The synergistic effect of manure supply and extreme precipitation on surface water quality
Over-enrichment of phosphorus (P) in agroecosystems contributes to eutrophication of surface waters. In the Midwest US and elsewhere, climate change is increasing the frequency of high-intensity precipitation events, which can serve as a primary conduit of P transport within watersheds. Despite unce...
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description | Over-enrichment of phosphorus (P) in agroecosystems contributes to eutrophication of surface waters. In the Midwest US and elsewhere, climate change is increasing the frequency of high-intensity precipitation events, which can serve as a primary conduit of P transport within watersheds. Despite uncertainty in their estimates, process-based watershed models are important tools that help characterize watershed hydrology and biogeochemistry and scale up important mechanisms affecting water quality. Using one such model developed for an agricultural watershed in Wisconsin, we conducted a 2 × 2 factorial experiment to test the effects of (high/low) terrestrial P supply (PSUP) and (high/low) precipitation intensity (PREC) on surface water quality. Sixty-year simulations were conducted for each of the four runs, with annual results obtained for watershed average P yield and concentration at the field scale (220 × 220 m grid cells), P load and concentration at the stream scale, and summertime total P concentration (TP) in Lake Mendota. ANOVA results were generated for the 2 × 2 factorial design, with PSUP and PREC treated as categorical variables. The results showed a significant, positive interaction (p |
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In the Midwest US and elsewhere, climate change is increasing the frequency of high-intensity precipitation events, which can serve as a primary conduit of P transport within watersheds. Despite uncertainty in their estimates, process-based watershed models are important tools that help characterize watershed hydrology and biogeochemistry and scale up important mechanisms affecting water quality. Using one such model developed for an agricultural watershed in Wisconsin, we conducted a 2 × 2 factorial experiment to test the effects of (high/low) terrestrial P supply (PSUP) and (high/low) precipitation intensity (PREC) on surface water quality. Sixty-year simulations were conducted for each of the four runs, with annual results obtained for watershed average P yield and concentration at the field scale (220 × 220 m grid cells), P load and concentration at the stream scale, and summertime total P concentration (TP) in Lake Mendota. ANOVA results were generated for the 2 × 2 factorial design, with PSUP and PREC treated as categorical variables. The results showed a significant, positive interaction (p < 0.01) between the two drivers for dissolved P concentration at the field and stream scales, and total P concentration at the field, stream, and lake scales. The synergy in dissolved P was linked to nonlinear dependencies between P stored in manure and the daily runoff to rainfall ratio. The synergistic response of dissolved P loss may have important ecological consequences because dissolved P is highly bioavailable. Overall, the results suggest that high levels of terrestrial P supplied as manure can exacerbate water quality problems in the future as the frequency of high-intensity rainfall events increases with a changing climate. Conversely, lowering terrestrial manure P supply may help improve the resilience of surface water quality to extreme events.</description><identifier>ISSN: 1748-9326</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1748-9326</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/aaade6</identifier><identifier>CODEN: ERLNAL</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Bristol: IOP Publishing</publisher><subject>Agricultural ecosystems ; Agricultural watersheds ; Bioavailability ; Biogeochemistry ; Climate change ; Ecological effects ; Eutrophication ; extreme precipitation ; Extreme weather ; Factorial design ; Factorial experiments ; Hydrology ; interaction ; Lakes ; manure ; Manures ; Phosphorus ; Precipitation ; Rainfall ; Rainfall intensity ; Runoff ; Surface water ; Synergistic effect ; Variance analysis ; Water quality</subject><ispartof>Environmental research letters, 2018-04, Vol.13 (4), p.44016</ispartof><rights>2018 The Author(s). Published by IOP Publishing Ltd</rights><rights>2018. This work is published under http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/ (the “License”). Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License.</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><oa>free_for_read</oa><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c485t-b92b50d44b34bc963b132f3cc46fd1768038190f306a6d5624489b14bd791aa53</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c485t-b92b50d44b34bc963b132f3cc46fd1768038190f306a6d5624489b14bd791aa53</cites><orcidid>0000-0003-1686-4754</orcidid></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktopdf>$$Uhttps://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/aaade6/pdf$$EPDF$$P50$$Giop$$Hfree_for_read</linktopdf><link.rule.ids>314,776,780,860,2096,27901,27902,38845,38867,53815,53842</link.rule.ids></links><search><creatorcontrib>Motew, Melissa</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Booth, Eric G</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Carpenter, Stephen R</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Chen, Xi</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Kucharik, Christopher J</creatorcontrib><title>The synergistic effect of manure supply and extreme precipitation on surface water quality</title><title>Environmental research letters</title><addtitle>ERL</addtitle><addtitle>Environ. Res. Lett</addtitle><description>Over-enrichment of phosphorus (P) in agroecosystems contributes to eutrophication of surface waters. In the Midwest US and elsewhere, climate change is increasing the frequency of high-intensity precipitation events, which can serve as a primary conduit of P transport within watersheds. Despite uncertainty in their estimates, process-based watershed models are important tools that help characterize watershed hydrology and biogeochemistry and scale up important mechanisms affecting water quality. Using one such model developed for an agricultural watershed in Wisconsin, we conducted a 2 × 2 factorial experiment to test the effects of (high/low) terrestrial P supply (PSUP) and (high/low) precipitation intensity (PREC) on surface water quality. Sixty-year simulations were conducted for each of the four runs, with annual results obtained for watershed average P yield and concentration at the field scale (220 × 220 m grid cells), P load and concentration at the stream scale, and summertime total P concentration (TP) in Lake Mendota. ANOVA results were generated for the 2 × 2 factorial design, with PSUP and PREC treated as categorical variables. The results showed a significant, positive interaction (p < 0.01) between the two drivers for dissolved P concentration at the field and stream scales, and total P concentration at the field, stream, and lake scales. The synergy in dissolved P was linked to nonlinear dependencies between P stored in manure and the daily runoff to rainfall ratio. The synergistic response of dissolved P loss may have important ecological consequences because dissolved P is highly bioavailable. Overall, the results suggest that high levels of terrestrial P supplied as manure can exacerbate water quality problems in the future as the frequency of high-intensity rainfall events increases with a changing climate. Conversely, lowering terrestrial manure P supply may help improve the resilience of surface water quality to extreme events.</description><subject>Agricultural ecosystems</subject><subject>Agricultural watersheds</subject><subject>Bioavailability</subject><subject>Biogeochemistry</subject><subject>Climate change</subject><subject>Ecological effects</subject><subject>Eutrophication</subject><subject>extreme precipitation</subject><subject>Extreme weather</subject><subject>Factorial design</subject><subject>Factorial experiments</subject><subject>Hydrology</subject><subject>interaction</subject><subject>Lakes</subject><subject>manure</subject><subject>Manures</subject><subject>Phosphorus</subject><subject>Precipitation</subject><subject>Rainfall</subject><subject>Rainfall intensity</subject><subject>Runoff</subject><subject>Surface water</subject><subject>Synergistic effect</subject><subject>Variance analysis</subject><subject>Water quality</subject><issn>1748-9326</issn><issn>1748-9326</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2018</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><sourceid>O3W</sourceid><sourceid>BENPR</sourceid><sourceid>DOA</sourceid><recordid>eNp1kU1v1DAQhiMEEqVw52iJAxe2HX_EiY-o4qNSJS7lwsWa2OPiVTZOHUew_x4vQaUHkCyNNfPO89ozTfOawwWHvr_knep3Rgp9iYie9JPm7CH19NH9efNiWfYArWq7_qz5dvud2HKcKN_FpUTHKARyhaXADjituRbXeR6PDCfP6GfJdCA2Z3JxjgVLTBOrZ1lzQEfsBxbK7H7FMZbjy-ZZwHGhV3_iefP144fbq8-7my-frq_e3-yc6tuyG4wYWvBKDVINzmg5cCmCdE7p4Hmne5A9NxAkaNS-1UKp3gxcDb4zHLGV5831xvUJ93bO8YD5aBNG-zuR8p3FXL82kuWkjBAeAnihjHcIJFB6bwRIQO4q683GmnO6X2kpdp_WPNXnW9FWX9mB7KoKNpXLaVkyhQdXDva0DXsatz2N227bqC1vt5aY5r9MyqPl0ioLSgHXdvahKt_9Q_lf8C-qGJlc</recordid><startdate>20180401</startdate><enddate>20180401</enddate><creator>Motew, Melissa</creator><creator>Booth, Eric G</creator><creator>Carpenter, Stephen R</creator><creator>Chen, Xi</creator><creator>Kucharik, Christopher J</creator><general>IOP Publishing</general><scope>O3W</scope><scope>TSCCA</scope><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>8FE</scope><scope>8FG</scope><scope>ABJCF</scope><scope>ABUWG</scope><scope>AEUYN</scope><scope>AFKRA</scope><scope>ATCPS</scope><scope>AZQEC</scope><scope>BENPR</scope><scope>BGLVJ</scope><scope>BHPHI</scope><scope>CCPQU</scope><scope>DWQXO</scope><scope>GNUQQ</scope><scope>HCIFZ</scope><scope>L6V</scope><scope>M7S</scope><scope>PATMY</scope><scope>PIMPY</scope><scope>PQEST</scope><scope>PQQKQ</scope><scope>PQUKI</scope><scope>PTHSS</scope><scope>PYCSY</scope><scope>DOA</scope><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1686-4754</orcidid></search><sort><creationdate>20180401</creationdate><title>The synergistic effect of manure supply and extreme precipitation on surface water quality</title><author>Motew, Melissa ; Booth, Eric G ; Carpenter, Stephen R ; Chen, Xi ; Kucharik, Christopher J</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c485t-b92b50d44b34bc963b132f3cc46fd1768038190f306a6d5624489b14bd791aa53</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2018</creationdate><topic>Agricultural ecosystems</topic><topic>Agricultural watersheds</topic><topic>Bioavailability</topic><topic>Biogeochemistry</topic><topic>Climate change</topic><topic>Ecological effects</topic><topic>Eutrophication</topic><topic>extreme precipitation</topic><topic>Extreme weather</topic><topic>Factorial design</topic><topic>Factorial experiments</topic><topic>Hydrology</topic><topic>interaction</topic><topic>Lakes</topic><topic>manure</topic><topic>Manures</topic><topic>Phosphorus</topic><topic>Precipitation</topic><topic>Rainfall</topic><topic>Rainfall intensity</topic><topic>Runoff</topic><topic>Surface water</topic><topic>Synergistic effect</topic><topic>Variance analysis</topic><topic>Water quality</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Motew, Melissa</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Booth, Eric G</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Carpenter, Stephen R</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Chen, Xi</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Kucharik, Christopher J</creatorcontrib><collection>IOP Publishing Free Content</collection><collection>IOPscience (Open Access)</collection><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>ProQuest SciTech Collection</collection><collection>ProQuest Technology Collection</collection><collection>Materials Science & Engineering Collection</collection><collection>ProQuest Central (Alumni Edition)</collection><collection>ProQuest One Sustainability</collection><collection>ProQuest Central UK/Ireland</collection><collection>Agricultural & Environmental Science Collection</collection><collection>ProQuest Central Essentials</collection><collection>ProQuest Central</collection><collection>Technology Collection</collection><collection>Natural Science Collection</collection><collection>ProQuest One Community College</collection><collection>ProQuest Central Korea</collection><collection>ProQuest Central Student</collection><collection>SciTech Premium Collection</collection><collection>ProQuest Engineering Collection</collection><collection>Engineering Database</collection><collection>Environmental Science Database</collection><collection>Publicly Available Content Database</collection><collection>ProQuest One Academic Eastern Edition (DO NOT USE)</collection><collection>ProQuest One Academic</collection><collection>ProQuest One Academic UKI Edition</collection><collection>Engineering Collection</collection><collection>Environmental Science Collection</collection><collection>DOAJ Directory of Open Access Journals</collection><jtitle>Environmental research letters</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Motew, Melissa</au><au>Booth, Eric G</au><au>Carpenter, Stephen R</au><au>Chen, Xi</au><au>Kucharik, Christopher J</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>The synergistic effect of manure supply and extreme precipitation on surface water quality</atitle><jtitle>Environmental research letters</jtitle><stitle>ERL</stitle><addtitle>Environ. Res. Lett</addtitle><date>2018-04-01</date><risdate>2018</risdate><volume>13</volume><issue>4</issue><spage>44016</spage><pages>44016-</pages><issn>1748-9326</issn><eissn>1748-9326</eissn><coden>ERLNAL</coden><abstract>Over-enrichment of phosphorus (P) in agroecosystems contributes to eutrophication of surface waters. In the Midwest US and elsewhere, climate change is increasing the frequency of high-intensity precipitation events, which can serve as a primary conduit of P transport within watersheds. Despite uncertainty in their estimates, process-based watershed models are important tools that help characterize watershed hydrology and biogeochemistry and scale up important mechanisms affecting water quality. Using one such model developed for an agricultural watershed in Wisconsin, we conducted a 2 × 2 factorial experiment to test the effects of (high/low) terrestrial P supply (PSUP) and (high/low) precipitation intensity (PREC) on surface water quality. Sixty-year simulations were conducted for each of the four runs, with annual results obtained for watershed average P yield and concentration at the field scale (220 × 220 m grid cells), P load and concentration at the stream scale, and summertime total P concentration (TP) in Lake Mendota. ANOVA results were generated for the 2 × 2 factorial design, with PSUP and PREC treated as categorical variables. The results showed a significant, positive interaction (p < 0.01) between the two drivers for dissolved P concentration at the field and stream scales, and total P concentration at the field, stream, and lake scales. The synergy in dissolved P was linked to nonlinear dependencies between P stored in manure and the daily runoff to rainfall ratio. The synergistic response of dissolved P loss may have important ecological consequences because dissolved P is highly bioavailable. Overall, the results suggest that high levels of terrestrial P supplied as manure can exacerbate water quality problems in the future as the frequency of high-intensity rainfall events increases with a changing climate. Conversely, lowering terrestrial manure P supply may help improve the resilience of surface water quality to extreme events.</abstract><cop>Bristol</cop><pub>IOP Publishing</pub><doi>10.1088/1748-9326/aaade6</doi><tpages>13</tpages><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1686-4754</orcidid><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record> |
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subjects | Agricultural ecosystems Agricultural watersheds Bioavailability Biogeochemistry Climate change Ecological effects Eutrophication extreme precipitation Extreme weather Factorial design Factorial experiments Hydrology interaction Lakes manure Manures Phosphorus Precipitation Rainfall Rainfall intensity Runoff Surface water Synergistic effect Variance analysis Water quality |
title | The synergistic effect of manure supply and extreme precipitation on surface water quality |
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