topic><topic>F-89 AIRCRAFT</topic><topic>F/A-18E/F AIRCRAFT</topic><topic>FIGHTER AIRCRAFT</topic><topic>FLYAWAY COST</topic><topic>GROWTH(GENERAL)</topic><topic>INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION</topic><topic>INFLATION(ECONOMICS)</topic><topic>LEARNING-CURVE EFFECT</topic><topic>Logistics, Military Facilities and Supplies</topic><topic>LONG RANGE(TIME)</topic><topic>LONG-TERM GROWTH</topic><topic>NAVAL PROCUREMENT</topic><topic>PROCUREMENT COST</topic><topic>PRODUCTION RATE EFFECT</topic><topic>RATES</topic><topic>REGRESSION ANALYSIS</topic><topic>REPRINTS</topic><topic>TACTICAL AIRCRAFT</topic><topic>TECHNICAL CHARACTERISTICS</topic><topic>TOTAL PROCUREMENT QUANTITY</topic><topic>VELOCITY</topic><topic>WEIGHT</topic><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Eskew, Henry L</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>CENTER FOR NAVAL ANALYSES ALEXANDRIA VA</creatorcontrib><collection>DTIC Technical Reports</collection><collection>DTIC STINET</collection></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext_linktorsrc</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Eskew, Henry L</au><aucorp>CENTER FOR NAVAL ANALYSES ALEXANDRIA VA</aucorp><format>book</format><genre>unknown</genre><ristype>RPRT</ristype><btitle>Aircraft Cost Growth and Development Program Length: Some Augustinian Propositions Revisited</btitle><date>2000-01</date><risdate>2000</risdate><abstract>This paper examines two notions that were popularized by Norman Augustine. The first is that growth in the cost of successive generations of tactical aircraft is more an inherent (time-driven) characteristic of such programs than a reflection of changes in their technical parameters. The second is that the design and build phase of aircraft development programs has remained virtually unchanged for 40 years, implying that no systematic relationship exists between the characteristics of a program and the length of its development cycle. Models resulting from this examination, which suggest certain modifications to Augustine's original propositions, are tested against recent data from the F/A-18E/F program.
Published in Acquisition Review Quarterly, p209-220, Summer 2000.</abstract><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record> |
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| subjects | ATTACK AIRCRAFT Attack and Fighter Aircraft COST ANALYSIS COST ESTIMATES COST GROWTH DESIGN AND BUILD PHASE DEVELOPMENT PROGRAM LENGTH Economics and Cost Analysis F-18A AIRCRAFT F-89 AIRCRAFT F/A-18E/F AIRCRAFT FIGHTER AIRCRAFT FLYAWAY COST GROWTH(GENERAL) INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION INFLATION(ECONOMICS) LEARNING-CURVE EFFECT Logistics, Military Facilities and Supplies LONG RANGE(TIME) LONG-TERM GROWTH NAVAL PROCUREMENT PROCUREMENT COST PRODUCTION RATE EFFECT RATES REGRESSION ANALYSIS REPRINTS TACTICAL AIRCRAFT TECHNICAL CHARACTERISTICS TOTAL PROCUREMENT QUANTITY VELOCITY WEIGHT |
| title | Aircraft Cost Growth and Development Program Length: Some Augustinian Propositions Revisited |
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