A price dynamic equilibrium model with trading volume weights based on a price-volume probability wave differential equation

Guided by a price-volume probability wave differential equation in a new mathematical method, we study intraday market dynamic equilibrium in stock market. We select intraday cumulative trading volume distribution over a price range as individual mental representation and determine a price equilibri...

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Veröffentlicht in:International review of financial analysis 2021-03, Vol.74, p.101603, Article 101603
Hauptverfasser: Shi, Leilei, Wang, Binghong, Guo, Xinshuai, Li, Honggang
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Sprache:eng
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Zusammenfassung:Guided by a price-volume probability wave differential equation in a new mathematical method, we study intraday market dynamic equilibrium in stock market. We select intraday cumulative trading volume distribution over a price range as individual mental representation and determine a price equilibrium point by the maximum volume utility price. We propose the hypothesis that a stock price can deviate away from the equilibrium point in momentum and restore to it in reversal, and the volume distribution embodies market dynamic equilibrium. Then, we examine it by a set of explicit price dynamic equilibrium models with trading volume weights from the differential equation against a large number of the price-volume distribution using tick-by-tick high frequency data in Chinese stock market in 2019. It holds true. We can infer that the theory is applied for a broader scope because it embraces core mathematical components in expected utility theory, prospect theory, and reflexivity theory. •To select intraday cumulative trading volume distribution over a price range as individual revealed preferences;•To determine a price equilibrium point in beliefs by the maximum trading volume utility price;•To interpret individual trading utility function in stock market;•To study intraday nonlinear market dynamic equilibrium where price behaves momentum and reversal;•To examine it by a set of explicit models in a new mathematical method.
ISSN:1057-5219
1873-8079
DOI:10.1016/j.irfa.2020.101603