Probabilistic Forecasting-Based Reserve Determination Considering Multi-Temporal Uncertainty of Renewable Energy Generation

Operating reserve, among the most important ancillary services, is a powerful prescription for mitigating increasing uncertainty of renewable generation. Traditional reserve determination neglects uncertainty of renewable generation variations within the dispatch interval, which cannot gurantee suff...

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Veröffentlicht in:	IEEE transactions on power systems 2024-01, Vol.39 (1), p.1-13
Hauptverfasser:	Xu, Yuqi, Wan, Can, Liu, Hui, Zhao, Changfei, Song, Yonghua
Format:	Artikel
Sprache:	eng
Schlagworte:	Ancillary services Artificial neural networks Constraint modelling Dirichlet problem Forecasting Gaussian process Heterogeneity Itô-process model Machine learning Mathematical analysis multi-temporal uncertainty Optimization Polynomials Predictive models probabilistic forecasting Probabilistic logic Probabilistic models Profitability ramp capability reserve Real time operation Real-time systems regulating reserve Renewable energy Renewable energy sources Renewable resources Reserve determination Robustness (mathematics) Stochastic processes Uncertainty
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