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    Insights into the accuracy of social scientists’ forecasts of societal change von Grossmann, Igor, Rotella, Amanda, Hutcherson, Cendri A., Sharpinskyi, Konstantyn, Varnum, Michael E. W., Achter, Sebastian, Dhami, Mandeep K., Guo, Xinqi Evie, Kara-Yakoubian, Mane, Mandel, David R., Raes, Louis, Tay, Louis, Vie, Aymeric, Wagner, Lisa, Adamkovic, Matus, Arami, Arash, Arriaga, Patrícia, Bandara, Kasun, Baník, Gabriel, Bartoš, František, Baskin, Ernest, Bergmeir, Christoph, Białek, Michał, Børsting, Caroline K., Browne, Dillon T., Caruso, Eugene M., Chen, Rong, Chie, Bin-Tzong, Chopik, William J., Collins, Robert N., Cong, Chin Wen, Conway, Lucian G., Davis, Matthew, Day, Martin V., Dhaliwal, Nathan A., Durham, Justin D., Dziekan, Martyna, Elbaek, Christian T., Shuman, Eric, Fabrykant, Marharyta, Firat, Mustafa, Fong, Geoffrey T., Frimer, Jeremy A., Gallegos, Jonathan M., Goldberg, Simon B., Gollwitzer, Anton, Goyal, Julia, Graf-Vlachy, Lorenz, Gronlund, Scott D., Hafenbrädl, Sebastian, Hartanto, Andree, Hirshberg, Matthew J., Hornsey, Matthew J., Howe, Piers D. L., Izadi, Anoosha, Jaeger, Bastian, Kačmár, Pavol, Kim, Yeun Joon, Krenzler, Ruslan, Lannin, Daniel G., Lin, Hung-Wen, Lou, Nigel Mantou, Lua, Verity Y. Q., Lukaszewski, Aaron W., Ly, Albert L., Madan, Christopher R., Maier, Maximilian, Majeed, Nadyanna M., March, David S., Marsh, Abigail A., Misiak, Michal, Myrseth, Kristian Ove R., Napan, Jaime M., Nicholas, Jonathan, Nikolopoulos, Konstantinos, O, Jiaqing, Otterbring, Tobias, Paruzel-Czachura, Mariola, Pauer, Shiva, Protzko, John, Raffaelli, Quentin, Ropovik, Ivan, Ross, Robert M., Roth, Yefim, Røysamb, Espen, Schnabel, Landon, Schütz, Astrid, Seifert, Matthias, Sevincer, A. T., Sherman, Garrick T., Simonsson, Otto, Sung, Ming-Chien, Tai, Chung-Ching, Talhelm, Thomas, Teachman, Bethany A., Tetlock, Philip E., Thomakos, Dimitrios, Tse, Dwight C. K., Twardus, Oliver J., Tybur, Joshua M.

    Veröffentlicht in Nature human behaviour

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    Insights into accuracy of social scientists' forecasts of societal change von Grossmann, Igor, Rotella, Amanda, Sharpinskyi, Konstantyn, Varnum, Michael E. W, Guo, Xinqi Evie, Kara-Yakoubian, Mane, Mandel, David R, Raes, Louis, Tay, Louis, Vie, Aymeric, Wagner, Lisa, Adamkovic, Matus, Arami, Arash, Bandara, Kasun, Baník, Gabriel, Bartoš, František, Baskin, Ernest, Bergmeir, Christoph, Caruso, Eugene M, Chen, Rong, Chie, Bin-Tzong, Chopik, William J, Collins, Robert N, Cong, Chin W, Davis, Matthew, Day, Martin V, Dhaliwal, Nathan A, Durham, Justin D, Dziekan, Martyna, Elbaek, Christian T, Shuman, Eric, Firat, Mustafa, Frimer, Jeremy A, Gallegos, Jonathan M, Goldberg, Simon B, Gollwitzer, Anton, Goyal, Julia, Graf-Vlachy, Lorenz, Gronlund, Scott D, Hafenbrädl, Sebastian, Hartanto, Andree, Hirshberg, Matthew J, Hornsey, Matthew J, Howe, Piers D. L, Jaeger, Bastian, Kačmár, Pavol, Krenzler, Ruslan, Lannin, Daniel G, Lukaszewski, Aaron W, Majeed, Nadyanna M, March, David S, Marsh, Abigail A, Misiak, Michal, Napan, Jaime M, Nicholas, Jonathan, Nikolopoulos, Konstantinos, O, Jiaqing, Otterbring, Tobias, Pauer, Shiva, Ross, Robert M, Roth, Yefim, Røysamb, Espen, Schnabel, Landon, Schütz, Astrid, Seifert, Matthias, Simonsson, Otto, Sung, Ming-Chien, Tai, Chung-Ching, Talhelm, Thomas, Teachman, Bethany A, Tetlock, Philip E, Tse, Dwight C. K, Tybur, Joshua M, Ungar, Lyle, Vandermeulen, Daan, Williams, Leighton Vaughan, Wang, Ke, Wollbrant, Conny E, Yang, Tao, Yogeeswaran, Kumar, Bloom, Paul A, Boyles, Anthony, Charis, Loo, Darling-Hammond, Sean, Ferguson, Zoe E, Kaiser, Cheryl R, Karg, Simon T, Martinie, Marcellin F. R. C, Michaels, Eli K, Millroth, Philip, Naqvi, Jeanean B, Rutledge, Robb B, Slattery, Peter, Smiley, Adam H, Sznycer, Daniel, Tsukayama, Eli, Voelkel, Jan G, Wienk, Margaux N. A, Wilkening, Tom, The Forecasting Collaborative

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    Insights into the accuracy of social scientists’ forecasts of societal change von Grossmann, Igor, Rotella, Amanda, Sharpinskyi, Konstantyn, Varnum, Michael E. W, Guo, Xinqi Evie, Kara-Yakoubian, Mane, Mandel, David R, Raes, Louis, Tay, Louis, Vie, Aymeric, Wagner, Lisa, Adamkovic, Matus, Arami, Arash, Bandara, Kasun, Baník, Gabriel, Bartoš, František, Baskin, Ernest, Bergmeir, Christoph, Caruso, Eugene M, Chen, Rong, Chie, Bin-Tzong, Chopik, William J, Collins, Robert N, Cong, Chin Wen, Davis, Matthew, Day, Martin V, Dhaliwal, Nathan A, Durham, Justin D, Dziekan, Martyna, Elbaek, Christian T, Shuman, Eric, Firat, Mustafa, Frimer, Jeremy A, Gallegos, Jonathan M, Goldberg, Simon B, Gollwitzer, Anton, Goyal, Julia, Graf-Vlachy, Lorenz, Gronlund, Scott D, Hafenbrädl, Sebastian, Hartanto, Andree, Hirshberg, Matthew J, Hornsey, Matthew J, Howe, Piers D. L, Jaeger, Bastian, Kačmár, Pavol, Krenzler, Ruslan, Lannin, Daniel G, Lukaszewski, Aaron W, Majeed, Nadyanna M, March, David S, Marsh, Abigail A, Misiak, Michal, Napan, Jaime M, Nicholas, Jonathan, Nikolopoulos, Konstantinos, O, Jiaqing, Otterbring, Tobias, Paruzel-Czachura, Mariola, Pauer, Shiva, Ross, Robert M, Roth, Yefim, Røysamb, Espen, Schnabel, Landon, Schütz, Astrid, Seifert, Matthias, Sevincer, A.T, Simonsson, Otto, Sung, Ming-Chien, Tai, Chung-Ching, Talhelm, Thomas, Teachman, Bethany A, Tetlock, Philip E, Tse, Dwight C. K, Tybur, Joshua M, Ungar, Lyle, Vandermeulen, Daan, Vaughan Williams, Leighton, Wang, Ke, Wollbrant, Conny E, Yang, Tao, Yogeeswaran, Kumar, Bloom, Paul A, Boyles, Anthony, Charis, Loo, Darling-Hammond, Sean, Kaiser, Cheryl R, Karg, Simon T, Martinie, Marcellin F. R. C, Michaels, Eli K, Millroth, Philip, Naqvi, Jeanean B, Rutledge, Robb B, Slattery, Peter, Smiley, Adam H, Sznycer, Daniel, Tsukayama, Eli, Voelkel, Jan G, Wienk, Margaux N. A, Wilkening, Tom

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    Crowdsourcing hypothesis tests: Making transparent how design choices shape research results von Domenico Viganola, Anna Dreber, Charles R Ebersole, Quentin F Gronau, Don van den Bergh, Maarten Marsman, Eric-Jan Wagenmakers, Christopher W Bauman, Simone Dohle, M Brent Donnellan, Adam Hahn, David J Johnson, Andres Montealegre, Elizabeth Mullen, Jun Pang, Jesse Reynolds, Walter Sowden, Runkun Su, Jay J Van Bavel, Daniel Walco, Julian Wills, Kai Chi Yam, Xiaoyu Yang, Casper J Albers, Aurélien Allard, Ian A Anderson, Michael R Andreychik, Gabriel Baník, Ernest Baskin, Jozef Bavolar, Ruud MWJ Berkers, Michał Białek, Florian Brühlmann, Hendrik Bruns, Yen-Ping Chang, Benjamin Y Cheung, Alycia Chin, Kit W Cho, Conrad A Corretti, Adam W Craig, Paul G Curran, Martin V Day, Erik Dietl, Johannes T Doerflinger, Anna Fung, Oliver Genschow, Andrew C Hafenbrack, Sebastian Hafenbrädl, Andree Hartanto, Joseph Hilgard, Oleksandr V Horchak, Ian Hussey, Roland Imhoff, Samuel GB Johnson, Lucas Keller, Olga Kombeiz, Justin P Laplante, Jonathan Leclerc, Nicole Legate, Desmond W Leung, Qinglan Liu, Marco Tullio Liuzza, Kenneth D Locke, Albert L Ly, Melanie MacEacheron, Scott L McLean, Jonathon McPhetres, Corinna Michels, Michael C Mullarkey, Erica D Musser, Ladislas Nalborczyk, Gustav Nilsonne, Nicholas G Otis, Sarah MG Otner, Oscar Oviedo-Trespalacios, Mariola Paruzel-Czachura, Hannah Perfecto, Mark H Phillips, Danka B Purić, Brett Raymond-Barker, David E Redman, Caleb J Reynolds, Ivan Ropovik, Lukas Röseler, Nika Sablaturova, Matthias Stefan, Anna Szabelska, Kian Siong Tey, Leonid Tiokhin, Jais Troian, Till Utesch, Alejandro Vásquez-Echeverría, Leigh Ann Vaughn, Jan K Woike, Iris Žeželj, Janis H Zickfeld, Yeonsin Ahn, Philippe F Blaettchen, Jamie S Song, Lynn Wong

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