The demands they are a-changin

Smooth operators such as time trends are often applied to deal with unidentified demand shifters. However, if unknown factors affect demand irregularly, a time trend fails to capture the variation. We present an index approach for estimating irregular demand shifts, decomposing total demand shifts i...

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Veröffentlicht in:European review of agricultural economics 2018-09, Vol.45 (4), p.531-552
Hauptverfasser: Brækkan, Eivind Hestvik, Thyholdt, Sverre Braathen, Asche, Frank, Myrland, Øystein
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container_issue 4
container_start_page 531
container_title European review of agricultural economics
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creator Brækkan, Eivind Hestvik
Thyholdt, Sverre Braathen
Asche, Frank
Myrland, Øystein
description Smooth operators such as time trends are often applied to deal with unidentified demand shifters. However, if unknown factors affect demand irregularly, a time trend fails to capture the variation. We present an index approach for estimating irregular demand shifts, decomposing total demand shifts into predicted and unexplained effects. This allows separating demand shifts caused by known factors like income and substitution effects from unknown impacts on demand. Our application on farmed salmon shows unknown factors impact demand irregularly both between regions and within regions over time. Unknowns contribute to more than half of global salmon demand growth in recent years.
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1464-3618
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source NORA - Norwegian Open Research Archives; PAIS Index; Oxford University Press Journals All Titles (1996-Current)
subjects Agricultural economics
Agriculture and fishery disciplines: 900
Aquaculture
aquaculture economics
demand growth
farmed salmon
Fisheries
Fisheries science: 920
Fiskerifag: 920
Landbruks- og Fiskerifag: 900
market analysis
Operators
Salmon
seafood
VDP
title The demands they are a-changin
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