Modeling the Merit Order Curve of the European Energy Exchange Power Market in Germany

An updating study concerning the analysis and modeling of the European Energy Exchange power market in Germany is urgently called for due to the dramatic transformations of the market in recent years. Based on careful data research, this paper provides a consolidated and detailed view concerning the...

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Veröffentlicht in:IEEE transactions on power systems 2013-08, Vol.28 (3), p.3155-3164
Hauptverfasser: Yang He, Hildmann, Marcus, Herzog, Florian, Andersson, Goran
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Hildmann, Marcus
Herzog, Florian
Andersson, Goran
description An updating study concerning the analysis and modeling of the European Energy Exchange power market in Germany is urgently called for due to the dramatic transformations of the market in recent years. Based on careful data research, this paper provides a consolidated and detailed view concerning the development of the market and its mechanisms. This paper proposes a new analytical model of the merit order curve of the market. The model is designed to capture the occurrences of negative prices. It considers fuel prices and CO 2 prices, and by taking into account the structural changes of the market such as the increasing energy in-feed from renewable sources and the moratorium of nuclear power plants in Germany, the model is robust to these changes of market fundamentals. The proposed merit-order-curve model constitutes a critical component in realistic fundamental models for the European Energy Exchange power market.
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subjects Analytical models
Coal
Data models
Europe
Forecasting
forward contracts and options pricing
fundamental modeling
Load modeling
merit order curve
Power generation
power market
spot prices
supply curve
title Modeling the Merit Order Curve of the European Energy Exchange Power Market in Germany
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