Measurement and predictive value of susceptibility to cigarettes, e-cigarettes, cigars, and hookah among Texas adolescents

Abstract Susceptibility to cigarette smoking, defined as the lack of a firm commitment not to smoke in the future, begins in childhood and is a phase in the transition from never to ever use of cigarettes. While a consistent and validated predictor of cigarette use, little research has assessed whether the susceptibility construct applies equally well across other tobacco products. Baseline data were collected in 2014–2015 from a representative sample of ( n = 2844) middle and high school students in five counties surrounding the four largest cities in Texas, (49% female and mean age 13.13 years, with subsequent waves at 6, 12, and 18 months. Confirmatory factor analysis examined the appropriateness of a three-item susceptibility measure (product-specific curiosity, intention to use, and peer influence) across product types and ethnic groups (Hispanic versus non-Hispanic). Logistic regression examined whether product specific susceptibility at baseline predicted future product initiation. At baseline, 11.5%, 17.0%, 17.4% and 29.4%, of adolescent never users were susceptible to cigars, cigarettes, hookah and e-cigarettes, respectively; significantly more Hispanic than non-Hispanic adolescents were susceptible to e-cigarettes (32.4% versus 26%, p