Mechanistic forecasts of species responses to climate change: The promise of biophysical ecology von Briscoe, Natalie J., Morris, Shane D., Mathewson, Paul D., Buckley, Lauren B., Jusup, Marko, Levy, Ofir, Maclean, Ilya M. D., Pincebourde, Sylvain, Riddell, Eric A., Roberts, Jessica A., Schouten, Rafael, Sears, Michael W., Kearney, Michael Ray

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Unpacking the mechanisms captured by a correlative species distribution model to improve predictions of climate refugia von Briscoe, Natalie J., Kearney, Michael R., Taylor, Chris A., Wintle, Brendan A.

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Mechanistic variables can enhance predictive models of endotherm distributions: the American pika under current, past, and future climates von Mathewson, Paul D., Moyer‐Horner, Lucas, Beever, Erik A., Briscoe, Natalie J., Kearney, Michael, Yahn, Jeremiah M., Porter, Warren P.

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Surface reflectance drives nest box temperature profiles and thermal suitability for target wildlife von Griffiths, Stephen R, Rowland, Jessica A, Briscoe, Natalie J, Lentini, Pia E, Handasyde, Kathrine A, Lumsden, Linda F, Robert, Kylie A

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Too hot to hunt: Mechanistic predictions of thermal refuge from cat predation risk von Briscoe, Natalie J., McGregor, Hugh, Roshier, David, Carter, Andrew, Wintle, Brendan A., Kearney, Michael R.

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Tree-hugging koalas demonstrate a novel thermoregulatory mechanism for arboreal mammals von Briscoe, Natalie J., Handasyde, Kathrine A., Griffiths, Stephen R., Porter, Warren P., Krockenberger, Andrew, Kearney, Michael R.

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Bergmann meets Scholander: geographical variation in body size and insulation in the koala is related to climate von Briscoe, Natalie J., Krockenberger, Andrew, Handasyde, Kathrine A., Kearney, Michael R.

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Early emergence in a butterfly causally linked to anthropogenic warming von Kearney, Michael R., Briscoe, Natalie J., Karoly, David J., Porter, Warren P., Norgate, Melanie, Sunnucks, Paul

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Forecasting species range dynamics with process‐explicit models: matching methods to applications von Briscoe, Natalie J., Elith, Jane, Salguero‐Gómez, Roberto, Lahoz‐Monfort, José J., Camac, James S., Giljohann, Katherine M., Holden, Matthew H., Hradsky, Bronwyn A., Kearney, Michael R., McMahon, Sean M., Phillips, Ben L., Regan, Tracey J., Rhodes, Jonathan R., Vesk, Peter A., Wintle, Brendan A., Yen, Jian D.L., Guillera‐Arroita, Gurutzeta, Early, Regan

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NicheMapR – an R package for biophysical modelling: the endotherm model von Kearney, Michael R., Briscoe, Natalie J., Mathewson, Paul D., Porter, Warren P.

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Modelling species responses to extreme weather provides new insights into constraints on range and likely climate change impacts for Australian mammals von Morán‐Ordóñez, Alejandra, Briscoe, Natalie J., Wintle, Brendan A.

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Dealing with sampling bias and inferring absence data to improve distribution models of a widely distributed vulnerable marsupial von Brizuela‐Torres, Diego, Elith, Jane, Guillera‐Arroita, Gurutzeta, Briscoe, Natalie J.

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Can dynamic occupancy models improve predictions of species' range dynamics? A test using Swiss birds von Briscoe, Natalie J., Zurell, Damaris, Elith, Jane, König, Christian, Fandos, Guillermo, Malchow, Anne‐Kathleen, Kéry, Marc, Schmid, Hans, Guillera‐Arroita, Gurutzeta

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Using species distribution models and decision tools to direct surveys and identify potential translocation sites for a critically endangered species von Eyre, Arabella C., Briscoe, Natalie J., Harley, Dan K. P., Lumsden, Lindy F., McComb, Leo B., Lentini, Pia E.

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Persistence through tough times: fixed and shifting refuges in threatened species conservation von Reside, April E., Briscoe, Natalie J., Dickman, Chris R., Greenville, Aaron C., Hradsky, Bronwyn A., Kark, Salit, Kearney, Michael R., Kutt, Alex S., Nimmo, Dale G., Pavey, Chris R., Read, John L., Ritchie, Euan G., Roshier, David, Skroblin, Anja, Stone, Zoe, West, Matt, Fisher, Diana O.

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steps: Software for spatially and temporally explicit population simulations von Visintin, Casey, Briscoe, Natalie J., Woolley, Skipton N. C., Lentini, Pia E., Tingley, Reid, Wintle, Brendan A., Golding, Nick, Graham, Laura

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Stage-dependent physiological responses in a butterfly cause non-additive effects on phenology von Briscoe, Natalie J., Porter, Warren P., Sunnucks, Paul, Kearney, Michael R.

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Assessing the accuracy of density‐independent demographic models for predicting species ranges von Holden, Matthew H., Yen, Jian D. L., Briscoe, Natalie J., Lahoz‐Monfort, José J., Salguero‐Gómez, Roberto, Vesk, Peter A., Guillera‐Arroita, Gurutzeta

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Tree-hugging behavior beats the heat von Briscoe, Natalie J

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Comparing the thermal suitability of nest-boxes and tree-hollows for the conservation-management of arboreal marsupials von Rowland, Jessica A., Briscoe, Natalie J., Handasyde, Kathrine A.

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