Rationalizing systematic discrepancies between election outcomes and opinion polls

The Bradley effect concerns the discrepancy between opinion polls and actual election outcomes that emerges when candidates do not exhibit ideological, sexual or racial mainstream features. This effect was first observed during the 1982 election for the Governor of California that resulted in a sign...

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Veröffentlicht in:	arXiv.org 2022-07
Hauptverfasser:	Gamberi, Luca, Vivo, Pierpaolo, Yanik-Pascal Förster, Tzanis, Evan, Annibale, Alessia
Format:	Artikel
Sprache:	eng
Schlagworte:	Elections Norms Physics - Physics and Society Physics - Statistical Mechanics State elections
Online-Zugang:	Volltext
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