A comparison of full-field and anomaly initialization for seasonal to decadal climate prediction von Smith, Doug M., Eade, Rosie, Pohlmann, Holger

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Net Equatorward Shift of the Jet Streams When the Contribution From Sea‐Ice Loss Is Constrained by Observed Eddy Feedback von Screen, James A., Eade, Rosemary, Smith, Doug M., Thomson, Stephen, Yu, Hao

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High risk of unprecedented UK rainfall in the current climate von Thompson, Vikki, Dunstone, Nick J., Scaife, Adam A., Smith, Doug M., Slingo, Julia M., Brown, Simon, Belcher, Stephen E.

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Atmospheric Response to Arctic and Antarctic Sea Ice: The Importance of Ocean–Atmosphere Coupling and the Background State von Smith, Doug M., Dunstone, Nick J., Scaife, Adam A., Fiedler, Emma K., Copsey, Dan, Hardiman, Steven C.

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An Ocean Memory Perspective: Disentangling Atmospheric Control of Decadal Variability in the North Atlantic Ocean von Khatri, Hemant, Williams, Richard G., Woollings, Tim, Smith, Doug M.

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The Polar Amplification Model Intercomparison Project (PAMIP) contribution to CMIP6: investigating the causes and consequences of polar amplification von Smith, Doug M, Screen, James A, Deser, Clara, Cohen, Judah, Fyfe, John C, Garcia-Serrano, Javier, Jung, Thomas, Kattsov, Vladimir, Matei, Daniela, Msadek, Rym, Peings, Yannick, Sigmond, Michael, Ukita, Jinro, Yoon, Jin-Ho, Zhang, Xiangdong

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Seasonal to decadal prediction of the winter North Atlantic Oscillation: emerging capability and future prospects von Smith, Doug M., Scaife, Adam A., Eade, Rosie, Knight, Jeff R.

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Tropical rainfall, Rossby waves and regional winter climate predictions von Scaife, Adam A., Comer, Ruth E., Dunstone, Nick J., Knight, Jeff R., Smith, Doug M., MacLachlan, Craig, Martin, Nicola, Peterson, K. Andrew, Rowlands, Dan, Carroll, Edward B., Belcher, Stephen, Slingo, Julia

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A mechanism for lagged North Atlantic climate response to solar variability von Scaife, Adam A., Ineson, Sarah, Knight, Jeff R., Gray, Lesley, Kodera, Kunihiko, Smith, Doug M.

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Windows of opportunity for predicting seasonal climate extremes highlighted by the Pakistan floods of 2022 von Dunstone, Nick, Smith, Doug M., Hardiman, Steven C., Davies, Paul, Ineson, Sarah, Jain, Shipra, Kent, Chris, Martin, Gill, Scaife, Adam A.

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Improved Surface Temperature Prediction for the Coming Decade from a Global Climate Model von Smith, Doug M, Cusack, Stephen, Colman, Andrew W, Folland, Chris K, Harris, Glen R, Murphy, James M

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Risk and dynamics of unprecedented hot months in South East China von Thompson, Vikki, Dunstone, Nick J., Scaife, Adam A., Smith, Doug M., Hardiman, Steven C., Ren, Hong-Li, Lu, Bo, Belcher, Stephen E.

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An objective ocean temperature and salinity analysis using covariances from a global climate model von Smith, Doug M., Murphy, James M.

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Earth's energy imbalance since 1960 in observations and CMIP5 models von Smith, Doug M., Allan, Richard P., Coward, Andrew C., Eade, Rosie, Hyder, Patrick, Liu, Chunlei, Loeb, Norman G., Palmer, Matthew D., Roberts, Chris D., Scaife, Adam A.

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Forecast cooling of the Atlantic subpolar gyre and associated impacts von Hermanson, Leon, Eade, Rosie, Robinson, Niall H., Dunstone, Nick J., Andrews, Martin B., Knight, Jeff R., Scaife, Adam A., Smith, Doug M.

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Role of multi-decadal variability of the winter North Atlantic Oscillation on Northern Hemisphere climate von Schurer, Andrew P, Hegerl, Gabriele C, Goosse, Hugues, Bollasina, Massimo A, England, Matthew H, Smith, Doug M, Tett, Simon F B

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Reconstructing ocean carbon storage with CMIP6 Earth system models and synthetic Argo observations von Turner, Katherine E, Smith, Doug M, Katavouta, Anna, Williams, Richard G

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Variability in North Sea wind energy and the potential for prolonged winter wind drought von Kay, Gillian, Dunstone, Nick J., Maidens, Anna, Scaife, Adam A., Smith, Doug M., Thornton, Hazel E., Dawkins, Laura, Belcher, Stephen E.

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Missing eddy feedback may explain weak signal-to-noise ratios in climate predictions von Hardiman, Steven C., Dunstone, Nick J., Scaife, Adam A., Smith, Doug M., Comer, Ruth, Nie, Yu, Ren, Hong-Li

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Will 2024 be the first year that global temperature exceeds 1.5°C? von Dunstone, Nick J., Smith, Doug M., Atkinson, Chris, Colman, Andrew, Folland, Chris, Hermanson, Leon, Ineson, Sarah, Killick, Rachel, Morice, Colin, Rayner, Nick, Seabrook, Melissa, Scaife, Adam A.

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