Climate Sensitivity Estimated from Temperature Reconstructions of the Last Glacial Maximum von Schmittner, Andreas, Urban, Nathan M., Shakun, Jeremy D., Mahowald, Natalie M., Clark, Peter U., Bartlein, Patrick J., Mix, Alan C., Rosell-Melé, Antoni

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Identifying Bayesian optimal experiments for uncertain biochemical pathway models von Isenberg, Natalie M., Mertins, Susan D., Yoon, Byung-Jun, Reyes, Kristofer G., Urban, Nathan M.

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CMIP5 temperature biases and 21st century warming around the Antarctic coast von Little, Christopher M, Urban, Nathan M

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Probabilistic framework for assessing the ice sheet contribution to sea level change von Little, Christopher M., Urban, Nathan M., Oppenheimer, Michael

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A comparison of Latin hypercube and grid ensemble designs for the multivariate emulation of an Earth system model von Urban, Nathan M., Fricker, Thomas E.

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Uncertainty quantification and global sensitivity analysis of the Los Alamos sea ice model von Urrego‐Blanco, Jorge R., Urban, Nathan M., Hunke, Elizabeth C., Turner, Adrian K., Jeffery, Nicole

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Multivariate Gaussian Process Emulators With Nonseparable Covariance Structures von Fricker, Thomas E., Oakley, Jeremy E., Urban, Nathan M.

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A Bayesian Approach to Regional Decadal Predictability: Sparse Parameter Estimation in High-Dimensional Linear Inverse Models of High-Latitude Sea Surface Temperature Variability von Foster, Dallas, Comeau, Darin, Urban, Nathan M.

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Enhancing Skill of Initialized Decadal Predictions Using a Dynamic Model of Drift von Nadiga, Balasubramanya T., Verma, Tarun, Weijer, Wilbert, Urban, Nathan M.

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Uncertainty in model parameters and regional carbon fluxes: A model-data fusion approach von Xiao, Jingfeng, Davis, Kenneth J., Urban, Nathan M., Keller, Klaus

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Towards Bayesian hierarchical inference of equilibrium climate sensitivity from a combination of CMIP5 climate models and observational data von Jonko, Alexandra, Urban, Nathan M., Nadiga, Balu

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Improved representation of ocean heat content in energy balance models von Nadiga, Balasubramanya T., Urban, Nathan M.

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Toward a physically plausible upper bound of sea-level rise projections von Sriver, Ryan L., Urban, Nathan M., Olson, Roman, Keller, Klaus

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Upscaling carbon fluxes from towers to the regional scale: Influence of parameter variability and land cover representation on regional flux estimates von Xiao, Jingfeng, Davis, Kenneth J., Urban, Nathan M., Keller, Klaus, Saliendra, Nicanor Z.

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Statistical emulation of a perturbed basal melt ensemble of an ice sheet model to better quantify Antarctic sea level rise uncertainties von Berdahl, Mira, Leguy, Gunter, Lipscomb, William H, Urban, Nathan M

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Exploring ice sheet model sensitivity to ocean thermal forcing and basal sliding using the Community Ice Sheet Model (CISM) von Berdahl, Mira, Leguy, Gunter, Lipscomb, William H, Urban, Nathan M, Hoffman, Matthew J

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A climate sensitivity estimate using Bayesian fusion of instrumental observations and an Earth System model von Olson, Roman, Sriver, Ryan, Goes, Marlos, Urban, Nathan M., Matthews, H. Damon, Haran, Murali, Keller, Klaus

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Probabilistic projections of the Amery Ice Shelf catchment, Antarctica, under conditions of high ice-shelf basal melt von Jantre, Sanket, Hoffman, Matthew J, Urban, Nathan M, Hillebrand, Trevor, Perego, Mauro, Price, Stephen, Jakeman, John D

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Global Sensitivity of Simulated Water Balance Indicators Under Future Climate Change in the Colorado Basin von Bennett, Katrina E., Urrego Blanco, Jorge R., Jonko, Alexandra, Bohn, Theodore J., Atchley, Adam L., Urban, Nathan M., Middleton, Richard S.

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Antarctic climate response in Last Interglacial simulations using the Community Earth System Model (CESM2) von Berdahl, Mira, Leguy, Gunter R, Lipscomb, William H, Otto-Bliesner, Bette L, Brady, Esther C, Tomas, Robert A, Urban, Nathan M, Miller, Ian, Morgan, Harriet, Steig, Eric J

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