The Effect of Climatic Change on the Current and Future Niche of Zoonotic Cutaneous Leishmaniasis Vector and Reservoir Species in Yazd Province

Introduction: Leishmania tropica and Leishmania major are the causative agents of Anthroponotic Cutaneous Leishmaniasis (ACL) and Zoonotic Cutaneous Leishmaniasis (ZCL) in various areas of Iran, respectively. Yazd province is one of the endemic centers of ZCL. Therefore, this study aimed to investig...

Ausführliche Beschreibung

Gespeichert in:
Bibliographische Detailangaben
Veröffentlicht in:Journal of disaster and emergency research 2019-09
Hauptverfasser: Shiravand, Babak, Dehghani Tafti, Abbas Ali, Mousavi, Seyed Hossein, Taj Firouzeh, Ali Akbar, Hosseini, Seyed Akbar
Format: Artikel
Sprache:eng
Online-Zugang:Volltext
Tags: Tag hinzufügen
Keine Tags, Fügen Sie den ersten Tag hinzu!
container_end_page
container_issue
container_start_page
container_title Journal of disaster and emergency research
container_volume
creator Shiravand, Babak
Dehghani Tafti, Abbas Ali
Mousavi, Seyed Hossein
Taj Firouzeh, Ali Akbar
Hosseini, Seyed Akbar
description Introduction: Leishmania tropica and Leishmania major are the causative agents of Anthroponotic Cutaneous Leishmaniasis (ACL) and Zoonotic Cutaneous Leishmaniasis (ZCL) in various areas of Iran, respectively. Yazd province is one of the endemic centers of ZCL. Therefore, this study aimed to investigate and predict the effects of the climate change on the potential scattering of the vector and reservoir species of ZCL disease in Yazd province, as one of the endemic centers of ZCL in Iran in the present (1950-2000) and prospective time (2030). Materials and Methods: According to the findings of prior studies conducted in Yazd province, the data related to the vectors and reservoir of the ZCL were collected and recorded in the databank. ArcGIS 10.3 and MaxEnt software were used to estimate the suitable ecological niches using 19 variables. In this study, Beijing Climate Center Climate System Model and scenario of  Representative Concentration Pathway 4.5 were applied with respect to 2030 horizon. Results: According to results of Jackknife test, the climate variables of Bio8 & Bio6 for the current period, and climate variables of Bio8 & Bio7 for the future (2030) produced the most effects on the distribution of vector and reservoir species in Yazd province. These results indicated that temperature had the greatest impact on the vector’s distribution in the present and future. Currently, eastern and central areas of the province are more likely to receive most of the vector and reservoir species. It is anticipated that in the future, we will observe an increase in the presence of vector in the western districts and reservoirs in the northern and central regions of the province.  Conclusion: Climate conditions provide suitable habitats for easy transfer of ZCL disease in Yazd province. This research confirmed that suitable climatic conditions for the vector and reservoir will be expanded in coming years in comparison with the current period.
doi_str_mv 10.18502/jder.v2i2.1513
format Article
fullrecord <record><control><sourceid>crossref</sourceid><recordid>TN_cdi_crossref_primary_10_18502_jder_v2i2_1513</recordid><sourceformat>XML</sourceformat><sourcesystem>PC</sourcesystem><sourcerecordid>10_18502_jder_v2i2_1513</sourcerecordid><originalsourceid>FETCH-LOGICAL-c813-44c658fc8faa69b410df7216ca5c33aee875940658c824384a0c1e311b230d4b3</originalsourceid><addsrcrecordid>eNpNkE1LAzEQhoMoWGrPXucPtM3nNj3K0qpQVLQIelnS7MSmtElJdgv6J_zLbqsHTzMw7_PCPIRcMzpiWlE-3tSYRgfu-YgpJs5IjyuthwVT9PzffkkGOW8opVyriShkj3wv1wgz59A2EB2UW78zjbdQrk34QIgBmi5QtilhaMCEGuZt0yaEB2-7Q4e8xxjiCWkbEzC2GRbo83pngjfZZ3jtumM6sc-YMR2iT_CyR-sxgw_wZr5qeErx4IPFK3LhzDbj4G_2yXI-W5Z3w8Xj7X15sxhazcRQSlso7ax2xhTTlWS0dhPOCmuUFcIg6omaStplrOZSaGmoZSgYW3FBa7kSfTL-rbUp5pzQVfvUfZ4-K0ark9HqaLQ6Gq2ORsUPRJZsHg</addsrcrecordid><sourcetype>Aggregation Database</sourcetype><iscdi>true</iscdi><recordtype>article</recordtype></control><display><type>article</type><title>The Effect of Climatic Change on the Current and Future Niche of Zoonotic Cutaneous Leishmaniasis Vector and Reservoir Species in Yazd Province</title><source>EZB-FREE-00999 freely available EZB journals</source><creator>Shiravand, Babak ; Dehghani Tafti, Abbas Ali ; Mousavi, Seyed Hossein ; Taj Firouzeh, Ali Akbar ; Hosseini, Seyed Akbar</creator><creatorcontrib>Shiravand, Babak ; Dehghani Tafti, Abbas Ali ; Mousavi, Seyed Hossein ; Taj Firouzeh, Ali Akbar ; Hosseini, Seyed Akbar</creatorcontrib><description>Introduction: Leishmania tropica and Leishmania major are the causative agents of Anthroponotic Cutaneous Leishmaniasis (ACL) and Zoonotic Cutaneous Leishmaniasis (ZCL) in various areas of Iran, respectively. Yazd province is one of the endemic centers of ZCL. Therefore, this study aimed to investigate and predict the effects of the climate change on the potential scattering of the vector and reservoir species of ZCL disease in Yazd province, as one of the endemic centers of ZCL in Iran in the present (1950-2000) and prospective time (2030). Materials and Methods: According to the findings of prior studies conducted in Yazd province, the data related to the vectors and reservoir of the ZCL were collected and recorded in the databank. ArcGIS 10.3 and MaxEnt software were used to estimate the suitable ecological niches using 19 variables. In this study, Beijing Climate Center Climate System Model and scenario of  Representative Concentration Pathway 4.5 were applied with respect to 2030 horizon. Results: According to results of Jackknife test, the climate variables of Bio8 &amp; Bio6 for the current period, and climate variables of Bio8 &amp; Bio7 for the future (2030) produced the most effects on the distribution of vector and reservoir species in Yazd province. These results indicated that temperature had the greatest impact on the vector’s distribution in the present and future. Currently, eastern and central areas of the province are more likely to receive most of the vector and reservoir species. It is anticipated that in the future, we will observe an increase in the presence of vector in the western districts and reservoirs in the northern and central regions of the province.  Conclusion: Climate conditions provide suitable habitats for easy transfer of ZCL disease in Yazd province. This research confirmed that suitable climatic conditions for the vector and reservoir will be expanded in coming years in comparison with the current period.</description><identifier>ISSN: 2588-6150</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 2588-6150</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.18502/jder.v2i2.1513</identifier><language>eng</language><ispartof>Journal of disaster and emergency research, 2019-09</ispartof><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><oa>free_for_read</oa><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><link.rule.ids>315,782,786,27931,27932</link.rule.ids></links><search><creatorcontrib>Shiravand, Babak</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Dehghani Tafti, Abbas Ali</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Mousavi, Seyed Hossein</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Taj Firouzeh, Ali Akbar</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Hosseini, Seyed Akbar</creatorcontrib><title>The Effect of Climatic Change on the Current and Future Niche of Zoonotic Cutaneous Leishmaniasis Vector and Reservoir Species in Yazd Province</title><title>Journal of disaster and emergency research</title><description>Introduction: Leishmania tropica and Leishmania major are the causative agents of Anthroponotic Cutaneous Leishmaniasis (ACL) and Zoonotic Cutaneous Leishmaniasis (ZCL) in various areas of Iran, respectively. Yazd province is one of the endemic centers of ZCL. Therefore, this study aimed to investigate and predict the effects of the climate change on the potential scattering of the vector and reservoir species of ZCL disease in Yazd province, as one of the endemic centers of ZCL in Iran in the present (1950-2000) and prospective time (2030). Materials and Methods: According to the findings of prior studies conducted in Yazd province, the data related to the vectors and reservoir of the ZCL were collected and recorded in the databank. ArcGIS 10.3 and MaxEnt software were used to estimate the suitable ecological niches using 19 variables. In this study, Beijing Climate Center Climate System Model and scenario of  Representative Concentration Pathway 4.5 were applied with respect to 2030 horizon. Results: According to results of Jackknife test, the climate variables of Bio8 &amp; Bio6 for the current period, and climate variables of Bio8 &amp; Bio7 for the future (2030) produced the most effects on the distribution of vector and reservoir species in Yazd province. These results indicated that temperature had the greatest impact on the vector’s distribution in the present and future. Currently, eastern and central areas of the province are more likely to receive most of the vector and reservoir species. It is anticipated that in the future, we will observe an increase in the presence of vector in the western districts and reservoirs in the northern and central regions of the province.  Conclusion: Climate conditions provide suitable habitats for easy transfer of ZCL disease in Yazd province. This research confirmed that suitable climatic conditions for the vector and reservoir will be expanded in coming years in comparison with the current period.</description><issn>2588-6150</issn><issn>2588-6150</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2019</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><recordid>eNpNkE1LAzEQhoMoWGrPXucPtM3nNj3K0qpQVLQIelnS7MSmtElJdgv6J_zLbqsHTzMw7_PCPIRcMzpiWlE-3tSYRgfu-YgpJs5IjyuthwVT9PzffkkGOW8opVyriShkj3wv1wgz59A2EB2UW78zjbdQrk34QIgBmi5QtilhaMCEGuZt0yaEB2-7Q4e8xxjiCWkbEzC2GRbo83pngjfZZ3jtumM6sc-YMR2iT_CyR-sxgw_wZr5qeErx4IPFK3LhzDbj4G_2yXI-W5Z3w8Xj7X15sxhazcRQSlso7ax2xhTTlWS0dhPOCmuUFcIg6omaStplrOZSaGmoZSgYW3FBa7kSfTL-rbUp5pzQVfvUfZ4-K0ark9HqaLQ6Gq2ORsUPRJZsHg</recordid><startdate>20190925</startdate><enddate>20190925</enddate><creator>Shiravand, Babak</creator><creator>Dehghani Tafti, Abbas Ali</creator><creator>Mousavi, Seyed Hossein</creator><creator>Taj Firouzeh, Ali Akbar</creator><creator>Hosseini, Seyed Akbar</creator><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope></search><sort><creationdate>20190925</creationdate><title>The Effect of Climatic Change on the Current and Future Niche of Zoonotic Cutaneous Leishmaniasis Vector and Reservoir Species in Yazd Province</title><author>Shiravand, Babak ; Dehghani Tafti, Abbas Ali ; Mousavi, Seyed Hossein ; Taj Firouzeh, Ali Akbar ; Hosseini, Seyed Akbar</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c813-44c658fc8faa69b410df7216ca5c33aee875940658c824384a0c1e311b230d4b3</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2019</creationdate><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Shiravand, Babak</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Dehghani Tafti, Abbas Ali</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Mousavi, Seyed Hossein</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Taj Firouzeh, Ali Akbar</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Hosseini, Seyed Akbar</creatorcontrib><collection>CrossRef</collection><jtitle>Journal of disaster and emergency research</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Shiravand, Babak</au><au>Dehghani Tafti, Abbas Ali</au><au>Mousavi, Seyed Hossein</au><au>Taj Firouzeh, Ali Akbar</au><au>Hosseini, Seyed Akbar</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>The Effect of Climatic Change on the Current and Future Niche of Zoonotic Cutaneous Leishmaniasis Vector and Reservoir Species in Yazd Province</atitle><jtitle>Journal of disaster and emergency research</jtitle><date>2019-09-25</date><risdate>2019</risdate><issn>2588-6150</issn><eissn>2588-6150</eissn><abstract>Introduction: Leishmania tropica and Leishmania major are the causative agents of Anthroponotic Cutaneous Leishmaniasis (ACL) and Zoonotic Cutaneous Leishmaniasis (ZCL) in various areas of Iran, respectively. Yazd province is one of the endemic centers of ZCL. Therefore, this study aimed to investigate and predict the effects of the climate change on the potential scattering of the vector and reservoir species of ZCL disease in Yazd province, as one of the endemic centers of ZCL in Iran in the present (1950-2000) and prospective time (2030). Materials and Methods: According to the findings of prior studies conducted in Yazd province, the data related to the vectors and reservoir of the ZCL were collected and recorded in the databank. ArcGIS 10.3 and MaxEnt software were used to estimate the suitable ecological niches using 19 variables. In this study, Beijing Climate Center Climate System Model and scenario of  Representative Concentration Pathway 4.5 were applied with respect to 2030 horizon. Results: According to results of Jackknife test, the climate variables of Bio8 &amp; Bio6 for the current period, and climate variables of Bio8 &amp; Bio7 for the future (2030) produced the most effects on the distribution of vector and reservoir species in Yazd province. These results indicated that temperature had the greatest impact on the vector’s distribution in the present and future. Currently, eastern and central areas of the province are more likely to receive most of the vector and reservoir species. It is anticipated that in the future, we will observe an increase in the presence of vector in the western districts and reservoirs in the northern and central regions of the province.  Conclusion: Climate conditions provide suitable habitats for easy transfer of ZCL disease in Yazd province. This research confirmed that suitable climatic conditions for the vector and reservoir will be expanded in coming years in comparison with the current period.</abstract><doi>10.18502/jder.v2i2.1513</doi><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record>
fulltext fulltext
identifier ISSN: 2588-6150
ispartof Journal of disaster and emergency research, 2019-09
issn 2588-6150
2588-6150
language eng
recordid cdi_crossref_primary_10_18502_jder_v2i2_1513
source EZB-FREE-00999 freely available EZB journals
title The Effect of Climatic Change on the Current and Future Niche of Zoonotic Cutaneous Leishmaniasis Vector and Reservoir Species in Yazd Province
url https://sfx.bib-bvb.de/sfx_tum?ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&ctx_enc=info:ofi/enc:UTF-8&ctx_tim=2024-12-05T11%3A57%3A17IST&url_ver=Z39.88-2004&url_ctx_fmt=infofi/fmt:kev:mtx:ctx&rfr_id=info:sid/primo.exlibrisgroup.com:primo3-Article-crossref&rft_val_fmt=info:ofi/fmt:kev:mtx:journal&rft.genre=article&rft.atitle=The%20Effect%20of%20Climatic%20Change%20on%20the%20Current%20and%20Future%20Niche%20of%20Zoonotic%20Cutaneous%20Leishmaniasis%20Vector%20and%20Reservoir%20Species%20in%20Yazd%20Province&rft.jtitle=Journal%20of%20disaster%20and%20emergency%20research&rft.au=Shiravand,%20Babak&rft.date=2019-09-25&rft.issn=2588-6150&rft.eissn=2588-6150&rft_id=info:doi/10.18502/jder.v2i2.1513&rft_dat=%3Ccrossref%3E10_18502_jder_v2i2_1513%3C/crossref%3E%3Curl%3E%3C/url%3E&disable_directlink=true&sfx.directlink=off&sfx.report_link=0&rft_id=info:oai/&rft_id=info:pmid/&rfr_iscdi=true