Climate risk and commodity currencies

The positive relationship between real exchange rates and natural resource income is well understood and studied. However, climate change and the transition to a lower-carbon economy now challenges this relationship. We document this by proposing a novel news media-based measure of climate change tr...

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Veröffentlicht in:Working Paper 2020
Hauptverfasser: Kapfhammer, Felix, Larsen, Vegard H, Thorsrud, Leif Anders
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container_title Working Paper
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creator Kapfhammer, Felix
Larsen, Vegard H
Thorsrud, Leif Anders
description The positive relationship between real exchange rates and natural resource income is well understood and studied. However, climate change and the transition to a lower-carbon economy now challenges this relationship. We document this by proposing a novel news media-based measure of climate change transition risk and show that when such risk is high, major commodity currencies experience a persistent depreciation and the relationship between commodity price fluctuations and currencies tends to become weaker.
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ispartof Working Paper, 2020
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language eng
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source NORA - Norwegian Open Research Archives
subjects climate
commodities
exchange rates
JEL: C11
JEL: C53
JEL: D83
JEL: D84
JEL: E13
JEL: E31
JEL: E37
risk
title Climate risk and commodity currencies
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