Sensitivity of Northern Great Plains Convection Forecasts to Upstream and Downstream Forecast Errors von Berman, Jeremy D., Torn, Ryan D., Romine, Glen S., Weisman, Morris L.

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THE WEATHER RESEARCH AND FORECASTING MODEL: Overview, System Efforts, and Future Directions von Powers, Jordan G., Klemp, Joseph B., Skamarock, William C., Davis, Christopher A., Dudhia, Jimy, Gill, David O., Coen, Janice L., Gochis, David J., Ahmadov, Ravan, Peckham, Steven E., Grell, Georg A., Michalakes, John, Trahan, Samuel, Benjamin, Stanley G., Alexander, Curtis R., Dimego, Geoffrey J., Wang, Wei, Schwartz, Craig S., Romine, Glen S., Liu, Zhiquan, Snyder, Chris, Chen, Fei, Barlage, Michael J., Yu, Wei, Duda, Michael G.

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A Comparison of Neural-Network and Surrogate-Severe Probabilistic Convective Hazard Guidance Derived from a Convection-Allowing Model von Sobash, Ryan A., Romine, Glen S., Schwartz, Craig S.

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Representing Forecast Error in a Convection-Permitting Ensemble System von Romine, Glen S, Schwartz, Craig S, Berner, Judith, Fossell, Kathryn R, Snyder, Chris, Anderson, Jeff L, Weisman, Morris L

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Toward Unifying Short-Term and Next-Day Convection-Allowing Ensemble Forecast Systems with a Continuously Cycling 3-km Ensemble Kalman Filter over the Entire Conterminous United St... von Schwartz, Craig S., Romine, Glen S., Dowell, David C.

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Impacts of Targeted AERI and Doppler Lidar Wind Retrievals on Short-Term Forecasts of the Initiation and Early Evolution of Thunderstorms von Coniglio, Michael C., Romine, Glen S., Turner, David D., Torn, Ryan D.

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NCAR’s Experimental Real-Time Convection-Allowing Ensemble Prediction System von Schwartz, Craig S, Romine, Glen S, Sobash, Ryan A, Fossell, Kathryn R, Weisman, Morris L

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NCAR’S REAL-TIME CONVECTION-ALLOWING ENSEMBLE PROJECT von Schwartz, Craig S., Romine, Glen S., Sobash, Ryan A., Fossell, Kathryn R., Weisman, Morris L.

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Characterizing and Optimizing Precipitation Forecasts from a Convection-Permitting Ensemble Initialized by a Mesoscale Ensemble Kalman Filter von Schwartz, Craig S, Romine, Glen S, Smith, Kathryn R, Weisman, Morris L

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Sensitivity of Central Oklahoma Convection Forecasts to Upstream Potential Vorticity Anomalies during Two Strongly Forced Cases during MPEX von Torn, Ryan D, Romine, Glen S

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Initial Conditions for Convection-Allowing Ensembles over the Conterminous United States von Schwartz, Craig S., Wong, May, Romine, Glen S., Sobash, Ryan A., Fossell, Kathryn R.

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Toward 1-km Ensemble Forecasts over Large Domains von Schwartz, Craig S., Romine, Glen S., Fossell, Kathryn R., Sobash, Ryan A., Weisman, Morris L.

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Comparing Partial and Continuously Cycling Ensemble Kalman Filter Data Assimilation Systems for Convection-Allowing Ensemble Forecast Initialization von Schwartz, Craig S., Poterjoy, Jonathan, Carley, Jacob R., Dowell, David C., Romine, Glen S., Ide, Kayo

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Next-Day Prediction of Tornadoes Using Convection-Allowing Models with 1-km Horizontal Grid Spacing von Sobash, Ryan A., Schwartz, Craig S., Romine, Glen S., Weisman, Morris L.

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Empirical Localization Functions for Ensemble Kalman Filter Data Assimilation in Regions with and without Precipitation von Lei, Lili, Anderson, Jeffrey L, Romine, Glen S

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Short-Term Convection-Allowing Ensemble Precipitation Forecast Sensitivity to Resolution of Initial Condition Perturbations and Central Initial States von Schwartz, Craig S., Poterjoy, Jonathan, Romine, Glen S., Dowell, David C., Carley, Jacob R., Bresch, Jamie

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Severe Weather Prediction Using Storm Surrogates from an Ensemble Forecasting System von Sobash, Ryan A, Schwartz, Craig S, Romine, Glen S, Fossell, Kathryn R, Weisman, Morris L

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A Simple Model for the Anomalous Counterclockwise Turning of the Surface Wind with Time over the Great Plains of the United States von Rotunno, Richard, Romine, Glen S., Bluestein, Howard B.

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THE COMMUNITY LEVERAGED UNIFIED ENSEMBLE (CLUE) IN THE 2016 NOAA/HAZARDOUS WEATHER TESTBED SPRING FORECASTING EXPERIMENT von Clark, Adam J., Jirak, Israel L., Dembek, Scott R., Creagager, Gerry J., Kong, Fanyou, Thomas, Kevin W., Knopfmeier, Kent H., Gallo, Burkely T., Melick, Christopher J., Xue, Ming, Brewster, Keith A., Jung, Youngsun, Kennedy, Aaron, Dong, Xiquan, Markel, Joshua, Gilmore, Matthew, Romine, Glen S., Fossell, Kathryn R., Sobash, Ryan A., Carley, Jacob R., Ferrier, Brad S., Pyle, Matthew, Alexander, Curtis R., Weiss, Steven J., Kain, John S., Wicker, Louis J., Thompson, Gregory, Adams-Selin, Rebecca D., Imy, David A.

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Sensitivity of Dryline Convection Forecasts to Upstream Forecast Errors for Two Weakly Forced MPEX Cases von Torn, Ryan D., Romine, Glen S., Galarneau, Thomas J.

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