Evaluating Probabilistic Forecasts with scoringRules von Jordan, Alexander, Krüger, Fabian, Lerch, Sebastian

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Using test-time augmentation to investigate explainable AI: inconsistencies between method, model and human intuition von Hartog, Peter B. R., Krüger, Fabian, Genheden, Samuel, Tetko, Igor V.

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Of quantiles and expectiles: consistent scoring functions, Choquet representations and forecast rankings von Ehm, Werner, Gneiting, Tilmann, Jordan, Alexander, Krüger, Fabian

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From point forecasts to multivariate probabilistic forecasts: The Schaake shuffle for day-ahead electricity price forecasting von Grothe, Oliver, Kächele, Fabian, Krüger, Fabian

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Quantifying subjective uncertainty in survey expectations von Krüger, Fabian, Pavlova, Lora

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Predicting the Global Minimum Variance Portfolio von Reh, Laura, Krüger, Fabian, Liesenfeld, Roman

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Generic Conditions for Forecast Dominance von Krüger, Fabian, Ziegel, Johanna F.

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Disagreement versus uncertainty: Evidence from distribution forecasts von Krüger, Fabian, Nolte, Ingmar

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Forecast uncertainty, disagreement, and the linear pool von Knüppel, Malte, Krüger, Fabian

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Predictive Inference Based on Markov Chain Monte Carlo Output von Krüger, Fabian, Lerch, Sebastian, Thorarinsdottir, Thordis, Gneiting, Tilmann

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Using Entropic Tilting to Combine BVAR Forecasts With External Nowcasts von Krüger, Fabian, Clark, Todd E., Ravazzolo, Francesco

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Survey-based forecast distributions for Euro Area growth and inflation: ensembles versus histograms von Krüger, Fabian

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FORECASTING CONDITIONAL PROBABILITIES OF BINARY OUTCOMES UNDER MISSPECIFICATION von Elliott, Graham, Ghanem, Dalia, Krüger, Fabian

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Prediction intervals for economic fixed-event forecasts von Krüger, Fabian, Plett, Hendrik

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Robust Forecast Evaluation of Expected Shortfall von Ziegel, Johanna F, Krüger, Fabian, Jordan, Alexander, Fasciati, Fernando

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Direction Augmentation in the Evaluation of Armed Conflict Predictions von Bracher, Johannes, Rüter, Lotta, Krüger, Fabian, Lerch, Sebastian, Schienle, Melanie

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Forecast dominance testing via sign randomization von Ehm, Werner, Krüger, Fabian

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A Kernel Score Perspective on Forecast Disagreement and the Linear Pool von Krüger, Fabian

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Simplifying Random Forests' Probabilistic Forecasts von Koster, Nils, Krüger, Fabian

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A Kernel Score Perspective on Forecast Disagreement and the Linear Pool von Krüger, Fabian

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