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Insights into the accuracy of social scientists’ forecasts of societal change von Grossmann, Igor, Rotella, Amanda, Hutcherson, Cendri A., Sharpinskyi, Konstantyn, Varnum, Michael E. W., Achter, Sebastian, Dhami, Mandeep K., Guo, Xinqi Evie, Kara-Yakoubian, Mane, Mandel, David R., Raes, Louis, Tay, Louis, Vie, Aymeric, Wagner, Lisa, Adamkovic, Matus, Arami, Arash, Arriaga, Patrícia, Bandara, Kasun, Baník, Gabriel, Bartoš, František, Baskin, Ernest, Bergmeir, Christoph, Białek, Michał, Børsting, Caroline K., Browne, Dillon T., Caruso, Eugene M., Chen, Rong, Chie, Bin-Tzong, Chopik, William J., Collins, Robert N., Cong, Chin Wen, Conway, Lucian G., Davis, Matthew, Day, Martin V., Dhaliwal, Nathan A., Durham, Justin D., Dziekan, Martyna, Elbaek, Christian T., Shuman, Eric, Fabrykant, Marharyta, Firat, Mustafa, Fong, Geoffrey T., Frimer, Jeremy A., Gallegos, Jonathan M., Goldberg, Simon B., Gollwitzer, Anton, Goyal, Julia, Graf-Vlachy, Lorenz, Gronlund, Scott D., Hafenbrädl, Sebastian, Hartanto, Andree, Hirshberg, Matthew J., Hornsey, Matthew J., Howe, Piers D. L., Izadi, Anoosha, Jaeger, Bastian, Kačmár, Pavol, Kim, Yeun Joon, Krenzler, Ruslan, Lannin, Daniel G., Lin, Hung-Wen, Lou, Nigel Mantou, Lua, Verity Y. Q., Lukaszewski, Aaron W., Ly, Albert L., Madan, Christopher R., Maier, Maximilian, Majeed, Nadyanna M., March, David S., Marsh, Abigail A., Misiak, Michal, Myrseth, Kristian Ove R., Napan, Jaime M., Nicholas, Jonathan, Nikolopoulos, Konstantinos, O, Jiaqing, Otterbring, Tobias, Paruzel-Czachura, Mariola, Pauer, Shiva, Protzko, John, Raffaelli, Quentin, Ropovik, Ivan, Ross, Robert M., Roth, Yefim, Røysamb, Espen, Schnabel, Landon, Schütz, Astrid, Seifert, Matthias, Sevincer, A. T., Sherman, Garrick T., Simonsson, Otto, Sung, Ming-Chien, Tai, Chung-Ching, Talhelm, Thomas, Teachman, Bethany A., Tetlock, Philip E., Thomakos, Dimitrios, Tse, Dwight C. K., Twardus, Oliver J., Tybur, Joshua M.
Veröffentlicht in Nature human behaviour
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Insights into accuracy of social scientists' forecasts of societal change von Grossmann, Igor, Rotella, Amanda, Sharpinskyi, Konstantyn, Varnum, Michael E. W, Guo, Xinqi Evie, Kara-Yakoubian, Mane, Mandel, David R, Raes, Louis, Tay, Louis, Vie, Aymeric, Wagner, Lisa, Adamkovic, Matus, Arami, Arash, Bandara, Kasun, Baník, Gabriel, Bartoš, František, Baskin, Ernest, Bergmeir, Christoph, Caruso, Eugene M, Chen, Rong, Chie, Bin-Tzong, Chopik, William J, Collins, Robert N, Cong, Chin W, Davis, Matthew, Day, Martin V, Dhaliwal, Nathan A, Durham, Justin D, Dziekan, Martyna, Elbaek, Christian T, Shuman, Eric, Firat, Mustafa, Frimer, Jeremy A, Gallegos, Jonathan M, Goldberg, Simon B, Gollwitzer, Anton, Goyal, Julia, Graf-Vlachy, Lorenz, Gronlund, Scott D, Hafenbrädl, Sebastian, Hartanto, Andree, Hirshberg, Matthew J, Hornsey, Matthew J, Howe, Piers D. L, Jaeger, Bastian, Kačmár, Pavol, Krenzler, Ruslan, Lannin, Daniel G, Lukaszewski, Aaron W, Majeed, Nadyanna M, March, David S, Marsh, Abigail A, Misiak, Michal, Napan, Jaime M, Nicholas, Jonathan, Nikolopoulos, Konstantinos, O, Jiaqing, Otterbring, Tobias, Pauer, Shiva, Ross, Robert M, Roth, Yefim, Røysamb, Espen, Schnabel, Landon, Schütz, Astrid, Seifert, Matthias, Simonsson, Otto, Sung, Ming-Chien, Tai, Chung-Ching, Talhelm, Thomas, Teachman, Bethany A, Tetlock, Philip E, Tse, Dwight C. K, Tybur, Joshua M, Ungar, Lyle, Vandermeulen, Daan, Williams, Leighton Vaughan, Wang, Ke, Wollbrant, Conny E, Yang, Tao, Yogeeswaran, Kumar, Bloom, Paul A, Boyles, Anthony, Charis, Loo, Darling-Hammond, Sean, Ferguson, Zoe E, Kaiser, Cheryl R, Karg, Simon T, Martinie, Marcellin F. R. C, Michaels, Eli K, Millroth, Philip, Naqvi, Jeanean B, Rutledge, Robb B, Slattery, Peter, Smiley, Adam H, Sznycer, Daniel, Tsukayama, Eli, Voelkel, Jan G, Wienk, Margaux N. A, Wilkening, Tom, The Forecasting Collaborative
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Insights into the accuracy of social scientists’ forecasts of societal change von Grossmann, Igor, Rotella, Amanda, Sharpinskyi, Konstantyn, Varnum, Michael E. W, Guo, Xinqi Evie, Kara-Yakoubian, Mane, Mandel, David R, Raes, Louis, Tay, Louis, Vie, Aymeric, Wagner, Lisa, Adamkovic, Matus, Arami, Arash, Bandara, Kasun, Baník, Gabriel, Bartoš, František, Baskin, Ernest, Bergmeir, Christoph, Caruso, Eugene M, Chen, Rong, Chie, Bin-Tzong, Chopik, William J, Collins, Robert N, Cong, Chin Wen, Davis, Matthew, Day, Martin V, Dhaliwal, Nathan A, Durham, Justin D, Dziekan, Martyna, Elbaek, Christian T, Shuman, Eric, Firat, Mustafa, Frimer, Jeremy A, Gallegos, Jonathan M, Goldberg, Simon B, Gollwitzer, Anton, Goyal, Julia, Graf-Vlachy, Lorenz, Gronlund, Scott D, Hafenbrädl, Sebastian, Hartanto, Andree, Hirshberg, Matthew J, Hornsey, Matthew J, Howe, Piers D. L, Jaeger, Bastian, Kačmár, Pavol, Krenzler, Ruslan, Lannin, Daniel G, Lukaszewski, Aaron W, Majeed, Nadyanna M, March, David S, Marsh, Abigail A, Misiak, Michal, Napan, Jaime M, Nicholas, Jonathan, Nikolopoulos, Konstantinos, O, Jiaqing, Otterbring, Tobias, Paruzel-Czachura, Mariola, Pauer, Shiva, Ross, Robert M, Roth, Yefim, Røysamb, Espen, Schnabel, Landon, Schütz, Astrid, Seifert, Matthias, Sevincer, A.T, Simonsson, Otto, Sung, Ming-Chien, Tai, Chung-Ching, Talhelm, Thomas, Teachman, Bethany A, Tetlock, Philip E, Tse, Dwight C. K, Tybur, Joshua M, Ungar, Lyle, Vandermeulen, Daan, Vaughan Williams, Leighton, Wang, Ke, Wollbrant, Conny E, Yang, Tao, Yogeeswaran, Kumar, Bloom, Paul A, Boyles, Anthony, Charis, Loo, Darling-Hammond, Sean, Kaiser, Cheryl R, Karg, Simon T, Martinie, Marcellin F. R. C, Michaels, Eli K, Millroth, Philip, Naqvi, Jeanean B, Rutledge, Robb B, Slattery, Peter, Smiley, Adam H, Sznycer, Daniel, Tsukayama, Eli, Voelkel, Jan G, Wienk, Margaux N. A, Wilkening, Tom
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