Bayesian inference of sampled ancestor trees for epidemiology and fossil calibration von Gavryushkina, Alexandra, Welch, David, Stadler, Tanja, Drummond, Alexei J

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Identifying Malaria Transmission Foci for Elimination Using Human Mobility Data von Ruktanonchai, Nick W, DeLeenheer, Patrick, Tatem, Andrew J, Alegana, Victor A, Caughlin, T Trevor, Zu Erbach-Schoenberg, Elisabeth, Lourenço, Christopher, Ruktanonchai, Corrine W, Smith, David L

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SCOTTI: Efficient Reconstruction of Transmission within Outbreaks with the Structured Coalescent von De Maio, Nicola, Wu, Chieh-Hsi, Wilson, Daniel J

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Accounting for non-stationarity in epidemiology by embedding time-varying parameters in stochastic models von Cazelles, Bernard, Champagne, Clara, Dureau, Joseph

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Real-time decision-making during emergency disease outbreaks von Probert, William J M, Jewell, Chris P, Werkman, Marleen, Fonnesbeck, Christopher J, Goto, Yoshitaka, Runge, Michael C, Sekiguchi, Satoshi, Shea, Katriona, Keeling, Matt J, Ferrari, Matthew J, Tildesley, Michael J

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Within-host bacterial diversity hinders accurate reconstruction of transmission networks from genomic distance data von Worby, Colin J, Lipsitch, Marc, Hanage, William P

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Bayesian reconstruction of transmission within outbreaks using genomic variants von De Maio, Nicola, Worby, Colin J, Wilson, Daniel J, Stoesser, Nicole

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Forecasting Influenza Epidemics in Hong Kong von Yang, Wan, Cowling, Benjamin J, Lau, Eric H Y, Shaman, Jeffrey

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Seasonality in risk of pandemic influenza emergence von Fox, Spencer J, Miller, Joel C, Meyers, Lauren Ancel

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Why are viral genomes so fragile? The bottleneck hypothesis von Merleau, Nono S. C, Pénisson, Sophie, Gerrish, Philip J, Elena, Santiago F, Smerlak, Matteo

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Innate Immunity and the Inter-exposure Interval Determine the Dynamics of Secondary Influenza Virus Infection and Explain Observed Viral Hierarchies von Cao, Pengxing, Yan, Ada W C, Heffernan, Jane M, Petrie, Stephen, Moss, Robert G, Carolan, Louise A, Guarnaccia, Teagan A, Kelso, Anne, Barr, Ian G, McVernon, Jodie, Laurie, Karen L, McCaw, James M

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A Systematic Bayesian Integration of Epidemiological and Genetic Data von Lau, Max S Y, Marion, Glenn, Streftaris, George, Gibson, Gavin

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Multiscale modeling of influenza A virus infection supports the development of direct-acting antivirals von Heldt, Frank S, Frensing, Timo, Pflugmacher, Antje, Gröpler, Robin, Peschel, Britta, Reichl, Udo

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Inference of epidemiological dynamics based on simulated phylogenies using birth-death and coalescent models von Boskova, Veronika, Bonhoeffer, Sebastian, Stadler, Tanja

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Bayesian phylogeography of influenza A/H3N2 for the 2014-15 season in the United States using three frameworks of ancestral state reconstruction von Magee, Daniel, Suchard, Marc A, Scotch, Matthew

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Systematic Approximations to Susceptible-Infectious-Susceptible Dynamics on Networks von Keeling, Matt J, House, Thomas, Cooper, Alison J, Pellis, Lorenzo

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Hybrid stochastic framework predicts efficacy of prophylaxis against HIV: An example with different dolutegravir prophylaxis schemes von Duwal, Sulav, Dickinson, Laura, Khoo, Saye, von Kleist, Max

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Assessing the public health impact of tolerance-based therapies with mathematical models von Hozé, Nathanaël, Bonhoeffer, Sebastian, Regoes, Roland

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Impact of Heterogeneity in Sexual Behavior on Effectiveness in Reducing HIV Transmission with Test-and-Treat Strategy von Rozhnova, Ganna, van der Loeff, Maarten F Schim, Heijne, Janneke C M, Kretzschmar, Mirjam E

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The interaction between seasonality and pulsed interventions against malaria in their effects on the reproduction number von Griffin, Jamie T

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