Clinical variables improve efficacy of ECG scores to diagnose the left ventricular hypertrophy in general population

Abstract Left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) is an important risk factor of various cardiovascular (CV) diseases and sudden death. Electrocardiography (ECG) is commonly used to detect LVH, but it has poor sensitivity, especially in high cardiovascular risk patients. Although echocardiography (ECHO) is a better, it is less available, and more expensive. Aim: To improve ECG scores to diagnose LVH in a general population. Methods The study was conducted in 2017–2019 in a representative sample of area residents. 717 volunteers randomly chosen from the local population were examined. Due to incomplete data, QRS complex duration ≥120ms, fascicular blocks, bundle branch blocks, paced rhythm, 216 people were excluded. Physical examination, ECG, ECHO and laboratory assessment were performed. In ECG LVH defined as >28mm for men, >20mm for women using Cornell index; >17mm for both sexes using Lewis index. In ECHO LV mass was calculated using the Devereux Formula and indexed by body surface area (left ventricular mass index – LVMI). The LVH was defined as LVMI ≥115 g/m2 for man and ≥95 g/m2 for women. Cardiovascular risk was calculated based on the ESC SCORE and additional risk categories published in the latest ESC guidelines. We analyzed 4 models to predict the probability of LVH at ECHO: Model 1: Cornell index; Model 2: Lewis index; Model 3: Cornel index + clinical parameters (age, sex, BMI, office BPs, QRS time, hs-TnT, and HbA1c); Model 4: Lewis index + clinical parameters (age, sex, BMI, office BPs, QRS time, hs-TnT, and HbA1c). Associations between LVH and clinical and biochemical variables were earlier analyzed using multiple linear regression models, these parameters were independently associated with LVH. Results A total of 501 patients were included. The average age of patients was 49.0±15.35 years, and 203 probants (40.5%) were male. We developed a novel score to assess the probability of LVH at ECHO in general population based on nine items (age, sex, body mass index, office BPs, Cornell index or Lewis index, QRS time, hs-TnT, and HbA1c). Additional clinical parameters improved sensitivity of Cornell index up to 86.0% (AUC:0.8011; 95% CI:0.748–0.854) from 64.9% (AUC:0.6450; 95% CI:0.573–0.716) in general population, to 92.9% (AUC:0.8423; 95% CI:0.760–0.924) from 64.3% (AUC:0.6481; 95% CI:0.518–0.779) in low CV risk patients, to 69.2% (AUC:0.6767; 95% CI:0.544–0.809) from 38.5% (AUC:0.5284; 95% CI:0.352–0.705) in moderate CV risk, and to 73.3% (AUC:0.7151